Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Prediction: Atlético is unbeaten at home

Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on August 17, 2025

Grêmio suffered a shocking defeat at home against Sport and will play in Belo Horizonte under pressure. Atlético is the favorite in this game, as it is one of the four undefeated teams at home in the Brasileirão.

Atlético Mineiro: Form and statistics

Atlético had a positive week with two good results. In the league, the Miners traveled to Rio de Janeiro to face Vasco da Gama and brought home a point. Gabriel Menino opened the score in the first minute with a brilliant shot from outside the area. Vasco kicked off, but Atlético recovered the ball and took advantage of the Cariocas' lack of concentration. It was the fastest goal in the Brasileirão so far. Vasco da Gama equalized not long after. In the 18th minute, Cuello tried to disrupt Coutinho as he was preparing to shoot at goal, but VAR called the referee because it understood that the Argentine had committed a foul inside the area. Forward Vegetti equalized from the penalty spot. In the second half, both teams had several chances, but the result remained unchanged. Cuca's team is in 10th place with 24 points and two games in hand. In midweek, the Rooster hosted Godoy Cruz in the first leg of the Copa Sudamericana Round of 16 and won 2-1. The Argentines scored first through Andino in the 37th minute, but Cuello in the 67th minute and Hulk in the 89th minute turned the result around. Next week, Atlético will travel to Mendoza to decide who will advance to the quarterfinals of the competition.

Atlético Mineiro: Lineup

Cuca may rest some players for the decisive match against Godoy Cruz in Argentina.

🔖Atlético Mineiro starting lineup (4-3-3)

Everson – Natanael, Lyanco, Alonso, Arana – Alan Franco, Alexsander, Scarpa – Biel, Rony, Cuello

⛔️Out: Cadu, Patrick, Fausto Vera (injured), Dudu (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Cuca

Grêmio: Form and statistics

The Gaúchos are having a rough week after losing at home to Sport, the last-placed team. It was the Pernambucanos' first win in the league, which infuriated Grêmio fans. Mano Menezes' position is at risk, and the coach could leave the club with another defeat against Atlético Mineiro. The Immortal is in 15th place with 20 points, and only Juventude and Sport have scored fewer goals in the league. The Tricolor is struggling to build play and is not creating many chances, which was once again the problem in its last game. The Gaúchos ended up with 60% possession but only had a couple of chances to score, which is very little, considering that they were playing against the 20th-placed team. Sport scored the only goal of the match through Matheusinho in the 51st minute and managed to keep the lead until the end.

Grêmio: Lineup

Danish striker Braithwaite is suspended after receiving his third yellow card.

🔖Grêmio starting lineup (4-3-3)

Volpi – Camilo, Balbuena, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon – Villasanti, Dodi, Cuéllar – Olivera, Alysson, Carlos Vinicius

⛔️Out: João Lucas, Gustavo Martins, André Henrique, Monsalve, João Pedro, Ely (injured), Braithwaite (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Mano Menezes

Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio: Head-to-head statistics

These two clubs have met 80 times, and Grêmio holds the advantage in the head-to-head. The Gaúchos have won 32 games, while the Miners have won 27. On 21 occasions, the matches between the two sides ended in a draw.

Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio: Betting tips & Odds

• Grêmio has conceded first in six of its last eight games. You can bet that Atlético will be the first team to score for 1.57 at Bet365;
• Grêmio has lost four of its past five away matches. You can bet on Atlético Mineiro winning for 1.75 at 1xBet;
• The TU 2.5 bet has won 12 times in Grêmio's last 14 matches. You can bet on a game with less than three goals scored (TU 2.5) for 1.74 at 1xBet.

Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio match prediction 17 August 2025

It is a more important game for Grêmio, especially for its coach, than it is for Atlético. Mano Menezes is at risk of being sacked, and a poor result at the Arena MRV could confirm his departure, which is somewhat desired by Grêmio fans. Atlético will decide the qualification for the Copa Sudamericana quarterfinals in Argentina next week, and Cuca might leave some players more tired on the bench. I think Atlético has a good chance of winning, but I'm going to bet on a game with a maximum of two goals, which often happens in Grêmio's matches, leaving the possibility of a surprise open.

Our match prediction: TU 2.5 for 1.74 at 1xBet.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: Atlético to win for 1.72 at Betway.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 1-0 for 6.00 at Bet365.