Bahia vs Grêmio Prediction: Bahia must win

Bahia vs Grêmio: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on October 20, 2025

Bahia lost to its bitter rival Vitória and must win to keep its sixth place. Grêmio is feeling confident, so it won't be an easy game for the Baianos.

Bahia: Form and statistics

Vitória was stronger in the Ba-Vi, the Salvador derby, and so Bahia fans are now hoping for a convincing response from their team. Bahia had not lost against the Lion in seven games, and it remains to be seen whether this result will affect the confidence of Ceni's men. Vitória opened the scoring in the 26th minute through Renato Kayzer from the penalty spot. Arias handled the ball, and referee Anderson Daronco awarded the penalty to the home team. Despite many absences in the lineup, Bahia equalized in the 41st minute through Tiago after a mistake by Vitória's defense. In the second half, both sides missed a clear chance, but the second goal came in the 64th minute for Vitória through Cáceres, who took advantage of a mistake by Júlio César. The Steel Squadron attempted to equalize without much belief. Bahia remains in sixth place, but Fluminense has now closed the gap and is only two points behind.

Bahia: Lineup

Gilberto and Willian José are back after serving their suspensions. Ramos Mingo has recovered from injury and is expected to return to the starting lineup.

🔖Bahia starting lineup (4-3-3)

Ronaldo – Gilberto, David Duarte, Ramos Mingo, Rezende – Acevedo, Jean Lucas, Nestor – Ademir, Sanabria, Willian José

⛔️Out: Éverton Ribeiro, Luciano Juba, João Paulo, Erick Pulga, Caio Alexandre (injured)

👤Head Coach: Rogério Ceni

Grêmio: Form and statistics

Grêmio beat São Paulo 2-0 at home and moved away from the danger zone, now occupying 11th place. After a worrying first half of the season, Mano Menezes' team has improved considerably. Even with several key players injured, such as William, Braithwaite, and Villasanti, among others, Grêmio achieved significant results, such as a draw with Flamengo at the Maracanã and an away win over its great rival, Internacional. The Gaúchos are confident and deservedly beat São Paulo with two goals from Carlos Vinicius. The Paulistas ended up with 64% possession but only hit the target once. In the last five away games, Grêmio has only lost once, so the team is going to Salvador to at least try to bring home a point.

Grêmio: Lineup

Marlon, Kannemann, and André Henrique have served their suspensions and are available again. Dodi is suspended, and Alysson is doubtful for the match.

🔖Grêmio starting lineup (4-3-3)

Grando – Marcos Rocha, Noriega, Kannemann, Marlon – Cuéllar, Arthur, Edenilson – Pavon, Carlos Vinicius, Amuzu

⛔️Out: Volpi, Willian, Braithwaite, Balbuena, João Pedro, Villasanti, Monsalve, Ely (injured), Dodi (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Mano Menezes

Bahia vs Grêmio: Head-to-head statistics

The two teams have met 62 times, and Grêmio holds a clear advantage in the head-to-head record. The Gaúchos have won 26 games while the Baianos have won 16. On 20 occasions, the matches have ended in a draw. This season in Round 10, Grêmio won 1-0 at home with a goal from the penalty spot.

Bahia vs Grêmio: Betting tips & Odds

• Grêmio has scored first in three of its last four matches. You can bet that Grêmio will be the first team to score for 2.63 at Bet365;
• Bahia has won six of its last seven home games. You can bet on Bahia winning for 1.75 at 1xBet;
• The TU 2.5 bet has won seven times in Grêmio’s last nine away matches. You can bet on a game with less than three goals (TU 2.5) for 1.79 at 1xBet.

Bahia vs Grêmio match prediction 20 October 2025

This game should be tight, given the recent form of both teams. Bahia is usually a strong team at home, while Grêmio has been playing well on the road thanks to its solid defense. In the last round, Bahia lost away to Vitória, its city rival, a result that could potentially shake the confidence of Ceni's men. On the other hand, Grêmio convincingly defeated São Paulo 2-0 at home. Considering that Bahia has only lost once at home in the league, I'm going to bet on a Double Chance in favor of the Baianos with a maximum of three goals in the game, leaving the possibility of a draw open.

Our match prediction: 1X & TU 3.5 for 1.61 at Betway.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: BTTS - No for 1.80 at 1xBet.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 1-0 for 6.5 at Bet365.