Network operators, technology vendors, service providers and regulators must conduct robust planning to enable them to prepare for different evolution scenarios in the European wireless industry. Analysys Research sees three evolution scenarios for the European market in the next five to ten years: substitution, convergence and fragmentation. In substitution, mobile operators successfully displace fixed network voice and data services, boosting ARPU and network investment. In convergence, the success of fixed broadband and converged services keeps wireless services outdoors. Significant mobile operator consolidation also occurs. In the fragmentation scenario, a patchwork of different wireless technologies and services are deployed across Europe.
Scenarios for the Evolution of the Wireless Industry in Europe to 2010 and Beyond
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