Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama Prediction: Who will win the Friendship Derby?

Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on November 06, 2025

Botafogo and Vasco will meet for another Rio de Janeiro derby. Both teams are fighting for a place in the Copa Libertadores, so an exciting game is expected.

Botafogo: Form and statistics

Botafogo drew 0-0 with Mirassol, maintaining sixth place in the table. Mirassol is in fourth place and has yet to lose at home, so the draw was a good result for Davide Ancelotti's team. The home side was more offensive, but the Cariocas defended well. However, Botafogo's difficulty in creating attacking opportunities was evident. Mirassol finished with 64% possession and did not allow Botafogo to build up play. In practical terms, though, both teams had eight shots and only one on target. The Lone Star team now has 48 points, one more than Fluminense, which lost in the last round. The first seven places guarantee qualification for the Copa Libertadores, but only the top five finishers get direct entry into the group stage.

Botafogo: Lineup

Savarino and Correa have recovered from injury. Allan is back after being suspended.

🔖Botafogo starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Léo Linck – Vitinho, David Ricardo, Alexander Barboza, Cuiabano – Marlon Freitas, Danilo – Santiago Rodríguez, Savarino, Jeffinho – Chris Ramos

⛔️Out: Marçal, Montoro, Kaio, Neto, Nathan, Matheus Martins, Bastos (injured)

👤Head Coach: Davide Ancelotti

Vasco da Gama: Form and statistics

After four consecutive victories, Vasco lost at home to São Paulo. The visitors are not having a good season, but they took advantage of Vasco's lack of efficiency. The Rio de Janeiro team had 24 shots and hit the target 10 times, but failed in the most decisive aspect of the game. In the 28th minute, Vasco could have opened the scoring when Rayan headed the ball onto the post following a corner. In the 45th minute, VAR spotted Paulo Henrique grabbing Arboleda in a corner, and the referee awarded a penalty after reviewing the images. Lucas Moura made no mistake, putting the Paulistas ahead. In the second half, Vasco da Gama had several chances to equalize but lacked the composure needed to score. Near the end, in the 87th minute, São Paulo sealed the result at 2-0 with a goal from Luiz Gustavo. Vasco is in ninth place with 42 points, five behind Fluminense, which occupies the last qualifying spot for the Copa Libertadores.

Vasco da Gama: Lineup

Paulo Henrique and Nuno Moreira are out after receiving their third yellow card. Barros is doubtful for the derby.

🔖Vasco starting lineup (4-3-3)

Léo Jardim – Puma Rodríguez, Cuesta, Robert Renan, Lucas Piton – Tchê-Tchê, Barros, Coutinho – Andrés Gómez, Rayan, Vegetti

⛔️Out: Jair, Paulinho, Adson (injured), Paulo Henrique, Nuno Moreira (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Fernando Diniz

Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama: Head-to-head statistics

Vasco da Gama holds the advantage in the 324 meetings with Botafogo. Vasco won 136 games, while the Glorious won 90. The remaining 98 matches ended in draws. This season, the two rivals have met four times, with one win for each team and two draws. In the Copa do Brasil, Vasco won on penalties after two draws in both legs.

Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama: Betting tips & Odds

• Vasco da Gama has lost only twice in its last eight matches against Botafogo. You can bet that Vasco won't lose (X2) for 1.91 at 1xBet;
• The TU 2.5 bet has won five times in the last six games between Botafogo and Vasco. You can bet on a match with no more than two goals (TU 2.5) for 1.83 at 1xBet;
• Vasco da Gama has scored first in four of its past five games. You can bet that Vasco will be the first team to score for 2.50 at Bet365.

Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama match prediction 06 November 2025

The match between these two old rivals from Rio is curiously known as the Friendship Derby. Botafogo and Vasco are fighting for a place in the Copa Libertadores, and the current champion is in a better position to achieve this. Vasco has a good recent record against Botafogo, and so it could pull off a surprise. However, it's worth noting that Paulo Henrique and Nuno Moreira, two of Vasco's top players, are suspended. I am going to bet on a Double Chance in favor of Botafogo with a maximum of three goals scored.

Our match prediction: 1X & TU 3.5 for 1.75 at 1xBetway.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: BTTS - Yes for 1.76 1x Bet.

Our final tip for this match: Correct Score 1-1 for 6.50 at Bet365.