Independiente vs Independiente Rivadavia Prediction: Can Rivadavia surprise Independiente in Avellaneda?

Atlético Independiente
Atlético Independiente
Start
Day
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Live
11 May 2025 21:30
Argentina
Argentina
Torneo Betano Apertura - Playoffs - Round of 16 Stadium Libertadores de América 11.05.2025, 21:30
Eduardo Machado
09 May 2025
20:26
All time statistics:
412
318
4
56.13%
Statistics
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Odds 2
Bet Type Draw or Independiente Rivadavia
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Independiente vs Independiente Rivadavia: Prediction for the Match on May 11, 2025

A tense playoff encounter awaits in the Round of 16 of the Torneo Betano 2025 as Independiente faces Independiente Rivadavia. Both clubs performed strongly in the first phase, finishing with 29 and 27 points respectively.

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Independiente ended the group stage in 3rd place with 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses. Their home record is especially impressive—undefeated with 6 wins and 2 draws, while conceding just 2 goals in Avellaneda. Overall, they scored 23 and conceded 12 goals. Their xG of 1.46 and average possession of 59% reflect a tactically dominant team, though they have failed to score in 31% of games. However, their recent form shows some decline with only 1 win in the last 5 matches.

Independiente: Lineup

There are some doubts on the system that coach Vaccari will display. Usually the team tends to play in a 4-3-3 system, still in their last match they played in a 5-4-1. As the team made a great result, it is expected that they maintain the same 5-4-1 system. Rey should start in goal, protected by a back line of Valdez, Lomónaco, Loyola, Angulo, and Vera. In midfield, Millán and Fernández will play in the middle, while Tarzia and Cabral play in the winds and provide support to striker Matías Giménez.

� Independiente starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Rey – Loyola, Lomonaco, Valdez, Angulo, Vera – Tarzia, Millan, Fernandez, Cabral – Gimenez

⛔️ Out: none

� Head coach: Vaccari

Independiente Latest Games

Independiente Independiente
16.11.25
Independiente Independiente
1 - 0
Rosario Central Rosario Central
11.11.25
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
0 - 1
Independiente Independiente
02.11.25
Independiente Independiente
3 - 0
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman
25.10.25
Independiente Independiente
3 - 0
Platense Platense
20.10.25
San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan
1 - 0
Independiente Independiente
13.10.25
Independiente Independiente
0 - 2
Atlético Lanús Atlético Lanús
05.10.25
Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz
1 - 1
Independiente Independiente
28.09.25
Racing Club Racing Club
0 - 0
Independiente Independiente
21.09.25
Independiente Independiente
1 - 1
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
13.09.25
Independiente Independiente
0 - 1
Banfield Banfield

Independiente Rivadavia Latest Games

Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
17.11.25
Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia
0 - 2
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
11.11.25
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
0 - 0
Central Cordoba Central Cordoba
01.11.25
Aldosivi Aldosivi
3 - 1
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
18.10.25
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
1 - 2
Banfield Banfield
12.10.25
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
0 - 0
Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz
07.10.25
Racing Club Racing Club
0 - 0
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
29.09.25
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
0 - 0
Atlético Huracán Atlético Huracán
20.09.25
Unión de Santa Fe Unión de Santa Fe
2 - 2
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
13.09.25
Atlético Lanús Atlético Lanús
1 - 0
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
30.08.25
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
2 - 1
Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors

Independiente Rivadavia completed the regular season with 7 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 20 goals and conceding 17. Their away form is decent (3W, 3D, 2L) and they come into this match unbeaten in their last 5 games (3W, 2D). With an xG of 1.38 and 50% BTTS rate, the team can compete evenly but tends to concede more chances, especially away (1.64 xGA).

Independiente Rivadavia: Lineup

The offensive team should settle for a 4-3-3 formation with an aim for the victory. This line is led by Kevin Retamar and flanked by Sebastián Villa Cano and Matías Fernández as either of the wide forwards. From the midfield trio, there is support as Tomás Bottari and Franco Amarfil are the ones who come from deeper roles. Sheyko Studer and Matías Valenti are at the back alongside goalkeeper Ezequiel Centurión.

Coach Berti is likely to keep his 4-2-3-1 formation. Centurión will be in goal, backed by a defense of Studer, Valenti, Costa, and Gómez. In midfield, Amarfil and Bottari provide balance, with Fernandez as number 10. While Villa Cano, Gomez and Retamar form a dynamic front three.

� Independiente Rivadavia starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Centurión – Valenti, Studer, Costa, Osella – Bottari, Amarfil – Gomez, Fernández, Retamar – Villa Cano

⛔️ Out: Ramis ( injured)

� Head coach: A. Berti

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The only recent meeting between these sides saw Independiente Rivadavia claim a narrow 1-0 win. Rivadavia has won 2 matches, Independiente has won 1 and they drew another. Just 1 of those 4 games saw more than 2 goals.

History of Head-to-Heads

Apertura Playoff 2025 Apertura Playoff 2025
11.05.25
Independiente Independiente
1 - 0
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
Liga Profesional 2024 Liga Profesional 2024
27.07.24
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
1 - 0
Independiente Independiente
Copa de la Liga Profesional 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional 2024
27.01.24
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
0 - 1
Independiente Independiente
Primera B Nacional 2013/2014 Primera B Nacional 2013/2014
04.03.14
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
2 - 1
Independiente Independiente
Primera B Nacional 2013/2014 Primera B Nacional 2013/2014
02.09.13
Independiente Independiente
0 - 0
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
  • Draw or Independiente Rivadavia: They are in a great momentum and they are expected to maintain it and surprise Rivadavia. This option is offered on the 1xbet bookmaker website for odds of 2;
  • Under 2.5 Goals: More than two thirds of matches for Independiente end under this threshold, more than the half for Rivadavia ends under the threshold also. This option is offered on the 1xbet bookmaker website for odds of 1.52;
  • Both Teams to Score - No: The BTTS percents in both clubs are not high: 38% for Independiente and 50% for Rivadavia. This option is offered on the Bet365 bookmaker website for odds of 1.55;

As long as Independiente remain strong in defense at home, people consider them as favorites, but the upward trend of Rivadavia and the will to do well might make it a tight contest that might make Rivadavia surprise in Avellaneda

Our match prediction: Draw or Rivadavia for a coefficient of 2 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: Both Teams to Score - No for a coefficient of 1.55 in the bet365 bookmaker.

Odds
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Odds 2
Bet Type Draw or Independiente Rivadavia
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Odds 1,52
Bet Type Under 2.5 Goals
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Odds 1,55
Bet Type Both Teams to Score - No
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