Vergil Ortiz Jr vs Erickson Lubin Prediction: Vergil Ortiz Jr to settle the score early enough

Vergil Ortiz Jr vs Erickson Lubin: Prediction and odds on the Match on 09 November, 2025

Ortiz (23-0, 21 KOs) will defend his WBC interim super-welterweight belt against Lubin (27-2, 19 KOs) at Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, Texas. All Action will be held at Dickies Arena, Fort Worth, Texas. If Vergil Ortiz Jr. wins by knockout again, he will keep his super-welterweight title. Erickson Lubin likes to counterpunch, but that could be dangerous against someone like Ortiz. The champion has a lot of power and can end a fight in an instant with his shots. Once Ortiz gets into a groove, he will probably be able to get past Lubin's defense and take charge in the later rounds. Who do you think will win?

Vergil Ortiz Jr recent form

Vergil Ortiz Jr recent form

After being out of the ring for more than a year, Vergil Ortiz Jr. had a great year in 2024. He came back in style, knocking out Fredrick Lawson and Thomas Dulorme in the first round to keep his streak of knockouts going. Then he had to take his hardest test. In August, Ortiz fought for the first time in his career for 12 rounds. Serhii Bohachuk knocked him down twice, but he fought back hard to win a close majority decision in Las Vegas and take home the interim WBC crown. Bohachuk had won that title five months earlier by beating Brian Mendoza, so Ortiz knew it wouldn't be easy—and it wasn't. Judges gave him scores of 113-113, 114-112, and 114-112, making it a "Fight of the Year" candidate and showing that Ortiz could dig deep when it mattered most. In February, he defended the belt against Israil Madrimov in Riyadh, going the distance again and winning on points. It was another tough test for the Texan, who had beaten all of his opponents before those two fights. The Ring now ranks Ortiz No. 1 at 154 pounds. He keeps getting better by combining raw power with patience and calmness. You can expect the same constant pressure against Erickson Lubin. Ortiz will move forward slowly, cutting off the ring to trap Lubin near the ropes or in the corners. He'll dig hooks into Lubin's body when he's close to him, which will drain his energy. His main weapon will be the overhand right, which he will throw clean over Lubin's southpaw jab to end exchanges on his terms.

Vergil Ortiz Jr Strength

Vergil Ortiz Jr. is coming back to Texas for a fight that will change his life against Erickson Lubin. The undefeated power puncher from Grand Prairie wants to stay perfect when he fights at Dickies Arena in Fort Worth. Everyone will be watching him as he tries to win another big fight in front of his hometown fans.

Vergil Ortiz Jr Strength

Vergil Ortiz Jr. is coming back to Texas for a fight that will change his life against Erickson Lubin. The undefeated power puncher from Grand Prairie wants to stay perfect when he fights at Dickies Arena in Fort Worth. Everyone will be watching him as he tries to win another big fight in front of his hometown fans.

Erickson Lubin recent form

Erickson Lubin recent form

Erickson Lubin (27-2, 19 KOs) is the next person Vergil Ortiz Jr. will fight. The IBF ranks the Florida native as the best in the world. He has won three straight fights against Luis Arias, Jesus Ramos Jr., and Ardreal Holmes Jr. He could have fought Bakhram Murtazaliev for the IBF title, but he chose the harder path by fighting Ortiz instead. That choice puts more pressure on him to prove himself. Lubin's trip hasn't been easy. In 2017, Jermell Charlo stopped him in the first round of a WBC title fight. After that loss, he won six in a row before facing Sebastian Fundora in 2022. Both men fell to the ground, but Lubin quit after nine rounds of a brutal fight. He came back last May after being out for 18 months and showed everyone how good he was by knocking out Ardreal Holmes Jr. in the 11th round. At 30, "The Hammer" thinks that his timing and experience are finally coming together. Lubin needs to move around a lot and play good defense to win. He wants to keep Ortiz off balance by using quick footwork and smart angles. He'll have to keep his distance, move away from Ortiz's strong hand, and fire off quick combinations before getting out of range. He might be able to annoy the hometown favorite if he can stay active and disciplined.

Erickson Lubin Strength

Lubin, who is known for being tough and strong, wants to ruin the homecoming and get back into the title race.

Erickson Lubin Strength

Lubin, who is known for being tough and strong, wants to ruin the homecoming and get back into the title race.

Vergil Ortiz Jr vs Erickson Lubin Betting Insights, Tips & Odds

• Vergil Ortiz Jr. holds a perfect record of 23-0. Out of those wins, 21 have ended by knockout. Four of his last six stoppages came in the later rounds, between rounds seven and twelve.
• On the other side, both of Erickson Lubin’s defeats have come by stoppage — a reminder of how dangerous Ortiz’s power can be.

Vergil Ortiz Jr vs Erickson Lubin Prediction

Vergil Ortiz Jr vs Erickson Lubin Prediction

Erickson vs. Vergil Ortiz Jr. Lubin is going to set Texas on fire with pure energy. Ortiz has another chance to show why he is one of the most dangerous punchers in boxing, this time in front of his home fans. Lubin has a chance to make things right and shake up the division. Both fighters are strong and proud, which makes for an exciting main event in Fort Worth. The winner will be one step closer to bigger fights and a chance to win the world title. Ortiz's main goal is to stay undefeated and move closer to a fight with WBC champion Sebastian Fundora. Lubin might not be able to handle his strength, pressure, and timing. This fight might not even get to the halfway point if Ortiz finds his rhythm early. Lubin's best chance is to land cleanly during an exchange, but Ortiz's fast pace makes that hard to do. Expect fireworks right away, and Ortiz to win by stoppage in the fifth round.

Our first prediction is Vergil Ortiz Jr to win by KO, TKO, or DQ - 1.61 odds for 1xbet

Our Second Prediction is Over 7.5 Rounds - 1.60 odds for Bet365

Lastly, Fight to go the Distance (No) - 1.60 odds for Betway