Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Mario Bautista: Preview, Prediction, Where to Watch & Latest Betting Odds

Nnaemeka Ijioma
25 Oct 2025
21:00

No. 2 Bantamweight contender Umar Nurmagomedov makes an appearance in the octagon for the first time since a failed bid for the bantamweight title in January, when he clashes with streaking American Mario Bautista in the main card of UFC 321. Umar Nurmagomedov, who lost for the first time in his career when bantamweight Champion Dvalishvili beat him, is the huge favorite to hand Mario Bautista his first setback in nine fights. Bautista, who has made tremendous progress while being under the radar, has now moved into the top ten of the bantamweight rankings.

Bet on Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Mario Bautista with Bet365
Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Mario Bautista
Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Mario Bautista

Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Mario Bautista Fight Details

  • Date: Saturday, October 25, 2025
  • Time: 23:00 GST
  • Venue: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, UAE

Where to Watch Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Mario Bautista Live on TV or stream

CountryTV Channel/Stream
UKPPV
USPPV
CanadaPPV
AngolaSupersport

Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Mario Bautista Fight Preview

Umar Nurmagomedov: form and statistics

The No. 2 ranked Umar Nurmagomedov had won the first two rounds of his championship fight against "The Machine" before Dvalishvili increased the tempo to win by unanimous decision and retain the title. Umar Nurmagomedov broke his arm in that fight, enduring a longer recovery time in the aftermath of the loss, and now prepares to renew his push for the 135-pound gold, starting from this fight. The setback last time out was Nurmagomedov's first professional loss.

Tale of the Tape

  • Age: 29
  • Height: 5'8"
  • Reach: 69"
  • Weight: 135 lbs (61kg)
  • Record: 18-1
Bet on Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Mario Bautista with Bet365

Mario Bautista: form and statistics

Following two losses from his first four UFC fights, Mario Bautista has now reeled off eight straight wins, including a decision over PFL great Patchy Mix. The MMA Lab member had operated under the radar until he defeated veteran Hall of Famer Jose Aldo last year by split decision. Mario Bautista is now in the spotlight, having earned a place opposite Nurmagomedov.

Tale of the Tape

  • Age: 32
  • Height: 5'9"
  • Reach: 70"
  • Weight: 135 lbs (61kg)
  • Record: 14-2

Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Mario Bautista Fight Prediction

Mario Bautista has stated that he will not underrate the striking of Nurmagomedov, as he takes on one of the best grapplers in the UFC. The MMA Lab fighter also has a good wrestling skill set, but he is nowhere near the level of the Dagestani fighter. Bautista may be the form fighter coming into this fight and must be commended for stitching together a solid 8-fight run, but we think he will run out of road in this matchup. Umar Nurmagomedov will win by decision.

Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Mario Bautista Betting Odds

BookmakersNurmaagomedov by decisionFight to go the Distance
Bet3651.571.40
1xbet1.611.47
Betway1.561.44
Bet on Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Mario Bautista with Bet365
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