Brisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans Prediction: Brisbane Lions to tap into their recent win strength

Brisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans Prediction and Odds on the Match on August 09, 2025

In round twenty-two of the Australian Football League, the Brisbane Lions will play the Fremantle Dockers at The Gabba, Brisbane. The home side, Brisbane Lions, come in as well-favoured, while the Fremantle Dockers are the underdogs. How will this game unfold? Below, I preview this game and offer predictions. 

Brisbane Lions: Form and Statistics

Brisbane are umpired differently, can duck, can hold, can run over the mark, and get 4 goals from frees. The Lions are forming a queue to replace Lachie Neale in the middle of the ground for the rest of the home and away season. Dean Cox is looking forward to working with new CEO Matthew Pavlich on shaping the club's list for the future. Brisbane’s on-ball brigade will be forced to lift while Lions co-captain Lachie Neale is sidelined with a torn quad — a development that blindsided one star teammate. It's been 19 years since someone as young as Logan Morris kicked half a dozen goals on the MCG turf. And on Saturday night, he significantly helped skyrocket Brisbane's hopes of a double chance this September. The Lions bounced back from last week's loss to beat the Pies at the G' for the first time in 11 years.

Brisbane Lions LINEUP

Brisbane coach Chris Fagan is confident his side has the depth to cover for Lachie Neale. The Brisbane Lions' hopes of going back-to-back have taken a huge hit with reports Lachie Neale will miss the rest of the home & away season with a quad injury. But, Tom Doedee is in line to play his first game 22 months since joining. Tom Doedee is one of several Lions pushing their case to replace Ryan Lester.

Brisbane Lions Team List

B: D.Zorko, D.Gardiner, T.Doedee

HB: D.Wilmot, H.Andrews - C, B.Starcevich

C: J.Fletcher, H.McCluggage, J.Berry

HF: C.Cameron, E.Hipwood, Z.Bailey

F: C.Rayner, L.Morris, C.Ah Chee

FOLL: D.Fort, J.Dunkley, W.Ashcroft

I/C: L.Ashcroft, S.Marshall, H.Smith, W.McLachlan, B.Reville

EMG: D.Robertson, L.Beecken, D.Joyce

In: - T.Doedee, W.McLachlan

Out: - R.Lester (Injured), L.Neale (Injured)

Sydney Swans: Form and Statistics

Matthew Pavlich, former Dockers captain and Channel 9 sports presenter, has been appointed CEO of the Sydney Swans, replacing Tom Harley who will step into the AFL chief operating officer role. Sydney was earlier this season approached by Jack Silvagni’s management on potential interest in the defender. The Swans, however, are expected to prioritise the other end of the ground, having been linked with Blues forwards Charlie Curnow and Harry McKay

Sydney Swans LINEUEP

As things stand, John Longmire sits at the top of Melbourne’s wish list for their new head coach. Always incredibly hard to replace a premiership coach as loved as Simon Goodwin, however Longmire is viewed favourably internally. Dean Cox is looking forward to working with new CEO Matthew Pavlich on shaping the club's list for the future. The Swans rode a monster game from Brodie Grundy to record their tenth win of the season.

Sydney Swans Team List

B: L.Melican, D.Rampe, T.McCartin

HB: C.Mills - C, N.Blakey, S.Wicks

C: O.Florent, Ch.Warner, J.Lloyd

HF: J.Rowbottom, J.Buller, J.Jordon

F: J.McInerney, T.Papley, J.Dattoli

FOLL: B.Grundy, I.Heeney, E.Gulden

I/C: H.Cunningham, A.Sheldrick, B.Campbell, H.McLean, C.Cleary

EMG: P.Ladhams, M.Roberts, Co.Warner

In: - H.McLean

Out: - P.Ladhams (Omitted)

Brisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans Head-Head Statistics

In the last five meetings between the Brisbane Lions and Sydney Swans, the home side easily dominated with five wins. In the last win, it ended in an 82-86 score margin for the Brisbane Lions.

Brisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans Match Betting Tips & Odds

• The Swans bounced back from a season-defining loss the previous weekend to defeat Essendon 68-54. Despite poor conditions in Sydney due to heavy rain, they held their own. The bookies have Sydney Swans to win at 3.72 odds for the 1xbet bookmaker.;
• Brodie Grundy was in career-best form, collecting 39 disposals, 22 of them contested, along with 13 clearances and 32 hitouts, as Sydney dominated the stoppages. The team ranks 3rd in Hitouts Win Percentage and limits their opponents to the 3rd fewest Stoppage Clearances. Over 164.5 points is available on Bet365 with odds at 1.89.;
• The Lions secured a massive win last weekend, defeating Collingwood 92-65 at the MCG. The victory keeps them close to the top of the ladder, just two competition points and a significant percentage gap behind the Crows and Pies. A win for the Brisbane Lions is available on Bet365 with odds at 1.26.;
• Brisbane has managed to stay competitive after their recent Premiership, something few teams have achieved in recent years, though it hasn’t been easy, as they’ve had to fight hard late in games to come from behind and win. Handicap Brisbane Lions ( -17.5) at 1.60 odds for the Bet365 bookmark.

Brisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans Match Prediction 09 August 2025

Gotta wonder how a team who finished in the top 3 last season and had a prelim at their home ground hosted Brisbane Lions who finished 5th in the season, get to play Tigers, Bombers, and Saints twice in the season, and only have to play one top 8 side in the final 8 weeks is interesting for sure. Such a soft draw once again. Lions didn't win the flag in 23 but in 2024 got the hardest draw, then again this season, which makes more sense as they won the 24 flag, but for the Cats to get an easier draw than most other teams in the 8 is interesting. Lions double-ups this season, Cats, Dogs, Pies, Hawks, Suns, Swans. (Lowest double up is Swans) Who made the GF, meanwhile, Cats have Saints, Bombers, and Tigers twice. The Sydney Swans have lured a Fremantle legend to the club to take on the role of CEO. Matthew Pavlich will replace Tom Harley, who is headed to AFL headquarters in Melbourne. Swans only just beat Essendon yesterday - who are even more injury-depleted than when we beat them by 95 points in Rd 14. If Brisbane Lions play like they have the last few weeks, (ignore the score line and oppo - look at our pressure), Brisbane Lions should beat Sydney by 5+ goals.

Our match prediction is Over 164.5 total points with odds at 1.89 on the 1Xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip is Handicap Brisbane Lions ( -17.5) at 1.61 odds on the Bet365 bookmaker.

Our final match prediction is Brisbane Lions (over 94.5) total points with odds at 1.88 on Betway.