Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua Prediction: The boxing match up to cap the year

Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua: Prediction and odds on the Match on 20 December, 2025

Joshua hasn’t fought since September 2024, when Daniel Dubois knocked him out. Paul, on the other hand, was almost ready for his fight against Gervonta Davis, but Davis faced more legal issues. This fight will be streamed live on Netflix. The contract states that they’ll wear 10-oz gloves, Joshua can’t weigh more than 111 kg (245 lbs), and each fighter will make nearly $100,000,000. Check out my Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua preview, predictions, odds, and the fight date below.

Jake Paul: Form and Statistics

Paul, 28, is gearing up for his second heavyweight fight. He believes he’ll beat Joshua in the fifth or sixth round. He has a 12-1 record, with seven knockouts, but he hasn’t faced the level of competition Joshua has. Jake Paul was born in Ohio. He and his brother, Logan, started their YouTube careers at age 10. They initially posted on Vine before transitioning to their own YouTube channel, which gained fame for pranks and hip-hop music. Jake also worked on Disney Channel before focusing on his personal brand and business ventures. He is confident he will tire out Joshua before finishing him in their big heavyweight clash. This fight marks Paul’s return since June and is seen as his toughest test yet. Paul, a natural cruiserweight, will step into the heavyweight class for the second time, after a decision win over Mike Tyson in November 2024. Originally, Paul was set to face Gervonta Davis in November 2024, but the fight was canceled due to a lawsuit against Davis. Since his pro debut in 2020, Paul has been eager to prove himself. Now, as he prepares for Joshua, the "Problem Child" is certain he’ll score the biggest upset in boxing history.

Jake Paul Strength

Jake Paul steps in confidently, but when not tired by the middle rounds, he moves out quickly. He often jabs up top and follows with a big rear-hand hook. However, as the rounds go on, he loses the good footwork he starts with. He stumbles in and out of exchanges and sometimes crosses his feet. His low guard seems active but doesn’t always cover his chin in time. As his footwork fades, his decent chin and aggressive forward movement make up for it. However, mid-tier boxers would easily find and exploit these weaknesses.

Anthony Joshua: Form and Statistics

Anthony Joshua was born in England. His cousin, also a professional boxer, inspired him to take up the sport. When Joshua was 12, his parents divorced, and he focused more on football, showing great athletic skills. His cousin's boxing club became his motivation, and he quickly excelled in the sport. Joshua then won the Haringey Box Cup. He was offered £50,000 to turn professional but chose to focus on winning more medals. His dedication paid off, and he earned a spot on the GB Boxing team. Joshua became the GB Championship champion after defeating Amin Isa. In March 2024, Joshua made history by knocking out former UFC Heavyweight Champion Francis Ngannou in just the second round. He also secured impressive wins over Dillian Whyte, Wladimir Klitschko, and Robert Helenius, earning recognition as one of the most powerful punchers of the past decade. With a 28-4 record and 25 knockouts, Joshua is set to face a cruiserweight with limited high-level boxing experience. He aims to finish the fight early. Joshua’s last fight was in September 2024 when British rival Daniel Dubois defeated him by a brutal fifth-round knockout, ending his four-win streak and taking the IBF title. Since then, Joshua has been recovering from an elbow injury that required surgery. A low-key fight in late 2025 was expected, with Cassius Chaney as a possible opponent. However, his comeback will likely include a major 2026 schedule, starting with a February fight in Riyadh and a high-profile bout in September, possibly against Tyson Fury, if he comes out of retirement. This time, Joshua is not training with Ben Davison. He has been working with Team Usyk in Spain.

Anthony Joshua Strength

Joshua is a strong boxer with great footwork and a stiff jab. He’s aggressive, often pushing forward. When his opponent retreats, he throws a distracting hook or jab before landing a powerful uppercut. His main weakness is dealing with pressure up close. He can avoid it, as seen in his fights against Ruiz and Usyk, but desperate shots can catch him off-guard, even leaving him unprotected at times. Joshua has the edge over Paul in fight IQ, strength, speed, and technique, especially at heavyweight, where Paul has less experience.

Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua Betting Insights, Tips & Odds

• Paul, a YouTuber turned boxer, is eight years younger than Joshua and 25 pounds lighter, even with a weight clause limiting Joshua to 245 pounds.
• Anthony Joshua is a -1200 favorite over Jake Paul in their Heavyweight Bout on Friday. Paul is moving up from Cruiserweight for this fight.
• Joshua has a clear physical advantage. He’s 5 inches taller, has a 6-inch reach advantage, and is expected to weigh about 30 pounds more than Paul on fight night.
• The gap between them is obvious. Joshua stands at 6-foot-6 with an 82-inch reach and will weigh around the 245-pound limit. Paul is 6-foot-1, with a 76-inch reach, and will likely weigh between 220 and 230 pounds.

Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua Expert Betting Tips

The boxing world is stunned by the announcement of a heavyweight bout between Jake Paul and former two-time champion Anthony Joshua. While Joshua's durability isn’t what it once was, it’s hard to see Paul hurting him significantly. Eventually, Joshua's size, power, and pressure will likely break through. This could be the first time Paul gets dropped in the ring. Unless the contract somehow involves Joshua losing for a huge payday, the outcome seems clear. We predict Anthony Joshua to win by KO/TKO.

Our first prediction is Over 2.5 rounds - 1.83 odds on 1xbet

Our second prediction is Anthony Joshua via third round KO/TKO - 1.90 odds on BC.Game

Our third prediction is Over 2.5 rounds - 1.83 odds on Betway