Barnsley vs Brighton: Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds for the football match - 23.09.2025
The third round Carabao Cup match is a home game for Barnsley, who are in great form and have also gone on a good cup run. They are now facing a Brighton side whose Premier League form has been varied but who are still of a high quality and have good depth. It is an opportunity for Barnsley to show the fringe players they have and to follow up with a historic victory for the club; meanwhile, the Carabao Cup is a chance for Brighton to bring in the youngsters and give the rest of the squad some game time, as well as to manage the injuries. Assuming that Brighton will have a completely different side but still strong, Oakwell will be a venue for an exciting and a competitive match: from the tactical point of view, it will be a clash between Barnsley’s high energy and direct pressing and their possession based play under Fabian Hürzeler. The exact lineups will be revealed about an hour and a half before the game starts, so there remains a chance for last-minute substitutions.
Claim Welcome Bonus🔴 Barnsley Preview
Barnsley have three wins from their last five outings in all competitions (including cup wins over Fleetwood and Rotherham) and have been showing a lot of physical energy in League One. Conor Hourihane has been selecting his team for the cup to rotate his squad and reward fringe players, which is a signal of a mix of starters and players who are used to the cup for the coming match; he has said several cup performers will get minutes. Barnsley try to play with high energy, quick changes and compact midfield blocks that are aimed at exploiting set-pieces and having more balls to play off. Luca Connell (midfield control), Davis Keillor-Dunn (goal-scoring presence) and Caylan Vickers (speed and movement) have been doing a great job for the team this season with Murphy Cooper in goal being a great support for the defense. Their last domestic match was a 1–0 defeat at Blackpool but the Tykes have demonstrated that they can increase their intensity for big nights at Oakwell. A foot problem will see Patrick Kelly miss out and Hourihane confirmed there were no new injuries from the weekend.
Barnsley Lineup
🔁 Predicted Lineup: Murphy Cooper, Tennai Watson, Jack Shepherd, Josh Earl, Nathaniel Ogbeta, Luca Connell, Adam Phillips, Caylan Vickers, David McGoldrick, Davis Keillor-Dunn, Ross Sykes
🚑 Injuries/Suspension: Patrick Kelly
👨✈️ Head Coach: Conor Hourihane
🔵 Brighton Preview
Brighton managed to keep their good form and quality despite an elongated injury list and a manager suggesting that there team may be rotated. Fabian Hurzeler’s team plays an advanced, possession-based game that is quick to change to their vertical attacking patterns; they have a very deep and young attacking pool (Gruda, Tzimas, Watson, Minteh) along with some veteran players like James Milner. Brighton’s cup form has been very good — they won 6-0 at Oxford in round two — but their league form has been inconsistent (which also included a 2-1 victory against Manchester City, a defeat to Bournemouth and a 2-2 draw against Tottenham), so they are a team that can both score and be vulnerable at the back.
Players who will be crucial for the outcome of this match are Brajan Gruda (game-changing late goals), Stefanos Tzimas (goal scorer, good form in cup) and Ferdi Kadioglu/Diego Coppola, it will depend on the selections. According to the club, Jack Hinshelwood has suffered an ankle injury (will be out) and Maxim De Cuyper may also have an injury; Adam Webster is still out for a long time so Hurzeler may go for the younger players and rotation. You can expect a combination of players from the bench and starters.
Brighton Lineup
🔁 Predicted Lineup: Jason Steele, Ferdi Kadioglu, Diego Coppola, Olivier Boscagli, Jan Paul van Hecke, James Milner, Mats Wieffer, Brajan Gruda, Tom Watson, Stefanos Tzimas, Yankuba Minteh.
🚑 Injuries/Suspension: Jack Hinshelwood, Maxim De Cuyper, Adam Webster
👨✈️ Head Coach: Fabian Hürzeler
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🤝 Barnsley vs Brighton Head-to-Head Statistics
Brighton have the edge historically — Brighton ~5 wins, Barnsley ~3 wins, 2 draws across the bigger sample since 2011.
⚽ Barnsley vs Brighton Betting Tips and Odds
- Brighton to win (away) - predicted to be better than the home team in most aspects and also having better squad depth; Brighton are the favorites in the majority of the betting markets.
- Both teams to score (BTTS) - Barnsley have scored in most of their home games; Brighton have also conceded in their recent league matches (Bournemouth/Tottenham).
- Brighton win + Over 1.5 goals - The safer version of an outright Brighton win for more value.
- Over 2.5 goals - A recent Barnsley Brighton match and their scoring patterns have been multiple goal games.
- Anytime scorer - Stefanos Tzimas - is good cup form and Brighton did rotate which gave him time on the pitch.
- Brighton to win corners - Brighton's tactics have allowed them to have more attacking moves and corners than Barnsley.
⚽ Barnsley vs Brighton Match Prediction
Brighton should have enough quality to progress, but Barnsley’s fight at Oakwell makes this a lively contest.
Top bet recommendations:-
🏅Brighton to win & over 2.5 goals @ 1.74 odds: Brighton carry superior quality and cup momentum (6–0 Oxford) and will still field a strong rotated XI.
🏅Both Teams to Score (BTTS) @ 1.93 odds:- Barnsley have scored freely at home and won recent cup ties by taking chances; Brighton have conceded in league matches lately.
🏅Over 2.5 goals @ 1.6 odds: Historic H2H average (~2.0) plus Brighton’s cup scoring form and Barnsley’s direct, set-piece threat creates a strong chance for 3+ goals.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Betting odds and lines are subject to change. Please check with your bookmaker for the latest prices before placing any wagers.
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