Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense Prediction: Expect a tight match

Atletico MG
Atletico MG
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
11 May 2025 23:30
Fluminense
Fluminense
Brasileirão Série A, Round 8
Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense
Stadium: Arena MRV
11.04.2025, 23:30
Marco Silva
10 May 2025
21:51
Statistics of the month:
11
16
0
40.74%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 3,32
Bet Type Draw
Bonus 100 EUR
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Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense: Prediction for the Match on May 11, 2025

Atlético Mineiro finally returns to the Arena MRV where it faces Fluminense. The Rooster's stadium now has an artificial pitch due to the constant problems with the Arena's grass. Both teams aim to qualify for the Copa Libertadores, as the title doesn't seem possible for either club.

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Atlético got its first away win in the league in the last round. Cuca's men defeated Juventude 1-0 at the Alfredo Jaconi, a stadium where it's not easy to win. The goal came from a free kick by Scarpa, who crossed into the area, and goalkeeper Marcão miscalculated his clearance, and the ball ended up in the net after being deflected by a Gaúcho defender. The Miners are now in 10th place on nine points, with two wins, three draws, and two defeats. The performance has been disappointing, but Atlético hasn't lost in the last three league games. However, in midweek, the Rooster suffered an embarrassing defeat in Chile against Deportes Iquique. Atlético scored first but ended up losing 3-2. The Belo Horizonte club is in third place in the Copa Sudamericana's Group H with five points from four games. Atlético has two games left to secure qualification in a group where it is clearly the best team.

Atlético Mineiro: Lineup

Hulk is back after serving a one-match suspension and should be in the starting eleven. Júnior Santos suffered two injuries this season but has recovered and played a few minutes in Chile. The winger signed from Botafogo could become important in Cuca's team if he recovers his best form.

🔖Atlético Mineiro starting lineup (4-4-2)

Everson – Natanael, Romulo, Junior Alonso, Caio Paulista – Scarpa, Igor Gomes, Fausto Vera, Cuello – Rony, Hulk 

⛔️Out: Cadu, Alan Franco, Arana, Lyanco, Menino, Caio Maia (injured)

👤Head Coach: Cuca

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Fluminense beat last-placed Sport Recife at home with much suffering. The visitors opened the score through Pablo in the 34th minute and went into the break ahead. Serna equalized in the 60th minute, and when everyone in the Maracanã was expecting a draw, Everaldo scored in the 97th minute to secure three precious points for his team. Fluminense is in fifth place with 13 points, three behind Palmeiras and Bragantino, the leaders of the Brasileirão. A place in the G6 is good for Fluminense, as it guarantees at least a place in the Copa Libertadores qualifying round. However, Renato Gaúcho's team's performances have declined, partly because striker Cano is injured. Captain Thiago Silva is set to return from injury, and the team will again have a leader on the pitch. In midweek, Fluminense lost 1-0 to San José in Bolivia and postponed qualification for the Copa Sudamericana knockout round. Renato Gaúcho fielded a secondary team to manage the fatigue of the main players. The Cariocas remain second in the group with two games left to play.

Fluminense: Lineup

Thiago Silva has returned to training but could be left on the bench as a precautionary measure since the Arena MRV's artificial grass may not be recommended for a player coming from an injury.

🔖Fluminense starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Fábio – Samuel Xavier, Ignácio, Freytes, Fuentes – Martinelli, Nonato – Arias, Ganso, Canobbio – Everaldo

⛔️Out: Cano, Otávio, Riquelme (injured)

👤Head Coach: Renato Gaúcho

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Atlético Mineiro has the edge in the 83 games they played against Fluminense. The Miners have won 35 games while the Cariocas have won 23. On 25 occasions, the matches between the two teams ended in draws. Last season, the two teams met in the quarter-finals of the Copa Libertadores, and Atlético came out on top.

History of Head-to-Heads

Serie A 2025 Serie A 2025
05.10.25
Fluminense Fluminense
3 - 0
Atletico MG Atletico MG
Serie A 2025 Serie A 2025
11.05.25
Atletico MG Atletico MG
3 - 2
Fluminense Fluminense
Copa Libertadores Final Stage 2024 Copa Libertadores Final Stage 2024
26.09.24
Atletico MG Atletico MG
2 - 0
Fluminense Fluminense
Copa Libertadores Final Stage 2024 Copa Libertadores Final Stage 2024
19.09.24
Fluminense Fluminense
1 - 0
Atletico MG Atletico MG
Serie A 2024 Serie A 2024
25.08.24
Atletico MG Atletico MG
0 - 2
Fluminense Fluminense
  • The BTTS-YES bet has won in four of Atlético Mineiro's last five games. You can bet on both teams to score (BTTS - YES) for 2.10 at Betway;
  • Fluminense was the first team to concede a goal in four of its last five matches. You can bet that Atlético will score first for 1.62 at Bet365;
  • The Miners have won five games in the last six times they've hosted Fluminense. You can bet on Atlético Mineiro to win at 2.00 with Bet365.

Atlético has yet to lose at home in the league, and it will be a surprise if this happens against Fluminense, a team that usually struggles on the road. However, Fluminense won in the Corinthians stadium, at a time when the Cariocas were on a winning streak. In the meantime, Renato Gaúcho's side has lost momentum but is still in sixth place. It's not an easy game to predict, and I'm leaning towards a draw.


Our match prediction: Draw for 3.32 at 1xBet.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: BTTS - YES for 2.10 at Betway.

Our final prediction for this match: Correct Score 1-1 for 6.00 at Bet365.

Odds
Bet Type
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Odds 3,32
Bet Type Draw
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Odds 2,10
Bet Type BTTS - Yes
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 6,00
Bet Type Correct Score 1-1
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