Botafogo vs Grêmio Prediction: Home Dominance Will Not Fail

Botafogo vs Grêmio: Prediction for the Match on November 23, 2025

The season’s finale countdown has already begun, with less than four matches to conclude the Brazilian Serie A as Botafogo contends against Gremio for the second time this season. Botafogo ranks in the fifth position while Gremio plays from the twelfth spot.

A preview of the game team statistics, emerging lineup, and several betting options are available below.

🏠 Botafogo: Form and Statistics

Last Five Matches: DDWDW

W-D-L Form: 15-10-9

Home Form: 9-5-3

Goals Scored: 47

Goals Conceded: 30

Position: 5th

Fogao’s home 3-2 victory over Sport Recife last marked their fifteenth league win, a testament to Davide Ancelotti’s intention to finish among the Libertadores qualifiers, or a group placement. This was after the goalless tie in their road contest against Vitoria, when they only took one point.

Against Sport Recife, the visitors struck early, leading Botafogo by a goal in the 2-1 full-time score. The second half, however, saw Botafogo come from behind, equalizing the scores and then gaining victory in the final moments. With only three losses at the Nilton Santos Stadium, the home fans are impressed with their display at home, where they have clinched nine wins and five stalemates.

Their resilience has seen them unbeaten through the last five league matches, with three stalemates and two wins. Botafogo has scored forty-seven (47) goals in the previous thirty-four games and conceded thirty goals. Their fifth spot is closely contested by Fluminense, who are one point behind.

🏁 Botafogo: Lineup

Injury News: Davide Ancelotti will be expected to perform without a few players who are sidelined due to injury problems. Bastos is out due to a knee injury. Neto remains off due to thigh problems, Nathan continues his recovery from a forearm fracture, Pantaleao has a cruciate ligament problem, while Joaquin Correa and Santiago Rodriguez both deal with muscle injuries.

🔖 Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1): Linck, Telles-Ricardo-Barbosa-Vitinho, Danilo-Freitas, Jeffinho-Savarinho-Artur, Ramos.

👤 Head Coach: Davide Ancelotti

⛔ Out: Injured-Bastos, Neto, Nathan, Pantaleao, Joaquin Corream, Rodriguez

✈️ Grêmio: Form and Statistics

Last Five Matches: WLLDW

W-D-L Form: 11-10-13

Away Form: 3-5-9

Goals Scored: 37

Goals Conceded: 43

Position: 12th

The Imortal Tricolor looks to wrap up the season with at least a spot in the Sudamericana position. The struggle for a point against Fortaleza in the 2-2 full-time scoreline, which saw fans on the edge of their seats, saw them boost their league points by three in the next game despite critical projections against Vasco da Gama. They secured a strong 2-0 victory and improved their season chances for a Sudamericana finish.

Against Vasco da Gama, the first half saw both sides make close calls, but it was a goalless stalemate at halftime. Belss bagen to ring in the second half, with Gremio asking more questions of the opponents' defenses, and eventually opened the scoring six minutes after halftime. The remainder of the second half saw the opposition have close calls till Gremio doubled the lead through Francis Amuzu, who scored with less than six minutes to the final whistle to secure maximum points.

So far, Gremio has accrued eleven wins, ten stalemates, and thirteen losses in the past thirty-three league rounds. In the last five matches played, Gremio has won two, lost two, and drawn one.

🏁 Grêmio: Lineup

The team is still missing several key players. Martin Braithwaite, Fabian Balbuena, and Mathias Vilasanti remain indisposed ahead of this game. Mano Menezes will most likely repeat the squad that performed wonders against Vasco da Gama, with hopes that the injury-prone exclusion of his big names doesn’t cost him much before their return.

🔖 Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1): Volpi, Marlon-Leonardo-Martins-Rocha, Arthur-Dodi, Amuzu-Cristaldo-Pavon, Vinicius

👤 Head Coach: Mano Manenzes

⛔ Out: Doubtful - Joao Pedro, Willian, Rodrigo Ely, Christian Oliviera, Riquelme Freitas, Alex Sant’Anna, Miguel Monsalve. Suspended- Edenilson

🤝Botafogo vs Grêmio Head-to-Head Statistics

The last ten meetings between the sides produced two wins for Botafogo, two stalemates, and six wins for Gremio.

📈 Botafogo vs Grêmio Match Betting Trends

Probable Stalemate: The last two meetings between the sides produced stalemates. Consider a draw at 3.80 odds from Bet365

Low Scoring Outcome: The most recent clashes between the teams resulted in very few goals. You can pick the Under 2.5 option at 1.91 odds from Betway.

Botafogo’s home record: Botafogo has an impressive home record. You can pick the home win, or a draw at 1.14 odds from 1xbet.

🎯 Botafogo vs Grêmio Match Prediction 23 November 2025

The first order of concern for this clash is Botafogo’s home resilience. They have one of the most solid records on their home turf, with just three defeats in seventeen games played on their turf. On the contrary, the visitors have lost all five recent games on the road, which has produced two stalemates and three losses.

I’m betting on a few goals, with Botafogo as the winning favorites. A stalemate looks very possible, and lastly, I expect that Gremio, the guests, will commit more fouls.

 Below are my best predictions:

🔥 Our main prediction is for Botafogo to win or draw, and the total under three goals at 2.15 odds from 1xbet

🔥 Our betting tip will be a stalemate at 3.90 odds from Betway

🔥 Our final betting tip will be at most three cards for Gremio at 1.61 odds from Bet365