New York Mets vs New York Yankees: Prediction for the match on 04 July 2025

New York Mets
New York Mets
Start
Day
Hours
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Finished
Live
04 Jul 2025 22:10
New York Yankees
New York Yankees
Major League Baseball
New York Mets vs New York Yankees
Citi Field
04.07.2025, 22:10

Muhydeen Murphy
04 Jul 2025
15:27
All time statistics:
1240
888
13
57.92%
Statistics
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Odds 1,96
Bet Type New York Yankees to Win
Bonus 100 EUR
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New York Mets vs New York Yankees: Prediction for the match on July 04, 2025

We are back to Citi Field where the New York Mets open another series, this time against the Yankees. Ahead of this game, the New York Mets secured a win in their last series, while the New York Yankees won the last series of this fixture. How will these New York sides approach this game? I will give a comprehensive game preview and provide free betting options. 

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New York Mets bounce back to winning ways after struggling against the Pittsburgh Pirates as they suffered a sweeping loss. In the opener against the Milwaukee Brewers, this team lost 2-7 and that extended their losing streak to four consecutive matches. However, game two went in favour of this side, with a five-run performance in the second inning being enough to give them a solid lead. Midnight in the finale, this team needed a second and sixth innings run to win as they eased past the Brewers in a 3-2 encounter. Ahead of this game, the New York Mets have the fourth best performance in the National League with a 50-38 record and a 0.568 PCT. 

The New York Mets are expected to go with Justin Hagenman in this opener. This season, Justin Hagenman has five strikeouts and a 0.833 walks plus hits per inning pitched, pulling off a 1.50 average earned runs. 

The New York Yankees could not get it right in the opener of their series against the Toronto Blue Jays, losing in a close 5-4 contest. In that encounter, this team started well, taking the lead up until the sixth inning when the Toronto Blue Jays turned the game around. However, this team struggled and went to lose each of the final three matches, ending 12-5, 11-9, and 8-5. In the meantime, their recent up to this fixture has not been consistent with one win and one defeat in their last series. In fact, the New York Yankees have now lost seven of their last ten matches, losing to the Cincinnati Reds in that run. Ahead of the game the New York Yankees have a 0.552 PCT with a 48 to 39 record so far. 

The New York Yankees will lean on Marcus Stroman to get the ball in this opener. This season, Stroman has a 1-1 record with an average earned runs of 8.16 and 8 strikeouts. In his career, Stroman is 1-1 with a 4.76 average earned runs and 11 strikeouts against the Mets. 

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  • The New York Yankees are on a losing run and will hope to end their poor run. The away team won the last time in this fixture and have a 1.96 odds of winning on 1Xbet bookmaker.
  • The New York Mets have won consecutive matches and will feel confident of opening this series with a win. The odds slightly favour them on Bet365 at 1.86.
  • The last five matches involving the New York Yankees and other teams have ended with at least nine runs. Also, four of the last five matches involving the New York Mets and other teams have ended with a similar result. Over 9.0 runs is available on Bet365 with odds at 1.83.
  • This season, the New York Mets have come into a game as favourites 62 times and won 40, or 64.5%, of those games.
  • For the New York Yankees, they have been chosen as underdogs in eight games this year and have walked away with the win two times (25%) in those games.
  • The New York Yankees have lost each of their last seven road games against National League East opponents following a loss.
  • The New York Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine day games against American League opponents following a home win.

The New York Mets and New York Yankees have shown some solid performances overall this season and this is a game where you can not write either side off. While this will be their first meeting, it is clear this game will go the wire especially considering how much the New York Yankees struggled against the Toronto Blue Jays which will demand them to give their best of games. However, I feel things might go well for the New York Yankees this time as they have shown they can compete and coming into this game to end their losing run will be a very big boost for them. Regardless, expect a very tough game like their past meetings as the New York Mets are not expected to give in easily.  

Our match prediction is a win for the New York Yankees with odds at 1.96 on 1Xbet bookmaker. 

Our betting tip is over 9.0 total runs with odds at 1.83 on Bet365 bookmaker. 

Our final match prediction is New York Yankees over 4.5 runs with odds at 1.90 on Betway bookmaker. 

Odds
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Odds 1,96
Bet Type New York Yankees to Win
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 1,83
Bet Type Over 9.0 Runs
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Odds 1,90
Bet Type New York Yankees - Over 4.5 Runs
Bonus 250 USD
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