Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction: Brewers to win this hot final

Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction and Odds on the Match on September 04, 2025

In a Major League Baseball encounter this Thursday, the Milwaukee Brewers will play Philadelphia Phillies at American Family Field. The first two games between these two sides ended in a split. Which team gets the win in this finale? In the next section, we will preview this game and offer best betting options. 

Milwaukee Brewers : Form and Statistics

The Milwaukee Brewers will start right-hander Freddy Peralta, a likely Cy Young finalist in the National League. Through 28 starts this season, Peralta is 16-5 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. His advanced stats are strong, ranking in the 74th percentile for expected ERA (xERA), 84th for expected batting average (xBA), 85th for average exit velocity, and 93rd for hard-hit rate. Peralta has been successful against the Philadelphia Phillies, posting a 1.83 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in his last four meetings with them. Milwaukee ended a 2-game losing streak with a win on Wednesday as a +102 underdog. The Brewers jumped out to a 5-run lead in the first inning, highlighted by a 3-run homer from LF Isaac Collins. 2B Brice Turang added two hits, including an RBI double in the fourth. With the win, the Brewers clinched the season series and a potential tiebreaker.

Milwaukee Brewers - Team News

Brandon Marsh went 4 for 5, driving in the go-ahead run in the ninth inning as the Philadelphia Phillies overcame an early four-run deficit to defeat the Milwaukee Brewers 10-8 in the first game of their three-game series. Marsh singled home pinch-runner Garrett Stubbs after Abner Uribe struck out Bryce Harper and walked Kyle Schwarber and J.T. Realmuto. Harrison Bader added an insurance run with a single to score Realmuto. Brewers manager Pat Murphy was ejected after arguing that Realmuto hadn’t checked his swing on a 3-2 pitch that was low and outside.

Philadelphia Phillies - Forms and Statistics

The Philadelphia Phillies are the closest team to taking the National League's top seed from the Milwaukee Brewers, but after their loss on Wednesday, they now trail by 5 1/2 games. The Phillies won the first game against the Brewers on Monday but struggled on Wednesday with Aaron Nola on the mound. Nola allowed six earned runs, continuing a tough season with a 6.78 ERA in 13 starts. Despite injuries, manager Rob Thomson remains confident in the former All-Star. Nola's first-inning struggles have hurt his numbers, but his past success gives hope for a turnaround. The Phillies' rotation is seeking answers after Zack Wheeler's injury, and Nola will likely play a key role.

Philadelphia Phillies - Team News

Heading into Thursday, the Phillies held a two-game lead over the Los Angeles Dodgers for the No. 2 seed in the NL. Securing one of the top two spots would avoid a wild card series. In their loss, LF Weston Wilson hit a 2-run homer in the seventh, and the Phillies outhit the Brewers 9-6.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Orioles Betting Tips & Odds

• The first two games of this series have ended with many runs. The two teams have the best offense and we should be up for another similar outcome. Over 7.5 is available on Betway with odds at 1.87.
• The Milwaukee Brewers have the most wins in the National League this season. Despite losing the opener, they have been able to even the series with a three-run win in game two. A win in this finale will be huge for them with odds available on 1Xbet at 1.76.
• The Philadelphia Phillies have been dominated by the Milwaukee Brewers in recent with one win in their last five games being a testament. While they have come into this game, a win in this encounter might turn things around for the Phillies and bolster their confidence. The moneyline option is available on 1Xbet with odds at 2.10.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Match Prediction 04 September 2025

Peralta has been one of the league's top pitchers this season, leading MLB in wins and ranking fourth in ERA. Milwaukee has won 11 of his last 14 starts, and the Brewers have dominated the Phillies, winning 4 of 5 in their season series. At home, Milwaukee is strong with a 46-25 record, while Philadelphia has a 35-36 mark on the road. The Under is 7-2-2 in their last 11 meetings since June 2024. Though the total is lower than usual, both pitchers excel at limiting runs and base runners. In this matchup between the top National League teams, the moneyline offers the best value.

Our first Prediction is a money line beat on Milwaukee Brewers - 1.76 odd on 1xbet bookmakers

Our Second Prediction is Over 7.5 Totals - 1.83 odds on Bet365 Bookmakers

Our third Prediction is Over 3.5 Milwaukee Brewers Total - 1.68 odds for Betway Bookmaker