Huawei's big four for the next ten years

Huawei's big four for the next ten years

Robert Clark  |   February 09, 2010
telecomasia.net
Thumbnail: 
Better late than never. Huawei missed the cut for the “turn of the decade” stories that the media published not so long ago, but managed to post its predictions for the next ten years online yesterday.
 
These aren’t earth-shattering, but give a sense to where the industry’s no.1 disruptor intends to place its bets in the years to come.
 
Prediction 1: 50b connections with M2M
Huawei believes the “internet of Things” – including sensor networks, RFID and other technologies – will enable ICTs to help “efficiency improvement, scientific decision making, energy saving and environmental protection, and cost savings.”
 
As a result, connectivity will expand massively from today’s 6 billion people to an estimated 50 billion machines.
 
Which means “significant opportunities for the telecom industry to surpass population and develop new subscribers.”
 
The industry hears you.
 
Prediction 2: Mobile broadband’s golden age
Mobile broadband is in its golden age, with the number of subs likely to will grow tenfold to nearly 3 billion by 2014.
 
However, the rapid growth and “prohibitive costs will bring many challenges.”
 
No, Huawei doesn’t actually say what these challenges are. Presumably it is referring to mobile network congestion and the problem of flat-rate, all-you-can-eat tariffs. But it concludes that “in order to achieve sustainable growth,” operators will need to shift their focus from voice to mobile broadband.
 
Hmm. Didn’t learn a lot from that. Next.
 
Prediction 3: The cloud is key
Cloud computing has redefined the structure of entire industries – among other things, “shifting consumers from buying products to buying services,” Huawei reckons.
 
This means “tremendous opportunities” for telcos because the cloud relies on secure and reliable networks.
 
“Operators entering the cloud computing market can leverage their unique network and subscriber advantages to create new value-added services and experiences by integrating industry content and applications.
 
“Cloud computing is a key area for operators who want to go beyond [the] bitpipe.”
 
No arguments there. Next?
 
Prediction 4: The home network battlefield
The networked home is the next frontier for the user experience, Huawei says. ”Increasing broadband penetration will create uber-connected homes and home networks.”
 
Most would agree with that, but not necessarily the claim that the past decade was the convergence of telecom and the internet, and the next will be the convergence of broadcast, TV, and the net. Maybe so in China, but elsewhere it doesn’t appear to be true or relevant.

However, telcos would agree that home networking is the “major battlefield for convergence of telecoms, TV and internet.”

 
“It will provide unprecedented strategic opportunities for operators because of the ‘bi-direction and high bandwidth’ features of the telecom network.” 
 
That’s just what the industry wants to hear.
Robert Clark

Tell Us What You Think

Add comment

The content of this field is kept private and will not be shown publicly.
  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.
  • Allowed HTML tags: <a> <em> <strong> <cite> <code> <ul> <ol> <li> <dl> <dt> <dd> <a> <p> <span> <div> <h1> <h2> <h3> <h4> <h5> <h6> <img> <img /> <map> <area> <hr> <br> <br /> <ul> <ol> <li> <dl> <dt> <dd> <table> <tr> <td> <em> <b> <u> <i> <strong> <font> <del> <ins> <sub> <sup> <quote> <blockquote> <pre> <address> <code> <cite> <embed> <object> <strike> <caption>
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.
  • Use <!--pagebreak--> to create page breaks.

More information about formatting options

Custom (MWC button)

Video from Telecom Channel

M-commerce a rising force in AsiaPac
The era of the ‘unwired enterprise’ looms. Sybase 365’s Talbot explains what it all means.
 

Voices_tabs

Opportunities in the cloud and home networks
CSL is the latest Hong Kong cellcos to bet on HSPA as a DSL substitute
Mobile broadband operators can beat the issue of costs outpacing revenues, but vendors aren't helping by oversimplifying the nature of the problem
Intel is reasserting its smartphone ambitions with Atom, an app store and a little help from LG
In the mobile world of 2010, hardware is just a vehicle for service-enabling software platforms and devices are anything you can stick an RF chip inside
Operators need to reign heavy users, but any move away from flat rates requires meaningful metrics, like a meter widget showing data usage in real time

Frontpage Content by Category

Industry experts put their heads together and stick their necks out to call the big trends for 2010

businessweek_industryview

After losing ground to Apple and others, the software giant may need an acquisition to avoid losing out in the smartphone market
How universal IP location standards and network-based location data could improve navigation app performance

lighter_side_telecom_career

LEDs augment Wi-Fi networks
To take CEO post of mobile VAS firm?