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São Paulo vs Flamengo Prediction: Mengão to bring points from Morumbi

06 Aug 2022
14:12
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Sao Paulo
Finished
Flamengo
Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A. Round 21
Stadium: Morumbi (Sao Paulo)
Odds 1,85
Bet Type X2+TO (1.5)
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One of the matches to open Brazilian Serie A round 21 will be the encounter between São Paulo and Flamengo. Despite the home advantage, the bookmakers are on the side of Mengão. The club from Rio has gained good form. However, do not forget that São Paulo is a very dangerous opponent at home.


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São Paulo

São Paulo continues to fight on three fronts. In addition to Serie A, the Tricolor also plays in Copa do Brasil and Copa Sudamericana. It seems that the two cup tournaments are of paramount importance to São Paulo. The thing is that South America has slightly different rules than Europe to qualify for the strongest tournament, in this case, Copa Libertadores. Country Cup winners, like the winner of Copa Sudamericana, are eligible for Libertadores. Given the difficult situation, São Paulo has in the championship, the cup tournaments are a perfect chance for the future home team. And just three days later, São Paulo is to play the return game of the Sudamericana quarterfinals against Ceará. Recall that the first match of the confrontation saw São Paulo win at Morumbi with a score of 1-0. In Serie A standings, Tricolor occupies 10th place with 26 points. The team's home stats are 13th best in the division, +4=4-1, 17-11 goal difference.

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Flamengo

Flamengo also continues to fight on three fronts. However, Mengão has not yet left the hope of winning Brasileirao. That said, the gap from Palmeiras is 9 points, and the density in the Brazilian elite is very high. Mengão solved the problem of reaching the semi-finals of Copa Libertadores by a large percentage, beating Corinthians 2-0 on the road. Overall, Flamengo has a seven-match unbeaten streak, with the Scarlet-Black winning six games and having one draw during this period. Flamengo has a four-match winning streak in Serie A. In Serie A, Flamengo has the 9th best away statistics, +3=2-5, 10-14 goal difference.

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Head-to-head encounters

The teams have played each other 50 times: +20=15-15, 72-57 goal difference in favor of Tricolor. The opponents have crossed paths in three tournaments: Serie A, Copa do Brasil, and Copa Libertadores, and also twice in friendly matches. In Serie A, there have been 44 matches: +17=14-13, 64-53 in favor of São Paulo. At Morumbi, 25 matches were played: +13=8-4, 40-24 in favor of the Tricolor. The first round match of the current Serie A at Maracana ended with a victory of the home team, 3-1.

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Injuries and suspensions

  • São Paulo: Andre Anderson, Caio, Walce, Alisson, Arboleda, Luan, Luciano (suspension).
  • Flamengo: Rodrigo Caio, Alves, Bruno Henrique will not play.
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Key stats

  • In the last seven matches between São Paulo and Flamengo, the teams have scored at least three goals in all competitions;
  • São Paulo had draws in the last three home matches in the Brazilian championship;
  • 8 of last 10 home games São Paulo played in the Brazilian championship saw at least three goals scored;
  • Flamengo won six of the last seven matches in the Brazilian championship;
  • Flamengo scored at least three goals apiece in the last three games against São Paulo in all competitions;
  • Flamengo won the first half and the match in five of the last seven Brazilian Serie A games;
  • Flamengo won the last three matches against São Paulo in all competitions;
  • Flamengo scored at least two goals in six of its last seven matches in the Brazilian championship;
  • The last three matches Flamengo had saw at least three goals scored.
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Expert Betting Tips

In our opinion, Flamengo has a good chance to win at Morumbi. However, two facts discourage us from taking the away win as the first bet. First, although São Paulo is only ranked 10th in Brasileirao, the future hosts have only lost once at Morumbi in Serie A. Secondly, Flamengo has negative statistics in matches at Morumbi. At the same time, Flamengo is a productive team, with only one game seeing TU (1.5), the Cup game against Athletico Paranaense. We believe that the Scarlet-Black will score points in the upcoming game and at the same time, the teams will score at least two goals against each other. And in general, we offer the following betting options for the meeting:

X2+TO (1.5) for 1.85 at 1xbet;

W2 for 2.20 at Bet365;

Correct Score 1-2 for 8.00 at 22bet.

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Odds 1,85
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Odds 2,20
Bet Type W2
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Odds 8,00
Bet Type Correct Score 1-2
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