Sarmiento Junin vs San Lorenzo Prediction: Will any of the teams be able to return to victories?

Sarmiento
Sarmiento
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
03 May 2025 22:00
San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo
Torneo Betano Apertura - Round 16
Stadium Guillermo Laza
03.05.2025, 22:00
Eduardo Machado
03 May 2025
01:03
All time statistics:
412
318
4
56.13%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,62
Bet Type Draw or San Lorenzo & Under 2.5 Goals
Bonus 100 EUR
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Sarmiento Junin vs San Lorenzo: Prediction for the Match on May 3, 2025

Fourth placed San Lorenzo’s host bottom placed Sarmiento in this Torneo Betano 2025 Round 16 clash. This will be a close encounter between both teams, as they are both keen to return to winning ways.

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Sarmiento are in 10th spot with 14 pts from 15 matches won 2, drew 8 and lost 5. And they have 10 goals scored to 18 conceded, showing problems in attack and defending. The team has not won of their last 5 (D2, L3) matches, losing their last two at home. They have an xG of 1.44 per match, which gives promise of creation but inefficiency of finishing and that deficit in pure quality in the back is still visible.

Sarmiento Junin: Lineup

Sanguinetti team will tend to play with 4-4-2, seeking compactness and counters. As experienced defenders in defense, Roncaglia and Insaurralde stand in, as do full backs Godoy and Vallejos when it comes to transitions. Gho and Díaz are wide midfielders, with Villalba and Giménez in the middle. Suhr and Frías will probably start the game upfront.

� Sarmiento starting lineup (4-4-2)

Acosta – Vallejos, Roncaglia, Insaurralde, Godoy – Gho, Villalba, Giménez, Díaz – Suhr, Frías

⛔️ Out: Magnin (injured), Garcia (suspended)

� Head coach: Sanguinetti

Sarmiento Latest Games

Sarmiento Sarmiento
16.11.25
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
1 - 1
Sarmiento Sarmiento
10.11.25
Sarmiento Sarmiento
2 - 1
Instituto Instituto
03.11.25
Platense Platense
1 - 1
Sarmiento Sarmiento
24.10.25
Sarmiento Sarmiento
0 - 1
Rosario Central Rosario Central
19.10.25
Sarmiento Sarmiento
0 - 2
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
13.10.25
River Plate River Plate
0 - 1
Sarmiento Sarmiento
04.10.25
Sarmiento Sarmiento
0 - 1
Gimnasia Gimnasia
28.09.25
Talleres Talleres
1 - 0
Sarmiento Sarmiento
20.09.25
Barracas Central Barracas Central
0 - 1
Sarmiento Sarmiento
14.09.25
Sarmiento Sarmiento
2 - 0
Aldosivi Aldosivi

San Lorenzo Latest Games

San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
23.11.25
Central Cordoba Central Cordoba
2 - 1
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
16.11.25
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
1 - 1
Sarmiento Sarmiento
08.11.25
Rosario Central Rosario Central
0 - 0
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
01.11.25
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
1 - 0
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
21.10.25
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman
1 - 2
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
10.10.25
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
0 - 1
San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan
05.10.25
Atlético Lanús Atlético Lanús
2 - 1
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
27.09.25
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
2 - 0
Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz
21.09.25
Independiente Independiente
1 - 1
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
13.09.25
Racing Club Racing Club
2 - 0
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo

San Lorenzo is now 4th in the table with 26 points, having won 7, drawn 5, lost 3. Maintaining one of the tightest defensive units in the league, they have picked up 13 goals and let in 9 goals. But they have been here after a 1-0 defeat in the last round. While they scored with a low rating (0.87 goals/game), they still have a strong away record and clean sheet record of 60% combined (2 goals conceded in 7 away games) making them a difficult opponent.

San Lorenzo: Lineup

However, Russo’s side is in no mood to change the 4-2-3-1 shape it uses. Solidity is offered by the back four, Romana and Hernández lead, while Irala and Tripichio make up midfield balance. With Cerutti and Braida providing attacking width, Muniain central as the attacker and Vombergar as the lone striker. So this has helped San Lorenzo set up as difficult to break down, quick counter and disciplined lines.

� San Lorenzo starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Gill – Herrera, Romana, Hernández, Báez – Tripichio, Irala – Cerutti, Muniain, Braida – Vombergar

⛔️ Out: N. Domínguez, F. Altamirano (broken hand) (all injured)

� Head coach: Miguel Ángel Russo

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Overall San Lorenzo has the advantage of 6 victories out of the last 9 confrontations but Sarmiento have won 2, and an additional draw was recorded. San Lorenzo also has the best record in terms of goals scored in those match which stands at 13 against 6. Together with these games have been closely matched, most of them decided by a single goal or less with under 2.5 goals.

History of Head-to-Heads

Clausura 2025 Clausura 2025
16.11.25
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
1 - 1
Sarmiento Sarmiento
Apertura 2025 Apertura 2025
03.05.25
Sarmiento Sarmiento
1 - 1
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
Liga Profesional 2024 Liga Profesional 2024
04.06.24
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
0 - 1
Sarmiento Sarmiento
Copa de la Liga Profesional 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional 2024
16.03.24
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
1 - 0
Sarmiento Sarmiento
Copa de la Liga Profesional 2023 Copa de la Liga Profesional 2023
31.10.23
Sarmiento Sarmiento
0 - 0
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
  • Draw or San Lorenzo & Under 2.5 Goals: San Lorenzo’s consistency is enough to give the visitors the edge here. This option is offered on the 1xbet bookmaker website for odds of 1.62;
  • Under 1.5 Goals: Both teams are average under 1 goal scored per game. This option is offered on the Betway bookmaker website for odds of 2.03;
  • Both Teams to Score - No: Sarmiento lacks cutting edge in attack. San Lorenzo are tight at the back, making this a great option. This option is offered on the Bet365 bookmaker website for odds of 1.50;

Their recent loss is forgiven as San Lorenzo has an emphatic structure, defensive dominance and a better table position, pushing them just a little bit in front to their favour. Their home run and goalscoring threat is minimal too with Sarmiento’s poor form. In a game where chances will be few expect a narrow San Lorenzo win or a low scoring draw.

Our match prediction: Draw or San Lorenzo & Under 2.5 Goals for a coefficient of 1.62 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: Under 1.5 Goals for a coefficient of 2.03 in the bet365 bookmaker.

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,62
Bet Type Draw or San Lorenzo & Under 2.5 Goals
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 2,03
Bet Type Under 1.5 Goals
Bonus 250 USD
Bet Now!
Odds 1,50
Bet Type Both Teams to Score - No
Bet Now!

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