Luke Humphries vs Michael Smith Prediction: Competitive contest is expected

Luke Humphries vs Michael Smith: Prediction and Odds on the Snooker Match on 25 May 2025

The round of 8 in European Tour 7 is here. What a day for darts fans! The world number one, Luke Humphries, will play against fellow Englishman Michael Smith. Many are excited for this match. The winner will move on to the quarterfinals. All the action takes place at the famous Autotron in Rosmalen. Both players have won three of their last five matches. So, who will win this next round? At Telecom Asia, we share a match preview. Plus, we offer free betting chances.

Luke Humphries: Forms and Statistics

Luke Humphries is into the last 16 at the Dutch Darts Championship, as he dodged a match dart from Cameron Menzies before finishing 95 to take a 6-5 second-round win in Rosmalen. Mr `Cool Hand' was 5-3 down, but a 121 finish kick-started a comeback, and he eventually ended with a 105.76 average to book a round three clash against Michael Smith tomorrow afternoon. In the 2023 Poland Darts Masters, He recorded six consecutive victories coming into the quarterfinal matchup. These victories came against Marko Kantele, Stephen Bunting, Nathan Aspinall, James Wade, Dirk van Duijvenbode, and Hungarian Nandor Major. In his round 1/8 match against Nandor, Luke Humphries almost dominated the entire play, and he enjoyed a comfortable 6-0 win. Nandor, however, had the better 180 throws in 2 to his opponent's 1. Also, in terms of checkout percentage, Luke Humphries had 42.86, which corresponds to an easy 80 Highest Checkout, while Nandor Major had 0. Throughout the PDC World Championship, Humphries has secured victories against players such as Lee Evans, Ricardo Pietreczko, Joe Cullen, Dave Chisnall, and Scott Williams. Looking back at his performance before this tournament, Humphries has been impressive, losing only one match in his last sixteen outings. This defeat came in a 6-10 result against James Wade in the European Championship quarterfinals. The Englishman Luke Humphries should be well prepared for the amount of strain he will be under throughout this match because he is undoubtedly aware that he has a significant challenge in front of him. 

Luke Humphries: Strength

Luke Humphries (105.7) was behind 5-3 but came back to beat Cameron Menzies in the final leg. It was a high-quality match with 113 maximums. Humphries is known for making strong comebacks. In the game, he had a 119.70 scoring average. He hit six 180s and had a 40% checkout rate. He also scored 60% in turns and made one 100+ checkout.

Michael Smith: Forms and Statistics

Michael Smith won a close match 6-5 in the European Tour 7 round of 16. Before this, he lost early in Player Championship 16, going down 3-6 to Mario Vandenbogarde. In 2023, Smith was ranked number one in the world and was the snooker world champion. Now, he is ranked 20th. His World Championship match was against Van Gerwen. Since winning the PDC Under-21 World Championship in 2013, he has won 17 PDC Pro Tour titles. He finished second several times—in the World Championship (2019, 2022), Premier League (2018), World Matchplay (2019), European Championship (2022), UK Open (2022), The Masters (2020), and World Series Finals. Finally, in 2022, he won his first major PDC title at the Grand Slam of Darts. Despite this success, Smith hasn’t been perfect since becoming world champion. He has had wins but also losses. In a tense 16-15 quarterfinal at the Grand Slam of Darts, he barely beat Joe Cullen, helped by some luck. He averaged 100.11 on three darts and threw one 180 out of 14 attempts. His total score wasn’t the highest, though. Now, Smith faces a tougher opponent. Still, we expect the experienced English pro to play well and give a strong challenge.

Michael Smith Strength

Michael is a fantastic, classy player. He is one of the toughest players to beat. He’s not been at his best, but he’s slowly getting there. He has the highest all-time win percentage of any regular ATH panelist (30.2%). Ryan Joyce misses TEN match darts in the 10th leg of the match, with Michael Smith levelling things up and then taking out 106 to win the game.

Luke Humphries vs Michael Smith Match Tips & Odds

Luke Humphries marches through to the final day here in Rosmalen, as the world number one wins a thriller against Cameron Menzies, beating the Scotsman 6-5 in a last-leg decider. In the Night 14 fixture, Luke Humphries beats Luke Littler, who is a star in the game. In his last match, Michael Smith recorded a 108.03 scoring average, five 180s, a 40% checkout in darts, 55% in turns, a 100+ checkout, 106, and survived ten match darts. The odds the bookmakers have for Luke Humphries to win are 1.343, and for Michael Smith to win at 3.265.

Luke Humphries vs Michael Smith Match Prediction 25 May 2025

In what was a brilliant game between Luke Humphries and Cameron Menzies, the deciding leg from Humphries under immense pressure was unreal, and that’s why he’s the best on the planet. Luke Humphries is full of respect for Michael Smith ahead of their third-round clash. He is the favorite in this match, we anticipate that he will bring his A game to the table and perform at the highest possible level. Given that class quality, level of play, and distinctive skills are anticipated to be the deciding factors in this matchup, a wager on Luke Humphries emerging victorious appears to be the wisest option. While there is a likelihood that this game will be close, Michael Smith's high level of play makes it possible to consider betting on the over. In addition, these two players have already demonstrated in a prior match in this competition that they have what it takes to have a number over 180 throws, which is why a bet on over 180 throws is a good choice for this matchup.

Our match prediction is -2.5 handicap for Luke Humphries with odds at 2.00 on 1Xbet bookmaker. 

Our betting tip is a 6-3 correct score with odds at 5.00 on Bet365 bookmaker.  

Our final match prediction is under 9.5 total legs with odds at 1.61 on Betway bookmaker.