Collingwood Magpies vs Melbourne Demons Prediction: Collingwood Magpies is the better of the struggling sides

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22 Aug 2025 12:10
Australian Football League
Collingwood Magpies vs Melbourne Demons
Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne
22.08.2025, 12:10
Muhydeen Murphy
21 Aug 2025
18:20
All time statistics:
1240
888
13
57.92%
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Odds 1,87
Bet Type Under 167.5 total points
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Collingwood Magpies vs Melbourne Demons: Prediction for the match on August 22, 2025

In round twenty-four of the Australian Football League, the Melbourne Demons will play the Collingwood Magpies. The match will take place at Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne. The away side, Melbourne Demons, are the underdogs. They are coming into this match from three consecutive losses. Meanwhile, the Collingwood Magpies come in as well-favoured despite losing their last two matches. How will this game unfold? Below, I preview this game and offer predictions.

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Collingwood Magpies have fallen off as the one-time premiership favourites. They have lost five of their past six games. Those losses have all been against the top eight sides. The only win in that period was a scrappy one over 17th-placed Richmond. However, they are unbeaten in 10 matches against sides in the bottom half of the ladder this season. Their structure and team defence have fallen away in recent weeks. The tally of 110 that Hawthorn scored a fortnight ago was the most of any side this season. But the signs were there against Adelaide. They conceded just nine goals and 37 inside 50s.

Nick Daicos picked up 29 disposals in the tight loss to the Crows. He has had 25+ in eight of his past nine games. He collected 30+ in five of those. Meanwhile, Tim Membrey and Jamie Elliott both booted two goals.

Collingwood Magpies: Team List

B: B.Maynard, D.Moore - C, J.Howe

HB: H.Perryman, J.Daicos, I.Quaynor

C: S.Sidebottom, J.Crisp, R.Steele

HF: J.De Goey, T.Membrey, L.Schultz

F: J.Elliott, D.McStay, B.McCreery

FOLL: D.Cameron, N.Long, N.Daicos

I/C: P.Lipinski, D.Houston, S.Pendlebury, B.Frampton, B.Mihocek

EMG: W.Parker, E.Allan, M.Cox

In: - J.Howe, R.Steele

Out: - E.Allan (Omitted), W.Parker (Omitted)

Melbourne has won only two of their last 11 matches, with those victories coming against West Coast and North Melbourne. They have also won just two of 11 this season against top-eight opponents. Last weekend, Melbourne struggled with scoreboard impact. Jacob van Rooyen and Harrison Petty were the only multiple goal scorers, each kicking two. Melbourne caretaker coach Troy Chaplin will not pursue the Demons’ vacant coaching position despite having strong aspirations to be a senior coach. The Melbourne defender fronted the Appeals Board in a bid to overturn the suspension handed down by the AFL Tribunal for his controversial collision with Carlton forward Francis Evans, just over a week ago. Melbourne Demons in the fourth quarter at Marvel Stadium this year have been from 1.6 to 17.3.

Adam Simpson has given a nonsense response to reports he is on the radar of Melbourne powerbrokers after the sacking of premiership coach Simon Goodwin. Melbourne's decision to part ways with Simon Goodwin is the first big coaching domino to fall in 2025, putting pressure on a rival club. Petty has kicked 2+ goals in his last three games. Meanwhile, Bailey Fritsch has kicked 14 goals in his last six matches. Clayton Oliver had 28 disposals against Hawthorn and has gone over 25 disposals in four of his past five matches, with 23 in the other.

Melbourne Demons Team List

B: J.Bowey, T.McDonald, T.Rivers

HB: C.Salem, D.Turner, B.Howes

C: J.Culley, C.Petracca, T.Sparrow

HF: H.Langford, B.Fritsch, K.Chandler

F: J.Melksham, J.van Rooyen, K.Pickett

FOLL: M.Gawn - C, J.Viney, E.Langdon

I/C: J.McVee, C.Windsor, C.Oliver, M.Jefferson, J.Adams, T.Campbell, H.Sharp, H.Petty

In: - M.Jefferson, J.Adams, T.Campbell

Out: -

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In the last five meetings between the Collingwood Magpies and Melbourne Demons, the home side easily dominated with four wins. In their last meeting, it ended in a 71-72 score margin for the Collingwood Magpies. 

  • Bobby Hill remains a week-to-week proposition, and the Magpie army will be eager to see the 2023 Norm Smith Medalist back in action as finals approach. Ed Allan was the sub last weekend and came on late in the game.
  • Collingwood’s grip on the double chance has loosened after losing five of their past six. However, they only narrowly lost to Adelaide last weekend by three points. A win here will almost lock in a top-four spot. The bookies have Collingwood Magpies to win at 1.31 odds for the 1xbet bookmaker.
  • Collingwood has won the last four meetings between the two sides. Four of the past five matches between Collingwood and Melbourne have gone under the total points. Handicap Collingwood Magpies (-21.5) at 1.91 odds for the Bet365 bookmark.
  • In that match, Melbourne dominated in disposals, clearances, and inside 50 count, with five players recording 25 or more disposals. Bailey Fritsch was a standout up forward, kicking four goals. He’s now scored 12 goals in his last four matches. Over 164.5 points is available on Bet365 with odds at 1.87.
  • Melbourne has won two of their last four matches, having squandered what seemed like a certain victory against St Kilda a fortnight ago, before bouncing back with a strong performance against West Coast. A win for the Melbourne Demons is available on Bet365 with odds at 3.375.

Melbourne premiership star Ed Langdon isn't convinced a new coaching voice was needed to steer the Demons back into the finals mix. Simon Goodwin built an offensive juggernaut, turned it into a defensive powerhouse, and ended the curse of Norm Smith. They haven't won a final since. And now he's gone. It means Melbourne faces an impossible question over a glorious moment. However, Collingwood will not take them lightly. The Demons were in winning positions during some of those losses, including against the Bulldogs two weeks ago. Their recent losses to Collingwood, St Kilda, Port Adelaide, and Carlton were due to inaccuracy and a lack of polish in front of goal.

Our match prediction is Over 162.5 total points with odds at 1.64 on the 1Xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip is Under 167.5 total points at 1.87 odds on the Bet365 bookmaker.

Our final match prediction is Collingwood Magpies (under 92.5) total points with odds at 1.87 on Betway.

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