Top Countries Likely to Win Most Medals and World Records Under Threat at the 2024 Paris Olympics

Eddy August
13 May 2024

The 2024 Summer Olympics will take place from 26 July 2024 to 11 August 2024 in Paris. The multi-sport event will comprise athletes from different countries all over the world. Each country will showcase their skills in various events, all looking forward to winning medals. Some countries dominate in various sports, which brings about high medal count overall. With the ongoing Paris Olympics 2024 medal predictions, fans are wondering which countries are likely to win most medals in the 2024 Paris Olympics games. 

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Countries to win most medals prediction
2024 Paris Olympics

Top 5 Countries Most Likely to Most Medals in 2024 Olympics

According to the statistical analysis of Nielsen Gracenote virtual medal table forecast, the USA is expected to win most medals in the 2024 Summer Olympics. Here is an overview of 5 countries likely to win the most medals in the upcoming 2024 Paris Olympics. 

United States of America

2024 Paris Olympics USA Team
USA 2024 Olympics Team

According to Nielsen prediction, the USA Olympic team is likely to take home the most medals in the 2024 Olympics. They predict the USA will take home 123 medals, which ten more to the medals they got in the last Olympics in Tokyo. Out of the total medal, 39 are expected to be gold. The USA dominates in almost every sport, featuring top talents. This includes Katie Ledecky in swimming, Simone Biles in gymnastic, Noah Lyles and Sha'Carri Richardson in field and track and there are high chances LeBron James will return to the men's basketball team. 


2024 Paris Olympics China Team
China 2024 Olympics Team

China is the second country likely to take home many medals on the 2024 Olympics. They are predicted to take home 35 gold medals. While the country doesn't dominate most sports, they get most of their medals from their specialist sports. China is known to be best in sports like table tennis, artistic gymnastics, shooting and diving. Wang Chuqin, their top table tennis star is expected to shine this Olympics. 

Great Britain

2024 Paris Olympics GB Team
Great Britain 2024 Olympics Team

Third on the list is Great Britain, who h is predicted to win 13 gold medals. Great Britain won a total of 65 medals in the Tokyo Olympics and they are expected to win 65 medals in the Paris Summer Olympics. Great Britain are popular in many sports at the Olympics such as swimming, cycling, and football just to mention a few. One of Great Britain's top swimmers, Adam Peaty is looking forward to winning gold in the 100m breaststroke. 

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2024 Paris Olympics Japan Team
Japan 2024 Olympics Team

Japan took home 58 medals in the 2021 Olympics. They are predicted to win 53 medals in the 2024 Olympics with 13 gold medals. In 2021, Japan performed well in skateboarding, freestyle wrestling and judo. Yuto Horigome, Yui Susaki and Naohisa Takato are looking forward to winning gold in Paris Olympics. 


2024 Paris Olympics France Team
France 2024 Olympics Team

France is the host nation who are predicted to win a total of 52 medals. This is 20 more medals than they got in the Tokyo Olympics. They are predicted to win 28 good medals at the Olympic games. One of their expected gold is on the men's basketball where top star, Wembanyama will be leading the team as they compete with USA. 

Other Countries with Strong Olympic Games

Other top countries who are likely to perform well in the Olympics 2024 include:

  • Australia;
  • Italy;
  • Germany;
  • Netherlands;
  • Korea Republic;

2024 Olympics Gold Medal Predictions

The table below summarizes the 2024 Olympics medals prediction for top 10 countries, and the number of gold they are likely to get.  

1United States 39
3Great Britain 13
5Australia 13
8Netherlands 18
9Germany 9
10Korea Republic 9

World Records Under Threat at the 2024 Paris Olympics

Nothing beats becoming an olympic champion while setting a new record. As fans and the general public anticipate for the 2024 Olympics, they are expecting records to be broken and history to be made. There are plenty of world records under risk at this olympics. Let's find out which records are most likely to be broken.

Women’s 200m - Shericka Jackson

World Records Under Threat
Shericka Jackson

Since 1988, the women’s 200m world record of 21.34s set by Florence Griffith Joyner has not been broken. However, Shericka Jackson came close to that at 21.41s during the World Athletics Championship in 2023. Others who came close are Elaine Thompson-Herah finishing at 21.53s and Gabrielle Thomas finishing at 21.60s.

Men's Pole Vault - Armand Duplantis

The men’s pole vault world record of 6.24 m set by Armand Duplantis on April 2024 is likely to be broken. Armand is showing great potential to break his own record in all the events, and the Swede is looking forward to a gold medal.

Backstroke - Kaylee McKeown

Kaylee is an Australian backstroke queen who holds world records in 50m, 100m, and 200m backstroke disciplines. During the 2024 NSW Championship, she almost broke her own 100m backstroke world record of 57.33 after clocking in at 57.57. Will she beat her own record during the 2024 Paris olympic games?

Speed Climbing - Sam Watson

Sam Watson broke speed climbing world record of 4.90s twice in one hour in April 2024. The 18-year old flew up the 49-foot wall in only 4.85 seconds and ran again in 4.79 seconds. He is now looking forward to breaking the record during the Paris olympics. 

Weightlifting - Hampton Morris

Hampton made history during the 2024 International Weightlifting Federation World Cup held in Thailand. He broke a world record by lifting 176 kilograms (388 pounds) at 61kgs. 

Other world records under threat include:

  • Men's discus throw: 74.35m - Mykolas Alekna;
  • Men's shot put: 23.56m - Ryan Crouser;
  • Men's 1500m: 3:26.00 - Hicham El Guerrouj;
  • Men's 3000m steeplechase: 7:52.11 - Lamecha Girma;
  • Women's 1500m: 3:49.11- Faith Kipyegon;
  • Women's 10,000m: 29:01.03 - Letesenbet Gidey;
  • Women's Marathon: 2:16:16 - Peres Jepchirchir;


How many countries are in the 2024 Paris Olympics?
The total number of countries participating in the Paris Summer Olympics are 206, and 184 in the Paralympics.
How many medal events are in the Paris 2024 Olympics?
The 2024 Olympic games will commence in July with non-medal events. From July 26 to Aug 11, athletes will be competing in 329 medal events.
Which country is likely to get the most medals in the 2024 Paris Olympics?
The United States is expected to win the most medals in the 2023 Paris Olympics. They are expected to win approximately 123 medals.
Which athlete has won the most Olympic medals in history?
Michael Phelps, an American swimmer has won 28 Olympic medals, which 23 are gold. He is also the first athlete to win 8 medals in one Olympics.
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