Velez Sarsfield vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction: A fight in the bottom places

Vélez Sarsfield and Sarmiento Junín meet in a match of the 13th round of the Torneo Betano 2025, in which both teams will be seeking victory for themselves, as both did not win in the last round (both 2-1 and 1-1). This has all but a few points between mid table and relegation zones and every match matters, this one will be very close, as the teams will be playing with all guns blazing.

Velez Sarsfield (WLWLW)

Vélez were left to suffer that last minute heartbreak in their last defeat when they lost 2-1 away to Rosario Central. Even with a 35% possession, and only 4 total shots, the team was able to remain level right up to the final whistle with Sandez scoring an equalizer on the 58th minute. But in the 90+1' they gave away a late goal and conceded, ending their game. Vélez’s (1.06 xG) and Rosario’s (0.47 xG) efficiency in creating chances, despite a low number of chances was interesting given this fact. And then in added time a red card for Coronel further complicated their task and may potentially have an impact on squad depth for this game as well.

Sarmiento Junin (LDDDD)

On the other hand, Sarmiento's his accomplishment of drawing River Plate 1-1 will impress many. Even with just 30% possession they created more total shots (16 vs River 13) and the two huge chances their counter attacking set up provided. A second half display of tactical discipline, particularly in the second half, meant to protect their result, saw the team equalise just before half time and from that point they showed discipline to see the result out. Moreover, their xG (0.89) was pretty close to River’s (1.01), indicating that the game was on a more even foot than it perhaps appears on the possession front. Sarmiento continues to become less and less gritty as the next upstarts close in on him.

Expert Betting Tips

One deals with possession, the other prefers to hit on the counter. At home, Vélez will try to dominate possession while Sarmiento will continue with the counterattacking trick they show. Sarmiento however should be looking to exploit the suspension of Coronel forcing Vélez to reshuffle their backline. It could be another of those matches that are a scintillating contest all the way through. Velez tend to be stronger at home but Sarmiento are doing a good job hurting the strongest sides with the break. Vélez’s home form gives it the edge over a draw, but it’s not out of the question.