Opta: Liverpool Loss to Man Utd Raises Arsenal’s Chances of Clinching the Premier League

Marina Magomedova
20 Oct 2025
12:07
Opta: Liverpool Loss to Man Utd Raises Arsenal’s Chances of Clinching the Premier League

The supercomputer Opta Sports updated the probability forecasts for teams winning the 2025-2026 Premier League season.

On October 19, Liverpool lost to Manchester United 1-2, and the day before, Arsenal defeated Fulham 1-0.

As a result, the Gunners extended their lead over the Merseyside club in the standings. Arsenal’s chances of winning rose to 51.74%, while Liverpool’s dropped to 21.61%.

It is worth noting that Manchester City’s probability to win the title stands at 16.7%, Chelsea’s at 4.05%, Crystal Palace’s at 1.57%, Bournemouth’s at 1.07%, Aston Villa’s at 0.92%, Newcastle’s at 0.63%, Tottenham’s at 0.45%, and Manchester United’s at 0.15%.

Currently, Arsenal lead the Premier League table with 19 points after eight matches. Manchester City are second with 16 points, and Liverpool hold third place with 15 points.

Earlier, the reputable websiteTransfermarkt updated the market values of several players from Premier League clubs.

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