Bahia vs Flamengo Prediction: Flamengo is Bahia's worst nightmare

Bahia vs Flamengo: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on October 06, 2025

Bahia has lost its last twelve games against Flamengo, and coach Rogério Ceni has lost all 16 matches against the Cariocas. Flamengo leads the Série A with a three-point advantage over Palmeiras.

Bahia: Form and statistics

Bahia lost 2-1 to Botafogo and remains in sixth place in the table. The Baianos did not start the game well and struggled to contain Botafogo's attack. The home team opened the scoring in the 27th minute through Santiago Rodríguez, giving it a well-deserved lead. Bahia could have equalized shortly after, but José Guilherme hit the post. In the first minute of the second half, Botafogo increased the score to 2-0 through Jeffinho, making things very difficult for Rogério Ceni's team. The Tricolor reacted and, in the 55th minute, reduced the deficit to 2-1 after a direct free kick from Nestor that deflected off the wall. However, four minutes later, Sanabria received a second yellow card for simulating a penalty. It was a mistake that greatly hurt his team, which was preparing to try for the equalizer. Bahia did not give up and still threatened Léo Linck's goal, but without success. Bahia suffered its second straight away defeat and, on top of that, lost several players for the game against Flamengo.

Bahia: Lineup

Bahia has five players suspended and several injured.

🔖Bahia starting lineup (4-3-3)

Ronaldo – Gilberto, David Duarte, Rezende, Zé Guilherme – Acevedo, Jean Lucas, Éverton Ribeiro – Ademir, Willian José, Kayky

⛔️Out: João Paulo, Ramos Mingo, Erick Pulga, Caio Alexandre, Erick, Kanu (injured), Arias, Luciano Juba, Gabriel Xavier, Nestor, Sanabria (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Rogério Ceni

Flamengo: Form and statistics

Flamengo hosted Cruzeiro at the Maracanã in the big game of the round, but couldn't find a way to beat the Belo Horizonte side. The match between the top two teams in the league was also a tactical duel between coaches Filipe Luís and Leonardo Jardim. Both sides had chances to score, but Rossi and Cássio, the two goalkeepers, were outstanding, making great saves. Flamengo fans left the Maracanã disappointed, as they had expected a better performance from their team. The Cariocas knew the importance of the game and felt some pressure. Cruzeiro would be seven points behind Flamengo in the case of defeat, and surprisingly played with confidence. Palmeiras won and took advantage of the draw to gain two points on the two opponents. The next game against Bahia is crucial for Flamengo, which cannot afford to drop points in consecutive rounds at this stage of the season.

Flamengo: Lineup

Léo Pereira and Alex Sandro are suspended, and Saúl has suffered an injury.

🔖Flamengo starting lineup (4-3-3)

Rossi – Varela, Danilo, Léo Ortiz, Ayrton Lucas – De la Cruz, Jorginho, Arrascaeta – Gonzalo Plata, Pedro, Samuel Lino

⛔️Out: Saúl, Pulgar (injured), Léo Pereira, Alex Sandro (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Filipe Luís

Bahia vs Flamengo: Head-to-head statistics

The two teams have met 62 times, and Flamengo holds a clear advantage in the head-to-head record. The Cariocas have won 30 games while the Baianos have won 13. On 19 occasions, the matches have ended in a draw. Flamengo is currently on an impressive streak of 12 consecutive wins against Bahia.

Bahia vs Flamengo: Betting tips & Odds

• Flamengo has scored first in the last 10 matches. You can bet that Flamengo will be the first team to score for 1.53 at Bet365;
• Flamengo has won the last 12 matches against Bahia. You can bet on Flamengo winning for 1.68 at 1xBet;
• The TU 2.5 bet has won five times in Flamengo’s last six matches. You can bet on a game with less than three goals (TU 2.5) for 1.75 at 1xBet.

Bahia vs Flamengo match prediction 06 October 2025

Flamengo leads the championship and is the favorite despite playing away against the sixth-placed team. Bahia has a terrible recent record against Flamengo, with 12 consecutive defeats. Moreover, Bahia's coach, Rogério Ceni, has lost all 16 games against Flamengo. That's not all, because Bahia has five players suspended and several injured. One day, Bahia will break the streak, as nothing lasts forever. But even if I try to forget the recent head-to-head record, the absences in the home team lead me to bet on a Flamengo victory. 

Our match prediction: Flamengo to win for 1.68 at 1xBet.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: TU 2.5 for 1.70 at Betway.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 0-2 for 7.00 at Bet365.