Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns Prediction: can Gold Coast Suns prevent an upset from Carlton Blues

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09 Aug 2025 12:35
Australian Football League
Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
09.08.2025, 12:35
Muhydeen Murphy
08 Aug 2025
17:08
All time statistics:
1240
888
13
57.92%
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type Handicap Gold Coast Suns (-19.5)
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Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns: Prediction for the match on August 09, 2025

In round twenty-two of the Australian Football League, the Carlton Blues will play the Gold Coast Suns at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. The home side, Carlton Blues, are the underdogs, while the Gold Coast Suns come in as well-favoured. How will this game unfold? Below, I preview this game and offer predictions. 

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Michael Voss has survived Carlton’s hellish season and will coach the Blues next year after being backed by incoming chief Graham Wright. The Dockers Survive A Serious Scare. They trailed for most of the day, but a 51-pt turnaround over the brave Blues avoids a finals-shaping upset. A second suitor has reportedly emerged for Carlton free agent Jack Silvagni. Meanwhile, Richmond is said to be leading the race for an out-of-favour forward. Carlton might be wishing this season was over. Instead, it's perhaps about to enter the most defining month since the last time it was in this position. Unfortunately for Blues fans, that wasn't that long ago. At 7-12, the club's on-field campaign has nowhere to go.

Jack Silvagni meets with Essendon Bombers, Brad Scott, Carlton Blues, Collingwood Magpies, three club race for Brandon Starcevich, North Melbourne.

Carlton Blues Team List

B: A.Saad, J.Weitering, M.Carroll

HB: L.Cowan, L.Young, N.Haynes

C: B.Acres, P.Cripps - C, A.Moir

HF: O.Hollands, H.McKay, W.White

F: L.Fogarty, H.O’Keeffe, Z.Williams

FOLL: T.De Koning, C.Lord, G.Hewett

I/C: B.Wilson, C.Durdin, F.Young, J.Motlop, F.Evans

EMG: J.Binns, M.Pittonet, A.Cincotta

In: - H.O’Keeffe, B.Wilson

Out: - H.O’Farrell (Injured), M.Pittonet (Omitted)

The Suns now sit 6th on the ladder with 52 points and have the 5th best points differential of any team vying for a finals spot. To maintain control of their fate, they need to win at least two of their remaining four games, and if they win all of them, they could finish in the top 4. Gold Coast Suns Co-Major Partner SIXT has reaffirmed commitment to the club, extending its partnership for a further two years. SIXT was officially welcomed to the club in 2022 and will continue to feature prominently on both the SUNS’ AFL and AFLW guernseys as Co-Major Partner beyond 2025. Jarrod Witts has shrugged off high praise from Damien Hardwick and turned his attention to the next challenge for the Suns.

Gold Coast utility Connor Budarick is weighing up a two-year offer from the Suns. Gold Coast has suddenly flagged preliminary interest in not one, but TWO of Collingwood's premiership Pies... and it comes amid other contract frustrations at the club.

Gold Coast Suns Team List

B: B.Uwland, M.Andrew, S.Collins

HB: J.Noble, W.Powell, J.Jeffrey

C: L.Weller, M.Rowell, B.Fiorini

HF: T.Miller, B.Ainsworth, B.Humphrey

F: B.Long, J.Farrar, B.King

FOLL: J.Witts, A.Davies, N.Anderson - C

I/C: N.Holman, E.Read, C.Budarick, M.Rosas, O.Adams

EMG: A.Sexton, N.Moyle, J.Rogers

In: - M.Rosas

Out: - S.Flanders (Injured)

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In the last five meetings between the Carlton Blues and Gold Coast Suns, the home side easily dominated with three wins. In the last win, it ended in a 102-73 score margin for the Carlton Blues.

  • The Suns aren’t quite there yet, but they took a huge step toward securing their first-ever finals spot with a dominant 107-23 victory over the Tigers last weekend. This win was particularly sweet for Gold Coast, as they had been upset by the bottom team earlier in the season. The bookies have Gold Coast Suns to win at 1.26 odds for the 1xbet bookmaker.;
  • Noah Anderson and Matt Rowell have been outstanding all season, and Jarrod Witts could be one of the most underrated rucks in the league, with 36 hitouts, 5 clearances, and 2 tackles against an experienced opponent. Over 171.5 points is available on Bet365 with odds at 1.85.;
  • The Blues seemed on track to upset the Dockers last weekend, dominating early by winning centre clearances 6-1 in the first quarter (and 5-0 in the second) to lead 30-12 at the first break. A win for the Carlton Blues is available on Bet365 with odds at 3.72.;
  • However, their lead gradually diminished as Fremantle took control after half-time, winning the final stoppage clearance count 43-27. While Carlton ranks 2nd in contested possessions, they struggle with efficiency, sitting 17th in disposal efficiency this season. Handicap Fremantle Dockers ( -18.5) at 1.61 odds for the Bet365 bookmark.

Charlie Curnow went some way to easing one burden for the Blues on Thursday night – emphatically reiterating that his future is at the club when speaking to reporters after the match – but plenty of other headaches remain. Carlton simply must nail every decision from here, right through until November's Telstra AFL Draft, if it is to get the train back on the tracks by the time 2026 rolls around. One day after receiving board backing to retain his position, Carlton coach Michael Voss has spoken of his “hollow joy” at the reassurance - but maintained the situation had been overplayed external. Take the Suns to win by 1-39, as this has been the trend in their matchups. Matt Rowell, averaging 25+ disposals this season, should easily surpass that number in this game. Jy Farrar is a solid pick for 2+ goals if he stays in the squad, while Ben King is set for another 3+ goal performance.

Our match prediction is Over 171.5 total points with odds at 1.87 on the 1Xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip is Handicap Gold Coast Suns (-19.5) at 1.60 odds on the Bet365 bookmaker.

Our final match prediction is Gold Coast Suns (Under 99.5) total points with odds at 1.84 on Betway.

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Odds 1,60
Bet Type Handicap Gold Coast Suns (-19.5)
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Odds 1,87
Bet Type Over 171.5 total points
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Odds 1,84
Bet Type Gold Coast Suns (Under 99.5) total points
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