Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction: The Cariocas have their eyes on the throne

Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on July 28, 2025

Flamengo and Atlético Mineiro will meet at Maracanã for one of the best games of Round 17. The Cariocas have reduced the gap to leader Cruzeiro to just one point, so the goal now is to reclaim first place as quickly as possible.

Flamengo: Form and statistics

When the Flamengo players stepped onto the pitch at the Cicero de Souza Marques stadium, they knew that Cruzeiro had drawn and therefore could not waste the opportunity to recover two points from their direct rivals in the title race. Flamengo had not won in Bragança Paulista since 1996, but the Cariocas fought until the end and were rewarded. The game was evenly balanced and reached halftime with a scoreless tie. Eight seconds into the second half, Bragantino opened the scoring. Flamengo's defenders were caught off guard and failed to notice Lucas Barbosa breaking free, who scored right after the kickoff whistle. It looked like Bragantino would once again overcome the Scarlet-Black at home, but this time, things were different. In the 66th minute, following a free kick, central defender Léo Pereira jumped higher than the opposing defenders and scored with a header. The goal fired up Filipe Luís's men, and they intensified the pressure. Flamengo's winning goal came in the 85th minute from Wesley, who scored in his last game for the club. The full-back is set to play for Roma and said goodbye with a goal that secured a crucial victory.

Flamengo: Lineup

Flamengo has several injured players, but Filipe Luís has a squad with plenty of options. Wesley has been transferred to Roma, and Varela is expected to take his place on the right side of the defense, with Vinã coming in on the left.

🔖Flamengo starting lineup (4-3-3)

Rossi – Varela, Léo Ortiz, Léo Pereira, Viña – Allan, Jorginho, Arrascaeta – Luíz Araújo, Bruno Henrique, Pedro

⛔️Out: Danilo, De la Cruz, Michael, Ayrton Lucas, Alex Sandro, Pulgar (injured)

👤Head Coach: Filipe Luís

Atlético Mineiro: Form and statistics

Atlético postponed its home game against Fortaleza due to the Copa Sudamericana playoff. The Rooster had won 1-0 in Colombia against Bucaramanga in the first game and was the clear favorite to advance in the competition. However, the Colombians scored in the 45th minute and rattled the home team. The Mineiros had several chances to equalize, including two shots that hit the crossbar, but the knockout ended up being decided on penalties. Everson, Atlético Mineiro's goalkeeper, was the hero, saving two penalties and converting the decisive one that qualified his team. It was a very intense week for the club, which is experiencing financial difficulties. In the Round of 16, the Belo Horizonte club will face Godoy Cruz of Argentina. In the league, Atlético is in ninth place with 20 points and two games in hand. The team suffered two straight away losses and now has two consecutive games against Flamengo at the Maracanã, the next one for the league and in midweek, for the Copa do Brasil.

Atlético Mineiro: Lineup

Lyanco cannot play after receiving his third yellow card. Dudu was severely punished by the court with a six-game suspension after comments made to Leila Pereira, the president of Palmeiras.

🔖Atlético Mineiro starting lineup (4-4-2)

Everson – Natanael, Igor Rabello, Junior Alonso, Caio Paulista – Alan Franco, Gabriel Menino, Scarpa, Cuello – Hulk, Rony

⛔️Out: Arana, Cadu, Patrick (injured), Lyanco, Dudu (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Cuca

Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro: Head-to-head statistics

The two clubs have met 91 times, with Flamengo holding the advantage. The Vulture has won 37 games, while the Rooster has won 33. The remaining 21 games ended in a draw.

Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro: Betting tips & Odds

• The TU 2.5 bet has won three times in Flamengo's last four matches. You can bet on a game with less than three goals (TU 2.5) for 1.71 at 1xBet;
• Atlético has conceded the first goal in three of its past four games. You can bet that Flamengo will be the first team to score for 1.44 at Bet365;
• Flamengo has won its previous five home matches. You can bet on Flamengo winning for 1.48 at Betway.

Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro match prediction 28 July 2025

Flamengo players gained great confidence after winning in Bragança Paulista, a feat the Cariocas had not achieved since 1996. Flamengo is in second place with one game in hand and has reduced the gap to leader Cruzeiro to just one point. First place is well within reach for Filipe Luís' team, so it won't be an easy game for Atlético Mineiro, which is having a below-par season. I will bet on a Flamengo victory with a maximum of four goals scored to increase the odds.

Our match prediction: Flamengo to win & TU 4.5 for 1.65 at Betway.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: Pedro to score at anytime for 2.10 at 1xBet.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 2-0 for 6.00 at Bet365.

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