San Lorenzo vs Sarmiento Junin: Prediction for the Match on November 16, 2025

San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
16 Nov 2025 00:15
Sarmiento
Sarmiento
Torneo Betano Clausura - Round 16
Stadium Pedro Bidegain
16.11.2025, 00:15


Eduardo Machado
14 Nov 2025
22:39
All time statistics:
412
318
4
56.13%
Statistics
Odds
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Bookmaker
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Odds 1,80
Bet Type San Lorenzo to win
Bonus 100 EUR
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San Lorenzo vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction for the Match on November 16 2025

San Lorenzo, back to El Nuevo Gasometro, on the heels of a very "San Lorenzo" game: 0-0 at Rosario Central where they were defenseless but guarded their ground in a relaxed and disciplined way. Sarmiento arrive came on the back of a much-needed 2-1 home victory over Instituto that halted an alarming streak and made everybody remember that, at a time when they play direct and aggressive, they can be hurtful of their foes.

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The 0-0 draw at Rosario was a good result and near an example of how San Lorenzo cope with tricky away matches.They gave 61 percent of the ball, and the xG battle was extremely tight (0.35 on Rosario vs 0.53 on San Lorenzo), and both sides did not manage to get a clear-cut opportunity. El Ciclon again demonstrated what the statistics prove throughout the season: they do not score a lot, but they are very solid. On the whole they only score 0.85 goals per match and concede 0.68, in the home league only 0.94 scored and a big 76% clean which gives a 53% clean-sheet rate. Their 5 results (W-D-W-L-W) demonstrate a club that is difficult to defeat, at least at home stadium, although their matches are often low event and won by details in the second half.

Their typical 4-2-3-1 formation should be used by San Lorenzo, and it can be interpreted as a 4-4-2 when on the attack. Gill is the goalkeeper, Herrera is a right-back that offers energy and width, Baez is a left-back that offers balance, and a centre back duo that is developed to overcome crosses and secure the box.The double pivot will again be assigned the responsibility of closing central lanes and winning second balls in the midfield in order to release the three attacking midfielders to drift and combine. Cerutti and Ladstatter will probably begin at the wings but constantly cut in between as Gulli plays between the lines and feeds Cuello, who battles with centre-backs, crosses and is the primary point of reference.

San Lorenzo starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Gill – Herrera, Romana, Hernandez, Baez – Tripichio, Peruzzi – Cerutti, Gulli, Ladstatter – Cuello

Out: Arias, Cordoba, Insaurralde, Vombergar (injured), Romana (in doubt)

Head coach: D. Ayude

The 2-1 victory of Sarmiento over Instituto was a well deserved victory. This was despite their having only 38 per cent of the possession, and yet they produced 0.82 xG against 0.96 of that of the visitors, shot 13 times against 12, and most importantly managed to be more effective in front of the goal, with 5 shots on target and one big chance created . The win broke a three-match home losing streak and served as a wake-up call to everyone that Sarmiento are at their finest playing the game as it is, rough and tumble. The image, however, over the entire season remains meager: 7 victories in 31 games, 13 draws, and 11 defeats, 23 scored and 35 conceded goals (0.74 per game). Out of home they only get 0.60 goals to the game and give up 1.20 goals, and they do not get the net in nearly fifty percent of their away games. Their games are also over-undertaken, 74 percent are carried to an end of less than 2.5 goals and they hardly ever play high-scoring games.

Sarmiento must preserve the form with which they have characterized themselves in this Clausura, and reiterate the last XI profile. Acosta remains in the goal, with a back four comprising of Vigo and Godoy in the full-back positions and Orihuela and Insaurralde at the centre of the duo and are powerful in the air and aggressive on the initial contact. Diaz and Suhr are playing box-to-box on the flanks, where they run after full-backs and counterattack in space. Gomez and Garcia are a good-working couple in the middle, one sitting and the other stepping forward according to the state of the game. On the front, the mobility of Frias is joined with the experience of the latter: Morales Bravo goes offside to take long passes, draw fouls and pass, and Frias enter the gaps left behind by the movement of his colleague.

Sarmiento Junin starting lineup (4-4-2)

Acosta – Vigo, Orihuela, Insaurralde, Godoy – Diaz, Gomez, Garcia, Suhr – Morales Bravo, Frias

Out: Magnin (injured), Contrera (yellow cards)

Head coach: Facundo Sava

The recent head to head record has been in favor of San Lorenzo. El ciclon have emerged as winners in 6 of the 10 matches, Sarmiento have won 2 matches and the remaining 2 matches have been drawn with a final tally of goals being 14-7 to El Ciclon. The composition and the strength of both sides indicate that the present match will be following the same trend and that it will be a low-scoring, nerve-wracking, and probably decided by one goal or a set-piece.

  • San Lorenzo to win - San Lorenzo possess good domestic statistics, and they have 9 victories out of 17 and score 0.59 goals per match in their stadium and 53% clean sheets. Sarmiento however, only average 0.60 goals away and 1.20 conceded thus home win is the natural side. This option is offered on the 1xbet bookmaker website for odds of 1.80;
  • Half-time draw - San Lorenzo attract an outstanding 82% of first halfs at home, score and concede extremely little prior to the break and Sarmiento also have a good 1H rate of draw at home. It is typical that both teams will open a little more in the second half, and the HT draw angle will be very attractive in such cases. This option is offered on the 1xbet bookmaker website for odds of 1.80;
  • Under 2 Goals - Expect a low scoring game, and their statistics tend to predict. This option is offered on the Bet365 bookmaker website for odds of 1.60;

All these ingredients add up to a classic San Lorenzo home performance: careful and reserved at the beginning, tight defensive lines, and a gradual conquest of the territory as the second half of the game progresses. Sarmiento will attempt to make the game less fast-paced, extend it with direct balls, and rely on the experience of Lisandro Lopez, but they will hardly be able to produce consistent threat outside of Junin. In the course of more than 90 minutes, the solidity of the defense of San Lorenzo, the home advantage and a little bit better in the last third, can be sufficient to win a very-tight game.



Our match prediction: Draw Half-Time for a coefficient of 1.80 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: Correct Score: 0-0 for a coefficient of 4.67 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

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Odds 1,80
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