Botafogo vs Bahia Prediction: Match between direct opponents

Botafogo vs Bahia: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on October 02, 2025

Botafogo and Bahia will meet in an important match in the fight for a place in the Copa Libertadores. Botafogo is in fifth place, while Bahia is in sixth, but the two sides are level on 40 points.

Botafogo: Form and statistics

Botafogo lost 2-0 away to Fluminense, failing again in an important game. Fans are very unhappy with Davide Ancelotti, who has been unable to turn the situation around. While this is true, Botafogo's squad has weakened compared to last season, so it is unfair to blame the Italian coach. Botafogo started the Grandpa Derby well and had two clear chances to open the scoring. In the 15th minute, Newton shot from outside the area, hitting the crossbar, and shortly after, Vitinho, one-on-one with goalkeeper Fábio, failed to finish. Fluminense, on the other hand, was more effective, and Cano made no mistake, scoring with a header in the 33rd minute. In the second half, the home team managed to block the paths to its goal, and in the 89th minute, Lima scored the decisive second goal. Botafogo's players are discouraged because they cannot fight for titles this season, but they must react as qualification for the Copa Libertadores is far from guaranteed.

Botafogo: Lineup

Alexander Barboza and Kaio, the two center backs who were suspended, are now eligible to play.

🔖Botafogo starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Léo Linck – Vitinho, Alexander Barboza, Kaio, Cuiabano – Marlon Freitas, Newton – Santiago Rodríguez, Savarino, Artur – Arthur Cabral

⛔️Out: Alex Telles, Correa, Danilo, Neto, Nathan, Bastos (injured), Montoro (Argentina U20)

👤Head Coach: Davide Ancelotti

Bahia: Form and statistics

Bahia beat Palmeiras 1-0 at home and secured sixth place in the table. The result was unexpected, as Bahia defeated the team in the best form in the league after four rounds without a win.. Palmeiras did not play well and lost three points to the leader, Flamengo. The games against River Plate for the Copa Libertadores were very intense, and the Paulistas probably went into decompression mode against Bahia. Rogério Ceni's men were very humble, and their willingness to fight was rewarded with a beautiful goal from Ademir in the 78th minute. Even without Jean Lucas and Caio Alexandre, Bahia was solid in defensive midfield, blocking Palmeiras' attacks. This victory was crucial to regaining lost confidence. The Steel Squadron now travels to Rio de Janeiro with the ambition of bringing home points.

Bahia: Lineup

Jean Lucas, the Brazilian national team midfielder, is back after his suspension.

🔖Bahia starting lineup (4-3-3)

Ronaldo – Gilberto, Gabriel Xavier, Ramos Mingo, Luciano Juba – Jean Lucas, Nestor, Éverton Ribeiro – Ademir, Willian José, Sanabria

⛔️Out: João Paulo, David Duarte, Erick Pulga, Caio Alexandre, Erick, Kanu (injured)

👤Head Coach: Rogério Ceni

Botafogo vs Bahia: Head-to-head statistics

Bahia holds the advantage in the 59 meetings with Botafogo. The Baianos won 23 games, while the Cariocas won 17. The remaining 19 matches ended in draws. Botafogo has not beaten Bahia in five games.

Botafogo vs Bahia: Betting tips & Odds

• Bahia has not lost in its last five meetings with Botafogo. You can bet that Bahia won't lose (X2) for 1.95 at Betway;
• The TU 2.5 bet has won five times in Botafogo's last six matches. You can bet on a game with less than three goals (TU 2.5) for 1.71 at 1xBet;
• The BTTS-YES bet has won three times in Bahia's last four games. You can bet on both teams to score (BTTS-YES) for 1.95 at 1xBet.

Botafogo vs Bahia match prediction 02 October 2025

Botafogo is having a disappointing season and is out of the title race. Davide Ancelotti is unable to motivate his players, who have a duty to honor the club's glorious jersey despite knowing that they will not win anything this season. Botafogo has not yet secured qualification for the Copa Libertadores, and its next opponent is a direct competitor. Bahia defeated Palmeiras in the last round and received a confidence boost. Anything can happen in this game between two teams that have the same 40 points in the table. I'm going to bet on a draw, knowing that it's risky. Betting on a game with a maximum of two goals or on a Double Chance favorable to Bahia, as mentioned in the tips above, has a better chance of success.

Our match prediction: Draw for 3.59 at 1xBet.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: TU 2.5 for 1.66 at Betway.

Our final tip for this match: Correct Score 1-1 for 6.50 at Bet365.