Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Prediction: Bookmakers either overestimated offense or underestimated defense

San Diego recently failed to beat Colorado at home, ending the series in a tie. Will the Padres be able to cope with their division's outsider on the road? Let's pick a few betting options at once.

Colorado couldn't take a single game away from Cleveland

Since returning from the road, the Rockies had a home-and-home series with Cleveland and failed to beat the Guardians once, 3-4, 5-7, 2-4. This is a surprising result, considering that Colorado usually plays with a lot of confidence at home. The Rockies remain last in the NL West standings with a 27-37 balance, while the overall conference standings have them in 11th place. Only Pittsburgh, the Chicago Cubs, Washington and Cincinnati are behind.

Colorado's starting pitcher for the upcoming meeting is Kyle Freeland, who is 2-5 and has a 4.39 ERA in 12 games. Freeland beat San Diego on June 12 (6-2), allowing 2 runs in 6 full innings.

San Diego overtook Dodgers

After a poor home series with Colorado, Bob Melvin's team had a great outing at Wrigley Field against the Chicago Cubs, winning all 4 games, 4-1, 12-5, 19-5, 6-4. Thanks to these victories, the Padres were able to overtake the Los Angeles Dodgers in the National League West Division standings and move into first place. San Diego now has a 41-24 lead, while the Dodgers are 39-23.

MacKenzie Gore, 4-2 and with a 2.50 ERA in 10 games, will pitch for San Diego in the upcoming game. Gore lost to Colorado on June 12, allowing six runs in 2.1 innings.

Head-to-head encounters

The score in the season series is 2-2. 

Expert Betting Tips

San Diego starting pitcher MacKenzie Gore is unlikely to fail in his second consecutive game against Colorado. Though, betting on the Padres to win here still looks dangerous. After three straight losses to Cleveland, The Rockies will do their best in the upcoming game, and they have a chance to win. After all, the Denver team is traditionally strong in their high altitude stadium. Let's not touch the outcome and take the total – the Rockies have recently added to the defense, and San Diego has been at the top of the defense efficiency rating all season.

Prediction: Total Under.

Betting options:

• Total Under (12.5) for 1.80;
• San Diego Total Under (6.5) for 1.86;
• 5 Innings Total Under (6.5) for 1.83.

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