Stadium Alberto J. Armando
09.11.2025, 21:30
Boca Juniors vs River Plate: Prediction for the Match on November 9 2025
Time of superclasico as each side comes out of completely divergent emotions. Boca had a hard-fought victory with 2-1 that vindicated their domination of the game and punching the second half, and River had lost a shock win in the 0-1 at home to Gimnasia, despite enjoying territory and shot volume. The game should be tense, technical with the game surviving on minute details: defence, set pieces and the way each side defends the midfield.
Receive Your Sign-Up Bonus!Boca Juniors vs River Plate: Form and Statistics
Boca did not have the majority of possession in the 2-1 at Estudiantes (42%), but they had the bigger threat: xG 2.14 vs 2.31 against, 3 big chances created to 1 and clinical in when it counted, as many as the hosts had had 4 shots on target in total attempts. The season image is strong: 1.50 goals scored /0.75 conceded per match, 59% Under 2.5 and 56% clean sheets at home with average 57% possession. They shoot 13.38 at the Bombonera and make 5.06 on average- consistent volume with 12-13% conversion profile.
Unión Santa Fe: Lineup
The XI that Boca has been using over the past few weeks: a practical 4-4-2, with sure footed pivots and punch up front, should remain. The two-way pivot stabilizes the circulation and shields the center lane, Palacios cuts to form the overload at the left side. The penalty-box movement of Merentiel is matched with the dropping between lines by Gimenez,--good in countering low crosses and cut-backs, after Boca made camp.
Boca Juniors starting lineup (4-4-2)
Marchesin – Barinaga, Di Lollo, Costa, Blanco – Carlos Palacios, Delgado, Paredes, Zeballos – Gimenez, Merentiel
Out: Cavani, Fabra, Velasco, Battaglia ( injured)
Head coach: Claudio Ubeda
Barracas Central: Form and Statistics
It was one of those nights (0-1 vs Gimnasia): 64% possession, 19 shots (6 on target), xG 1.94-1.24, 8-3 corners- and River was unable to score and was beaten by a hot goalkeeper (6 saves against them) . Below the frustration, River has elite season metrics with 1.71 xG/1.06 xGA, 0.72 conceded per match, 47% clean sheets, and 66% Under 2.5 aggregate. But without the comfort of home they are effective and cagey: 1.21 scored / 0.57 conceded, 57% away clean sheets, and 62% average possession at home away.
Barracas Central: Lineup
Gallardo would probably remain with the narrow diamond to push the middle with the narrow diamond and push the pivots of Boca. Quintero is central to feed off the wider players and the diamond is left to lock the central lane so that he can make diagonal runs, and Bustos/Casco should pick moments to overlap without exposing rest-defence. Salas stretches the depth - key of pull Boca centre-backs off the zone where second balls fall.
River Plate starting lineup (4-2-3-1)
Armani – Bustos, Martinez Quarta, Diaz, Casco – Castano, Portillo – Colidio, Quintero, Subiabre – Salas
Out: Driussi, Pezzela, Constantini, Montiel (injured)
Head coach: Marcelo Gallardo
Boca Juniors vs River Plate Head-to-Head Statistics
Superclasicos have been hair thin. In the final 5 River are ahead by 1 goal (W3-D1-L1), with a 2-1 at the Monumental in April being the last time Boca beat River in league action; tactical draws with the Bombonera have been experienced before.On average in the past 26 games, River prevailed 10-8 and 8-8 with 16 draws; BTTS occurs 37 and Under 2.5 by nature is Under 2.5 most of the time.
Boca Juniors vs River Plate Betting Trends
- Boca Juniors - Draw No Bet - The positive trend of the visitors and the advantage of playing at La Bombonera gives them an edge. This option is offered on the 1xbet bookmaker website for odds of 1.60;
- 1 st Half - Draw - Boca draw 69 per cent of first halves, River draw 57 per cent of 1Hs. It is not until after the hour that you can expect a cagey opening. This option is offered on the 1xbet bookmaker website for odds of 1.90;
- Both Teams to Score - No – River Away Defence (0.57 conceded - 57% CS) and Boca Home Clean-sheet rate (56% CS) both make at least one clean very live. This option is offered on the Bet365 bookmaker website for odds of 1.68;
Boca Juniors vs River Plate Match Prediction 9 November 2025
Boca will attempt to engage this into a territorial grind - pin River with Zeballos-Palacios rotations and box occupation by Merentiel. River diamond, however, is constructed such as this: close the pivot lane, allow Quintero the pocket and count on Salas to time the penalty box. The former objective turns it all the other way round; otherwise, small details matter.
Our match prediction: Boca Juniors - Draw No Bet for a coefficient of 1.60 in the 1xbet bookmaker.
Our betting tip on the match: Draw in Half-Time for a coefficient of 1.90 in the 1xbet bookmaker.
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