Sydney Swans vs Geelong Cats Prediction:Geelong Cats to trample upon Sydney Swans

Sydney Swans vs Geelong Cats Prediction and Odds on the Match on August 17, 2025

In round twenty-three of the Australian Football League, the Sydney Swans will play the Geelong Cats at Sydney Cricket Ground, Sydney. The home side, Sydney Swans, come in as underdogs, while the Geelong Cats are the well-favoured. How will this game unfold? Below, I preview this game and offer predictions. 

Geelong Cats: Form and Statistics

5 Cats were recognised by the coaches in yesterday’s win, including Oisín Mullin, who received his first votes of the year. Geelong has been even more impressive than Sydney. They have won 10 of their past 12 matches. Recently, they have dominated weaker teams. They beat North Melbourne by 101 points. They also beat Port Adelaide by 88 points two weeks ago. Then they beat the Bombers last weekend. Their past three wins have all been by more than 39.5 points. This shows they are winning easily against most opponents.

Geelong Cats LINEUP

Danger and Jack Martin return for Sunday’s clash with the Swans. Tenacious Tom, In laying his six tackles on Friday night, Tom Atkins has now made the most tackles in an AFL Home & Away season since records began in 1999. Recognition for six Cats in the Coaches' Votes as Max and Bailey move into the top six for the season. Geelong has been scoring lots of goals lately. They have kicked over 100 points in 10 of their past 13 matches. In two of their past three games, they have scored over 150 points. Jeremy Cameron is their main goal-scorer. He kicked four goals last weekend. He now has 79 goals for the season. He has kicked 4 or more goals in seven of his past eight matches. This shows his incredible consistency.

Geelong Cats Team List

B: J.Henry, S.De Koning, C.O’Sullivan

HB: L.Humphries, T.Stewart, Z.Guthrie

C: O.Dempsey, M.Holmes, M.Blicavs

HF: T.Stengle, S.Mannagh, B.Close

F: P.Dangerfield - C, J.Cameron, S.Neale

FOLL: R.Stanley, B.Smith, T.Atkins

I/C: O.Mullin, J.Clark, J.Bews, G.Miers, J.Bowes, M.Knevitt, M.O’Connor, J.Martin

In: - P.Dangerfield, J.Bews, J.Martin

Out: -

Sydney Swans: Form and Statistics

Congratulations to Nick Blakey who will play his 150th game against Cats. Sydney has been playing very well lately. They have won five out of their last six matches. Their only loss came against GWS three weeks ago. In that game, they were winning by 28 points at halftime but lost the match. Matthew Pavlich, former Dockers captain and Channel 9 sports presenter, has been appointed CEO of the Sydney Swans, replacing Tom Harley who will step into the AFL chief operating officer role. Sydney was approached earlier this season by Jack Silvagni’s management on a potential interest in the defender. The Swans, however, are expected to prioritise the other end of the ground, having been linked with Blues forwards Charlie Curnow and Harry McKay.

Sydney Swans LINEUEP

As things stand, John Longmire sits at the top of Melbourne’s wish list for their new head coach. Always incredibly hard to replace a premiership coach as loved as Simon Goodwin; however, Longmire is viewed favourably internally. Dean Cox is looking forward to working with new CEO Matthew Pavlich on shaping the club's list for the future. The Swans rode a monster game from Brodie Grundy to record their tenth win of the season.

Sydney Swans Team List

B: L.Melican, H.Cunningham, T.McCartin

HB: C.Mills - C, N.Blakey, S.Wicks

C: O.Florent, Ch.Warner, J.Lloyd

HF: T.Papley, J.Buller, J.Jordon

F: W.Hayward, H.McLean, B.Campbell

FOLL: P.Ladhams, I.Heeney, E.Gulden

I/C: D.Rampe, A.Sheldrick, J.Dattoli, J.Rowbottom, C.Cleary, W.Green, M.Roberts, Co.Warner

In: - W.Hayward, P.Ladhams, W.Green, M.Roberts, Co.Warner

Out: - J.McInerney (Injured), B.Grundy (Injured)

Sydney Swans vs Geelong Cats Head to Head Statistics

In the last five meetings between the Sydney Swans and Geelong Cats, both sides of the team shared the spoils with two wins each and a draw. In the last win, it ended in a 112-82 score margin for the Sydney Swans.

Sydney Swans vs Geelong Cats Betting Tips & Odds

• The Swans bounced back from a season-defining loss the previous weekend to defeat Essendon 68-54. Despite poor conditions in Sydney due to heavy rain, they held their own. The bookies have the Sydney Swans to win at 3.30 odds for the 1xbet bookmaker.
• Brodie Grundy was in career-best form, collecting 39 disposals, 22 of them contested, along with 13 clearances and 32 hitouts, as Sydney dominated the stoppages. The team ranks 3rd in Hitouts Win Percentage and limits their opponents to the 3rd fewest Stoppage Clearances. Over 173.5 points is available on Bet365 with odds at 1.91.
• Sydney has had injury problems with their key forwards. Logan McDonald and Joel Amartey have been out for most of this season. Because of this, Sydney has had to find new ways to score goals. Isaac Heeney has stepped up as their main goal-scorer. He kicked five goals last weekend against Brisbane. He now leads Sydney with 35 goals for the season. He had another brilliant match. Handicap Sydney Swans ( +18.5) at 1.91 odds for the Bet365 bookmark.
• Bailey Smith had 31 possessions against Essendon last weekend. Max Holmes had 29 possessions in the same game. Holmes has been very consistent. He has had 30 or more possessions in five of his past nine matches. Smith has been even better. He has had 30 or more possessions in nine of his past 12 matches. A win for Geelong is available on Bet365 with odds at 1.36.

Sydney Swans vs Geelong Cats Match Prediction 17 August 2025

Heeney had 23 possessions against Brisbane last weekend. Meanwhile, other players also got plenty of the ball. Errol Gulden had 29 possessions. Angus Sheldrick had 26 possessions. Chad Warner also had 26 possessions. Why it’s playable — Geelong have been piling on points this season (they sit near the top for points per game and rate highly for tackles/inside-50s), which creates a real pathway to a big scoreboard day. Their forward structure is deep and multi-headed — the Cats find goals from some sources and move the ball through the midfield in a way that produces repeat inside-50s and scoring chains. The Swans have had lapses this year (including a heavy home loss) and their season form sits around even; if their mids are overrun or key defenders miss, they’ve shown they can be blown out. They are capable of slowing games and defending staunchly when they need to, so this remains a high-variance punt. Keep the unit small and treat it as a speculative upside play.

Our match prediction is Over 173.5 total points with odds at 1.91 on the 1Xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip is Handicap Geelong Cats ( +18.5) at 1.91 odds on the Bet365 bookmaker.

Our final match prediction is 1st Quarter (over 42.5) total points with odds at 1.89 on Betway.