Atlético Mineiro vs Sport Recife Prediction: Both teams are looking to win

Atlético Mineiro vs Sport Recife: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on October 09, 2025

Atlético and Sport Recife will meet in a postponed match from Round 14. The Miners are just four points above the relegation zone, while Sport is at the bottom of the table.

Atlético Mineiro: Form and statistics

The Rooster continues to struggle in the league and was defeated 3-0 by Fluminense at the Maracanã in the last round. The Cariocas came out strong, opening the scoring in the 15th minute with a goal by Samuel Xavier. Atlético tried to react and took control of possession, but without creating any real danger. The home team had no trouble containing the visitors' attacks and had space to counter. Atlético goalkeeper Everson prevented a second goal on several occasions. In the 58th minute, in a lightning-fast counterattack, Serna ran the length of the opposing midfield, pursued by Hulk, and made it 2-0. The third goal for Tricolor das Laranjeiras came in the 91st minute from Keno, in an excellent team move that capped off a superb performance. Jorge Sampaoli has reason to be concerned about his team, which played very poorly. Atlético is in 15th place with 29 points.

Atlético Mineiro: Lineup

Alonso, Alan Franco, and Román joined their national teams and will not be available for the match against Sport.

🔖Atlético Mineiro starting lineup (4-4-2)

Everson – Natanael, Lyanco, Vitor Hugo, Caio Paulista – Fausto Vera, Igor Gomes, Scarpa, Bernard – Hulk, Rony

⛔️Out: Júnior Santos, Alexsander, Cuello, Patrick (injured), Alonso, Alan Franco, Román (national team)

👤Head Coach: Jorge Sampaoli

Sport Recife: Form and statistics

The Lion of the North drew 1-1 with Cruzeiro away, playing what was probably their best game of the season. The home team, currently in third place, created several scoring opportunities early on, with Matheus Pereira hitting the post on one occasion. The Miners failed to capitalize on their chances, and Sport was more effective, opening the scoring in the 41st minute. Matheusinho made a long pass behind the Cruzeiro defenders, and Derik Lacerda got to the ball before goalkeeper Cássio, rounding him and shooting into the empty net. Just before halftime, Derik could have scored again, but hit the crossbar. In the second half, the Belo Horizonte team naturally went in search of an equalizer, but Sport could also have increased its lead. In the 59th minute, Gabriel Barbosa tied the game after an assist from Matheus Pereira. The striker ran to pick up the ball from the net, but Cruzeiro was unable to complete the comeback. Sport Recife did not just defend, and had a great chance to score a second goal in the final minutes, but Barletta, two meters from the goal, shot over the bar. The Pernambucanos are still far from escaping the relegation zone, but they can be proud of their performance.

Sport Recife: Lineup

Matheus Alexandre is back after suspension. Sérgio Oliveira has recovered from injury. Lucas Lima is doubtful for the match.

🔖Sport Recife starting lineup (4-3-3)

Gabriel – Aderlan, Rafael Thyere, Ramon Menezes, Luan Cândido – Zé Lucas, Rivera, Hyoran – Matheusinho, Derik Lacerda, Romarinho

⛔️Out: Hereda (injured)

👤Head Coach: Daniel Paulista

Atlético Mineiro vs Sport Recife: Head-to-head statistics

Atlético and Sport have met 56 times, with the Mineiros holding the upper hand. Atlético won 24 matches, while Pernambucanos won 12. On 20 occasions, the games ended in a draw. Sport has not beaten Atlético Mineiro away from home in 25 years.

Atlético Mineiro vs Sport Recife: Betting tips & Odds

• Atlético Mineiro has scored first in four of its last five meetings with Sport. You can bet that Atlético will be the first team to score for 1.53 at Bet365;
• Sport hasn’t defeated Atlético away in 25 years. You can bet on Atlético not losing (1X) for 1.16 at Betway;
• The TU 2.5 bet has won 10 times in Atlético's last 12 games. You can bet on a game with less than three goals scored (TU 2.5) for 1.71 at 1xBet.

Atlético Mineiro vs Sport Recife match prediction 09 October 2025

Atlético is one of the big disappointments of the season, and the arrival of Jorge Sampaoli has changed nothing. Sport has been bottom of the table since the start of the competition and is practically doomed to relegation. Only a miracle can save the Pernambucanos. However, that does not mean they cannot fight for a good result. In the last round, Sport drew away with Cruzeiro, the third-placed team. Daniel Paulista's team did not return home and stayed in Belo Horizonte to prepare for the next game with maximum concentration. I am willing to gamble on Sport's victory. The chances of success for this bet are remote, so I cannot recommend that anyone follow it. The TU 2.5 bet is safer, without guarantees, of course.

Our match prediction: Sport to win for 5.76 at 1xBet.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: TU 2.5 for 1.65 at Betway.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 0-1 for 13.00 at Bet365.