Corinthians vs Palmeiras Prediction: All set for the Derby Paulista

Corinthians vs Palmeiras: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on September 01, 2025

Corinthians and Palmeiras will meet in the most anticipated match of round 22. There are no favorites in a game between old rivals.

Corinthians: Form and statistics

Corinthians secured two away wins this week, boosting its confidence. In the league, the Paulistas traveled to Rio de Janeiro and defeated Vasco da Gama 3-2 in a somewhat surprising result. Corinthians usually plays well against Vasco, but injuries to forwards Depay and Yuri Alberto suggested some offensive difficulties, which did not materialize. Young striker Gui Negão has been in good form and scored another goal. Dorival Júnior's team moved up to 11th place with 25 points. In midweek, the Timão beat Athletico Paranaense in Curitiba in the first leg of the Copa do Brasil quarter-finals. Gui Negão scored the only goal of the game, giving his team an important advantage. Athletico plays in the Série B but eliminated São Paulo from the competition, so Dorival's men did not take it easy, especially since the Copa do Brasil is Corinthians' only chance to win a trophy this year.

Corinthians: Lineup

Striker Memphis Depay has recovered from his injury. Left back Maheus Bidu is suspended after receiving his third yellow card. Right back Matheuzinho is doubtful for the derby.

🔖Corinthians starting lineup (4-4–2)

Hugo Souza – Félix Torres, Gustavo Henrique, André Ramalho, Angileri – Raniele, Maycon, Bidon, Garro – Gui Negão, Depay

⛔️Out: Matheuzinho, Martínez, Yuri Alberto, Carrillo, Hugo (injured), Matheus Bidu (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Dorival Júnior

Palmeiras: Form and statistics

Palmeiras had no trouble beating Sport Recife 3-0 at home. Flaco López opened the scoring in the 14th minute with an unexpected volley. The Argentine striker could have scored more goals in the first half, but was not effective. Sport Recife had a lot of trouble containing Palmeiras' attack and was somewhat fortunate to reach halftime losing by only one goal. In the second half, the Verdão was more efficient and scored two goals. Flaco López made it 2-0 in the 56th minute with a header that goalkeeper Gabriel parried beyond the goal line. Three minutes later, captain Gustavo Gómez made it 3-0, also with a header, following a corner kick. It was Palmeiras' third consecutive league victory and the best performance in the last three rounds. Abel Ferreira's team is in second place with 42 points and two games in hand, while leader Flamengo has 46 points and one game in hand. Flamengo is the favorite to win the title, and realistically, Palmeiras seems to be the only team capable of threatening the Cariocas.

Palmeiras: Lineup

Moreno is back after being suspended.

🔖Palmeiras starting lineup (4-3-3)

Weverton – Giay, Gómez, Murilo, Piquerez – Lucas Evangelista, Moreno, Maurício – Felipe Anderson, Flaco López, Vitor Roque

⛔️Out: Raphael Veiga, Paulinho (injured) 

👤Head Coach: Abel Ferreira

Corinthians vs Palmeiras: Head-to-head statistics

Palmeiras has the upper hand in the Derby Paulista. In 343 matches, Palmeiras won 123 while Corinthians won 117. On 103 occasions, the matches have ended in a draw. This season, the two rivals have already met five times, with Corinthians coming out on top. The Timão won three games, and Palmeiras only one. Corinthians eliminated Palmeiras from the Copa do Brasil and defeated the Verdão in the Campeonato Paulista final.

Corinthians vs Palmeiras: Betting tips & Odds

• Palmeiras has scored first in three of its last four matches. You can bet that Palmeiras will be the first team to score for 1.83 at Bet365;
• The BTTS-YES bet has won three times in Corinthians' last four games. You can bet on both teams to score (BTTS-YES) for 2.10 at Betway;
• Corinthians has lost just once in its last seven meetings with Palmeiras. You can bet that Corinthians won't lose (1X) for 1.60 at Betway.

Corinthians vs Palmeiras match prediction 01 September 2025

Palmeiras is fighting for the title, while Corinthians is in the middle of the table, but anything can happen in a derby. Proof of this is that the two sides have already met five times this season, with Corinthians winning three games. The return of Memphis Depay is good news for Dorival Júnior. Palmeiras is in good form and wants to win its fourth consecutive league match. It is hard to pick a winner, so I am leaning towards a draw.

Our match prediction: Draw for 3.20 at Bet365.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: BTTS - Yes for 2.10 at Betway.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 1-1 for 6.00 at 1xBet.