Boca Juniors vs Lanus Prediction: Will Boca Juniors enter with a bang?

Boca Juniors vs Lanus: Prediction and odds on the Match on May 11 2025

The knockout stage of the Torneo Betano 2025 kicks off with Boca Juniors hosting Lanús at La Bombonera in the round of 16. Boca finished 2nd in Group A with 33 points, while Lanús secured 7th place in Group B with 20 points. Both sides come into the match with contrasting dynamics: Boca aims to capitalize on their excellent home form, while Lanús seeks to surprise despite a less consistent campaign.

Boca Juniors: form and statistics

Boca recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in the group stage, scoring 24 goals and conceding 11. They remain unbeaten at home (7 wins, 1 draw), showcasing an outstanding 0.25 goals conceded per home game and a strong 75% clean sheet rate. Offensively, they average 1.5 goals per match with Merentiel (6 goals) leading the attack, supported by Palacios and Cavani. They’ve won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored in all of them.

Boca Juniors: Lineup

In a likely 4-3-3 setup, Boca will deploy Marchesín in goal with Advíncula, Rojo, Blanco, and Battaglia forming the back line. Belmonte, Palacios, and Delgado form a compact midfield trio, while Merentiel leads the frontline supported by Velasco and Zenón on the flanks. This attacking trio combines pace and skill, capable of unlocking tight defenses. The team faces a big blow with the injury of Cavani.

� Boca Juniors starting lineup (4-3-3)

Marchesín – Advíncula, Battaglia, Rojo, Blanco – Belmonte, Delgado, Palacios - Zenón, Velasco, Merentiel

⛔️ Out: Alarcon Cepeda, Cavani, Gimenez, Herrera, Rey Domenech, Romero (all injured)

� Head coach: Mariano Herron

Boca Juniors Latest Games

Boca Juniors

01.12.25

Boca Juniors

1 - 0

Argentinos Juniors

24.11.25

Boca Juniors

2 - 0

Talleres

17.11.25

Boca Juniors

2 - 0

Tigre

09.11.25

Boca Juniors

2 - 0

River Plate

02.11.25

Estudiantes

1 - 2

Boca Juniors

27.10.25

Barracas Central

1 - 3

Boca Juniors

19.10.25

Boca Juniors

1 - 2

Belgrano

06.10.25

Boca Juniors

5 - 0

Newell's Old Boys

28.09.25

Defensa y Justicia

2 - 1

Boca Juniors

22.09.25

Boca Juniors

2 - 2

Central Cordoba

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Atlético Lanús Latest Games

Atlético Lanús

27.11.25

Atlético Lanús

0 - 1

Tigre

22.11.25

Atlético Lanús

1 - 0

Atletico MG

15.11.25

Atlético Lanús

3 - 1

Atletico Tucuman

09.11.25

San Martin San Juan

1 - 1

Atlético Lanús

04.11.25

Banfield

2 - 1

Atlético Lanús

31.10.25

Atlético Lanús

1 - 0

Universidad de Chile

24.10.25

Universidad de Chile

2 - 2

Atlético Lanús

18.10.25

Atlético Lanús

2 - 0

Godoy Cruz

13.10.25

Independiente

0 - 2

Atlético Lanús

05.10.25

Atlético Lanús

2 - 1

San Lorenzo

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Lanus: form and statistics

Lanús had a mixed group phase, with 4 wins, 8 draws, and 4 defeats, scoring just 13 goals and conceding 11. Their biggest concern is a low scoring rate (0.81 per game) and a high failure to score rate (44%). They’ve drawn 4 of their last 5 fixtures, with 3 coming away from home. Despite a solid defense, they struggle to convert chances – with a low 7% shot conversion rate. Moreno (4 goals) and Salvio (3 goals) are their main threats.

Lanus: Lineup

In a 4-2-3-1 formation, Lanús should start with Losada in goal. The defense features Izquierdoz, Méndez, López, and Marcich. Cardozo and Carrera will hold midfield, while Salvio, Moreno, and Canelo operate behind striker Segovia. The team relies on organization and quick transitions, but must improve attacking productivity to challenge Boca.

� Lanus starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Losada – Mendez, Izquierdoz, De Jesus, Marcich – Cardozo, Carrera – Salvio, Marcelino, Segovia – Canelo

⛔️ Out: Acosta, Loaiza, Pena Biafore, Perez (all injured)

� Head coach: Pellegrino

Boca Juniors vs Lanus: head to head statistics

In their last 17 meetings, Boca has won 8 times, Lanús 5, with 4 draws. Boca has netted 23 goals while Lanús scored 18. Matches tend to be close, but Boca holds a better record at home. Their last encounter ended in a1-0 win for Lanus.

History of Head-to-Heads

Apertura Playoff 2025

11.05.25

Boca Juniors

1 - 0

Atlético Lanús

Liga Profesional 2024

04.11.24

Atlético Lanús

1 - 0

Boca Juniors

Copa de la Liga Profesional 2024

19.02.24

Atlético Lanús

2 - 1

Boca Juniors

Copa de la Liga Profesional 2023

24.09.23

Boca Juniors

1 - 1

Atlético Lanús

Liga Profesional 2023

11.06.23

Boca Juniors

1 - 1

Atlético Lanús

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Boca Juniors vs Lanus: Betting Tips & Odds

• Draw or Boca Juniors & Under 2.5 Goals: Boca's home dominance and stronger squad depth make them favorites. Also, 87% of Lanús matches ended under 2.5, and Boca also has a 62% under rate. This option is offered on the 1xbet bookmaker website for odds of 1.78;
• First Half Draw – Lanús drew 69% of first halves. Boca also tends to score more late. This option is offered on the 1xbet bookmaker website for odds of 1.93;
• Both Teams to Score - No: Boca Juniors has a 50% clean sheet rate overall, 75% at home. This option is offered on the Bet365 bookmaker website for odds of 1.61;

1X2 DC Handicap O/U BTTS CS O/E HT/FT

Main Time (3) 1st Half (3) 2nd Half (2)

	W1	X	W2
	1.93	2.90	4.60
	1.97	3.00	4.80
	2.45	2.11	5.16

Boca Juniors vs Lanus match prediction 11 May 2025

Boca Juniors is a formidable force at La Bombonera and comes in as strong contenders in this round. Lanús’s solid defense might keep it tight early, but Boca’s attacking weapons are expected to make the difference. Expect a narrow win for the home side in a low-scoring affair.

Our match prediction: Draw or Boca Juniors & Under 2.5 Goals for a coefficient of 1.78 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: Both Teams to Score - No for a coefficient of 1.61 in the bet365 bookmaker.