Adelaide Crows vs Collingwood Magpies Prediction: Adelaide Crows to continue winning run

Adelaide Crows vs Collingwood Magpies Prediction and Odds on the Match on August 17, 2025

In round twenty-three of the Australian Football League, the Adelaide Crows will play the Collingwood Magpies at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. The home side, Adelaide Crows, are the well-favoured, while the Collingwood Magpies come in as underdogs. How will this game unfold? Below, I preview this game and offer predictions. 

Adelaide Crows: Form and Statistics

Congratulations to Kieran Strachan for being the first ever Crow to play 100 SANFL Club games. After the loss to Richmond last year, Adelaide fans were furious. But rather than hide away and lick their wounds, Adelaide management got on the front foot. That moment now looms as the turning point behind the rise of the AFL dark horse. Adelaide Crows showed class against Western Bulldogs last month and will head into this one hoping for a better result. In that encounter, this team needed a solid start to win, as the first three quarters' performances were enough to earn them a 98-109 contest.

Adelaide Crows: Team News and Lineup

Rory Laird’s one-match suspension for rough conduct has been upheld by the tribunal. He will miss Saturday night’s clash against Collingwood. Max Michalanney will return to training next week as he continues his recovery from a hamstring strain. Meanwhile, Josh Rachele is expected to return to running next week and James Peatling will be a test for Saturday’s clash against Collingwood after suffering a corked thigh against West Coast on Sunday.

Adelaide Crows Team List

B: J.Worrell, N.Murray, H.Bond

HB: W.Milera, M.Keane, B.Smith

C: I.Cumming, J.Dawson - C, D.Curtin

HF: B.Keays, R.Thilthorpe, A.Neal-Bullen

F: I.Rankine, D.Fogarty, T.Walker

FOLL: R.O’Brien, J.Peatling, J.Soligo

I/C: H.Schoenberg, Z.Taylor, S.Berry, M.Hinge, L.Murphy

EMG: C.Burgess, J.Butts, B.Dowling

In: - B.Smith, T.Walker, H.Schoenberg, L.Murphy

Out: - R.Laird (Suspension), C.Burgess (Omitted), C.Jones (Omitted), L.Pedlar (Injured)

Collingwood Magpies: Form and Statistics

A quick end-to-end transition from the team results in Will Hoskin-Elliott kicking his first VFL goal in 132 days. Two Premiership Pies and a VFL stalwart return for our clash with Port Melbourne, with a win on Saturday guaranteeing us a finals berth. Darcy's loyal to the black and white has re-signed his contract still 2029. Darcy Cameron has committed his future to the club. The heart and soul Ruck and 2024 Copeland Trophy runner up has signed on for a further three years. Jeremy Howe has entered concussion protocols and is recovering at home after he left the field in the opening minute of last night’s clash.

Collingwood Magpies: Team News and Lineup

An in demand Magpies has re-signed while Scott Pendlebury has Boomer Harvey's record in his sights after signing on for a 21st season. Collingwood has provided an update on Jeremy Howe's condition after he was concussed in a heavy collision with Hawthorn's Jai Newcombe last night. Fly has announced that its pressure forward, Mccreery, will return on Saturday night for his first match back since Round 19

Collingwood Magpies List

B: B.Maynard, D.Moore - C, B.Frampton

HB: J.Daicos, H.Perryman, I.Quaynor

C: S.Sidebottom, N.Long, J.Crisp

HF: J.De Goey, D.McStay, L.Schultz

F: J.Elliott, B.Mihocek, P.Lipinski

FOLL: D.Cameron, S.Pendlebury, N.Daicos

I/C: D.Houston, W.Parker, T.Membrey, B.McCreery, E.Allan

EMG: T.Mitchell, O.Markov, M.Cox

In: - W.Parker, B.McCreery, E.Allan

Out: - T.Mitchell (Omitted), J.Howe (Injured), W.Hoskin-Elliott (Omitted)

Adelaide Crows vs Collingwood Magpies Head to Head Statistics

In the last five meetings between the Adelaide Crows and Collingwood Magpies, the Away side easily dominated with five wins. In the last win, it ended in a 78-68 score margin for Collingwood Magpies.

Adelaide Crows vs Collingwood Magpies Betting Tips & Odds

• Collingwood Magpies ranks 1st for total tackles. They also rank 2nd for tackles inside their forward 50. But their defense has problems. They rank in the bottom six for stopping clearance goals. They also rank in the bottom five for defending kicks and inside 50s. A win for the Collingwood Magpies is available on Bet365 with odds at 2.80.
• On the other hand, Collingwood is struggling. They have not covered the betting spread in their last five games. Also, their defense has gotten worse. Handicap Collingwood Magpies (+14.5) at 1.87 odds for the Bet365 bookmark.
• Riley Thilthorpe is scoring lots of goals up front. He has kicked 18 goals in five games. Meanwhile, Jordan Dawson keeps getting lots of touches. He has gotten 25 or more touches in four of his last seven games. Moreover, Adelaide is very accurate when they shoot for the goal. They rank 2nd in the AFL for goal accuracy. They also rank 3rd for turning inside 50 entries into goals. This makes them very dangerous when they control the ball. Over 38.5 total in the first Quarter for the Crows is available on 1Xbet with odds at 1.87.
• Adelaide is playing very well right now. They have won 10 games out of their last 11. Also, they beat three top teams in a row. Currently, they sit at the top of the ladder. They are strong at home. They have won nine games straight at Adelaide Oval. Furthermore, they have covered the betting line five times in a row. A win for the home team is available on 1Xbet with odds at 1.47 on Bet365.

Adelaide Crows vs Collingwood Magpies Match Prediction 16 August 2025

The Crows have surged into premiership favouritism after their 15-point victory over Hawthorn last two weekend, showing no mercy against teams outside the top eight in 2025. They remain unbeaten in 12 such matches, with four of their last five wins coming by 60 points or more. Collingwood still have good players. Nick Daicos, Jordan De Goey, and Brody Mihocek are all fighting hard. But they have lost the smooth play from last season. They have gone under the total score in five straight games. Now they rely on individual great plays to stay in games. In conclusion, Adelaide's pressure and skill should win the game. Take Adelaide to win by 1-39 points. Also, take the over 89.5 total points. Jordan Dawson should get 25 or more touches again. He is the favorite to win the Brownlow Medal this season.

Our match prediction is Over 157.5 total points with odds at 1.95 on the 1Xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip is Handicap Collingwood Magpies (+14.5) at 1.87odds on the Bet365 bookmaker.

Our final match prediction is Over 38.5 total in the first Quarter with odds at 1.87 on Betway.