Following the conclusion of the quarter-final matches of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup, the Opta supercomputer recalculated the championship probabilities for each team. Opta Analyst provided this information.
According to the updated data, the most likely winner is the French club Paris Saint-Germain, with a probability of 38.54%. They are followed by the English club Chelsea, whose chances stand at 33.86%. Real Madrid's likelihood of winning is rated at 24.67%. The Brazilian team Fluminense has the lowest chances, with a probability of just 2.93%.
In the first semi-final match, Fluminense will face Chelsea, while PSG will take on Real Madrid in the second match. The semi-finals are scheduled for July 8 and 9. The winners will meet in the finals on July 13 to determine the champion.
See the tournament overview here.
