Canelo Álvarez vs Terence Crawford Prediction: Terence Crawford to cause an upset

Canelo Álvarez vs Terence Crawford: Prediction and odds on the Match on 14 September, 2025

This Sunday at Boxing, in the Super Middleweight Division, Canelo Álvarez and Terence Crawford will face off in the ring, aiming to impress fans once again. Scheduled as the Main Event under the 168 lbs (76.2 kg) weight class, this match is expected to be highly exciting. It will take place at the Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States. Both boxers are coming into this fixture from consecutive victories in their last five matches. Who will win this encounter? Here at Telecom Asia, we take a look at the match’s preview and offer free betting opportunities.

Canelo Álvarez recent form

At 35, Alvarez first won the undisputed middleweight championship in November 2021, holding it until July 2024 when he was stripped for not defending against Scull. He regained the title in May 2025 after facing Scull. A four-division world champion, Alvarez has held titles in junior middleweight, middleweight, super middleweight, and light heavyweight. From Guadalajara, Mexico, Alvarez boasts a 63-2-2 record, including 39 knockouts. His only losses came against Floyd Mayweather Jr. in 2013 and Dmitry Bivol in 2022. He has a 24-2-1 record in world title fights, with 11 knockouts. He is ranked No. 7 by CBS Sports, with a 62% knockout rate and an average of 7.8 rounds per fight. Alvarez, the undisputed super middleweight champion, secured all four belts in a 12-month run from December 2020 to November 2021. After moving up to light heavyweight and losing to Bivol, he returned to 168 lbs to finish his trilogy with Gennady Golovkin in 2022. In May 2025, he regained his undisputed crown with a dominant win over William Scull.

Canelo Álvarez`s Strength

A victory over Crawford would not only earn Alvarez a significant purse (rumored to be between $100 and $150 million) but also add Crawford's perfect record to his legacy. However, with criticism over avoiding David Benavidez in recent years, defeating Crawford would help protect Alvarez from a high-profile loss against an older, smaller opponent, which could damage his legacy.

Terence Crawford's recent form

Crawford made an impression on Shawn Porter with a commanding performance that went viral. He dominated Errol Spence Jr. in his new division, stopping him after nine rounds after dropping him twice in the second and seventh rounds. Although Canelo's size may play a role, Crawford may have an advantage due to his footwork and movement as he advances through several weight classes. His great jab and ability to make opponents chase him are his main advantages. Crawford's skill set is still a significant advantage even after he moved up in weight. Crawford is trying to make history by going up two weight classes. He wants to become the first male fighter to win all four titles in three different weight classes. He is already undefeated at light-welterweight and welterweight. After dominating Spence in 2023 to unify the welterweight division, Crawford has only fought once since, defeating Israil Madrimov in 2024 to win the WBA junior middleweight and WBO interim junior middleweight titles.

Terence Crawford`s Strength

Crawford has a perfect 41-0 record with 31 knockouts. In world title fights, he is 19-0 with 15 knockouts. Crawford has a 76% knockout rate and averages 6.0 rounds per fight. 14 of his last 16 wins came by knockout.

Canelo Álvarez vs Terence Crawford Betting Insights, Tips & Odds

• Alvarez is a powerful body puncher and one of the most accurate counterpunchers in the sport. He’s known for landing heavy shots to his opponent’s arms and shoulders to wear them down physically.
• Crawford's path to victory depends on his ability to withstand Alvarez’s power. Though Alvarez hasn't scored a stoppage since 2021, his power remains a threat.
• Crawford, capable of switching between orthodox and southpaw, has superior footwork compared to Alvarez, even at his age.
• While Alvarez’s hand speed is strong, Crawford's is better. Crawford’s ability to move in and out of range against the more stationary Alvarez could be key to his success in this fight.

Canelo Álvarez vs Terence Crawford Expert Betting Tip

Given that Canelo has experience in higher divisions and will be competing at his preferred super-middleweight, Crawford will need to adapt to the weight increase. Crawford needs to keep up his speed and endurance to match Canelo's strength and pressure. The main distinction between the two fighters, who both have extensive championship experience, might be in the specifics: Canelo's ability to control timing and distance, Crawford's defense under duress, and Crawford's approach to rehydration. Crawford has continuously demonstrated his capacity for adaptation, outperforming opponents over time and performing well under pressure. His flexibility might be very important. His skill set may be able to bridge the weight gap if he settles into a rhythm early and maintains his mobility. Crawford is predicted to prevail by points in this bout, which is likely to go the distance.

Our First prediction is W2 to win at 2.45 odds on 1xbet

Our Second Prediction is a W2 to win by decision or Technical Decision with odds at 3.20 odds on bet365

Our third prediction is W2 to win points at 3.10 odds on Betway