Botafogo vs Flamengo Prediction: Who will win the Rivalry Derby?

Botafogo vs Flamengo: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on October 16, 2025

Botafogo and Flamengo will clash in Rio de Janeiro in a decisive match for the title race. Flamengo has dropped to second place and is now three points behind Palmeiras, the new leader.

Botafogo: Form and statistics

Botafogo lost 2-0 away to Internacional and dropped to fifth place, having been overtaken by Mirassol. The home team adapted better to the pitch, which was flooded by the heavy rain falling in Porto Alegre, and scored in the 9th minute through captain Alan Patrick. In the 21st minute, the Gaúchos could have made it 2-0, but Aguirre's low shot hit the post. Nine minutes later, Inter came very close to scoring when Vitão headed the ball onto the crossbar after a corner kick. Botafogo was on the ropes, and Ramon Díaz's men had two more good chances to increase their lead in the first half, but they were unable to convert. After a mediocre 45 minutes, the Cariocas were certainly looking to react, but Internacional scored the second goal in the 50th minute. In a beautiful counterattack, Carbonero made a pass that tore through Botafogo's defense, and Vitinho made no mistake with only goalkeeper Léo Linck to beat. The Lone Star team had a good chance to reduce the deficit through Arthur Cabral, but nothing more than that. It was one of Botafogo's worst games of the season, while Inter played one of its best. Coach Davide Ancelotti remains under great pressure but, for now, has the support of the board.

Botafogo: Lineup

Davide Ancelotti will have to make several changes to his lineup.

🔖Botafogo starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Léo Linck – Ponte, Alexander Barboza, David Ricardo, Marçal – Marlon Freitas, Allan – Santiago Rodríguez, Savarino, Cuiabano – Arthur Cabral

⛔️Out: Montoro, Kaio, Alex Telles, Jordan Barrera, Danilo, Neto, Nathan, Bastos (injured), Newton (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Davide Ancelotti

Flamengo: Form and statistics

Flamengo lost 1-0 to Bahia in Salvador, losing the lead in the Brasileirão. Although Bahia is a solid team, the defeat was unexpected, as the Baianos were on a terrible run of 12 consecutive losses to Flamengo. What's more, Rogério Ceni, Bahia's coach, had lost 16 out of 16 games against the Scarlet Black. The outcome of the match was undoubtedly influenced by the red card shown to Danilo in the 13th minute, who, while trying to play the ball, kicked Tiago in the head. The Cariocas had to play with ten players from very early on, and Bahia could not waste the opportunity to defeat its nemesis. Even so, winger Samuel Lino missed an incredible chance that could have given Flamengo the lead. Bahia was more effective, and Willian José scored the only goal of the game in the 45th minute. From then on, Bahia controlled the match despite Flamengo never giving up. In the 78th minute, Wallace Yan was sent off after entering the field just ten minutes earlier. The 20-year-old striker could face a heavy punishment for violently hitting his opponent. With nine players, Flamengo had a chance to score on a set piece, but Leó Ortiz shot straight at Ronaldo. The Vulture had not lost in the league since July, and it is vital to bounce back in the derby against Botafogo, a crucial game to prevent Palmeiras from extending its advantage.

Flamengo: Lineup

Léo Pereira and Alex Sandro are back after suspension. Danilo and Wallace Yan are out after receiving a red card against Bahia. Pulgar could return to the team after a long absence.

🔖Flamengo starting lineup (4-3-3)

Rossi – Varela, Léo Ortiz, Léo Pereira, Alex Sandro – Pulgar, Jorginho, Arrascaeta – Carrascal, Pedro, Samuel Lino

⛔️Out: Saúl, Allan, De la Cruz (injured), Wallace Yan, Danilo (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Filipe Luís

Botafogo vs Flamengo: Head-to-head statistics

Flamengo holds the advantage in the 352 meetings with Botafogo. The Mengão won 131 games, while the Glorious won 107. The remaining 114 matches ended in draws. This season, the two rivals have met twice, with one win for Flamengo and one draw.

Botafogo vs Flamengo: Betting tips & Odds

• Flamengo has won only once in its last five matches. You can bet that Botafogo won't lose (1X) for 1.77 at Betway;
• The TU 2.5 bet has won four times in the last five games played by Botafogo and Flamengo. You can bet on a game with no more than two goals (TU 2.5) for 1.65 at 1xBet;
• Flamengo has conceded first in three of its past four games. You can bet that Botafogo will be the first team to score for 2.50 at Bet365.

Botafogo vs Flamengo match prediction 16 October 2025

Last year, Botafogo was the strongest team in South America, but this season it is letting its fans down. Even so, this game will be tough for Flamengo, which has fallen to second place and is now three points behind Palmeiras. Flamengo is not at its best, but this derby is crucial for Filipe Luís' team. Botafogo is fighting for a place in the Copa Libertadores, and so it also needs points. Flamengo is the favorite, but I'm backing a game with a maximum of two goals scored, a bet that has worked in recent matches of both teams.

Our match prediction: TU 2.5 for 1.65 at 1xBet.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: Flamengo to win for 2.00 at Betway..

Our final tip for this match: Correct Score 0-1 for 6.50 at Bet365.