Ceará vs Bahia Prediction: The Baianos are losing momentum

Ceará vs Bahia: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on September 21, 2025

Bahia has entered a negative cycle and now faces a difficult match against Ceará at the Arena Castelão.

Ceará: Form and statistics

The Vozão reacted very well to the unexpected home defeat against Juventude, drawing 2-2 away with Vasco da Gama. The Cearenses showed their resilience in this match, achieving a good result in difficult conditions. Philippe Coutinho opened the scoring for Vasco in the 12th minute with a beautiful free kick, but Ceará equalized four minutes later through Galeano. Ceará's forwards pressed Vasco in the build-up phase and took advantage of the Cariocas' mistake to make it 1-1. The game remained very attack-minded in the first half, with several chances for both teams. Coutinho headed against the post, and Ceará forced goalkeeper Léo Jardim into making some difficult saves. In the second half, the game became more tactical, with the teams taking fewer risks. In the 72nd minute, Rodriguinho received a red card for a hard foul, leaving Ceará with 10 men for the rest of the game. In the 80th minute, Cuesta made it 2-1 for Vasco, and all signs pointed to the home team winning. However, in the 94th minute, a long ball from the defense caught Paulo Henrique off guard, and Ceará took advantage of another mistake to make it 2-2 through Pedro Henrique. Léo Condé's team deserved the draw for believing until the end. Ceará has not won in three games but is still in 11th place.

Ceará: Lineup

Léo Condé will have to make several changes to his lineup. Three players are suspended, and two are on loan from Bahia and are contractually barred from playing against their club.

🔖Ceará starting lineup (4-3-3)

Bruno Ferreira – Rafael Ramos, Marllon, Willian Machado, Nicolas – Sobral, Dieguinho, Lourenço – Galeano, Paulo Baya, Pedro Raul

⛔️Out: Mugni (injured), Fabiano Souza, Richardson, Rodriguinho (suspended), Matheus Bahia, Marcos Victor (contract)

👤Head Coach: Léo Condé

Bahia: Form and statistics

Bahia lost 2-1 at home against Cruzeiro, a result against a direct opponent that compromises the Baianos' objective. The Tricolor dropped to sixth place and is now far behind Flamengo, Cruzeiro, and Palmeiras, the top three in the table. Fourth place guarantees qualification for the Copa Libertadores, but Bahia has to get back on track to achieve it. Bahia did not play badly against Cruzeiro, but the Mineiros were very effective. Midfielder Jean Lucas broke the deadlock for the home side in the 66th minute with a magnificent long-range goal. The midfielder, who made his debut for the Brazilian national team against Bolivia, is enjoying a great spell in his career. However, not long after, in the 77th minute, the visitors equalized through Sinisterra. Matheus Pereira dribbled past the Bahia defenders, shot at the post, and the ball ended up at the feet of the Colombian, who scored his first goal for Cruzeiro. The game looked set to end in a draw, but in the 86th minute, Gabriel Barbosa surprised everyone in the stadium and decided to shoot from 30 meters out, scoring a phenomenal goal. The Bahians did not deserve to lose, but unfortunately, everything can go wrong in some phases. The 5-1 defeat to Mirassol and elimination from the Copa do Brasil affected the players, who lost confidence.

Bahia: Lineup

Bahia has several key players unavailable.

🔖Bahia starting lineup (4-3-3)

Ronaldo – Arias, Gabriel Xavier, Ramos Mingo, Luciano Juba – Acevedo, Jean Lucas, Éverton Ribeiro – Cauly, Willian José, Sanabria

⛔️Out: João Paulo, David Duarte, Erick Pulga, Ademir, Caio Alexandre, Erick, Kanu (injured)

👤Head Coach: Rogério Ceni

Ceará vs Bahia: Head-to-head statistics

The two clubs have met 57 times, and Bahia holds a slight advantage. Ceará has won 20 matches while Bahia has won 22. On 15 occasions, the games ended in a draw. Ceará has not beaten Bahia in seven games.

Ceará vs Bahia: Betting tips & Odds

• The TU 2.5 bet has won 13 times in Ceará's last 14 home games. You can bet on a game with no more than two goals (TU 2.5) for 1.55 at 1xBet;
• Bahia scored first in seven of its last nine matches. You can bet that Bahia will be the first team to score for 2.20 at Bet365;
• Bahia has not lost in the last seven meetings with Ceará. You can bet that Bahia won’t lose (X2) for 1.50 at 1xBet.

Ceará vs Bahia match prediction 21 September 2025

Bahia is losing steam and has fallen to sixth place. Injuries to key players such as Caio Alexandre and Ademir, and especially the 5-1 defeat to Mirassol, have affected the team. Elimination from the Copa do Brasil by Fluminense also contributed greatly to the loss of confidence. The Baianos will not have an easy game at the Arena Castelão, but Ceará will field a different team than usual. The Cearenses have struggled against Bahia in recent years, and that is a factor to consider. Bahia will try to turn the situation around in this match. I am going to bet on a Double Chance in favor of Bahia with a maximum of four goals scored in the game.

Our match prediction: X2 & TU 4.5 for 1.61 at Betway.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: BTTS - Yes for 2.02 at 1xBet.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 1-1 for 5.50 at Bet365.