Fluminense vs Palmeiras: Prediction for the Match on July 24, 2025

Fluminense vs Palmeiras: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on July 24, 2025

Fluminense and Palmeiras will clash in one of the best games of Round 16. Fluminense has lost two games in a row against Cruzeiro and Flamengo, the top two in the standings, and now faces another tough opponent.

Fluminense: Form and statistics

Fluminense ended the derby against Flamengo with another defeat and dropped to eighth place in the table. In the last 15 meetings with the rival, Fluminense has only won twice, indicating a clear dominance by Flamengo in recent years. The departure of Jhon Arias, who didn't play in the Fla-Flu game, hasn't yet been filled, and it won't be easy to replace the Colombian winger who had a big influence on the team. Fluminense hasn't won a match in the Brasileirão without Jhon Arias on the pitch since November 2023, 13 games ago. Renato Gaúcho once again used a system of three central defenders, as he had done in the FIFA Club World Cup, to try to secure at least a point. The strategy almost worked, but Pedro scored in the 85th minute from a corner. Léo Ortiz headed the ball towards the far post, and the striker tapped it into the net. It was a game with few goalscoring opportunities in which only Flamengo attacked. Fluminense remains on 20 points, and the gap to the teams in front has widened.

Fluminense: Lineup

Cano didn't play against Flamengo, and the club hasn't given any official explanation.

🔖Fluminense starting lineup (3-4-1-2)

Fábio – Ignácio, Thiago Silva, Freytes – Samuel Xavier, Hércules, Martinelli, Renê – Nonato – Canobbio, Everaldo

⛔️Out: Ganso, Otávio (injured)

👤Head Coach: Renato Gaúcho

Palmeiras: Form and statistics

Palmeiras scored an important 3-2 win over Atlético Mineiro to end a run of three league games without a victory. The Paulistas didn't play a brilliant game, but they were more determined than their opponents and deserved the win. The Verdão opened the scoring through Lucas Evangelista's 33rd-minute header from a corner. Hulk equalized with a direct free-kick just before half-time, on the Miners' first chance on goal. Early in the second half, Palmeiras got back on the scoreboard with an own goal from Alonso. Vitor Roque misfired his shot, but the ball deflected off the defender and ended up in the net. In the 77th minute, Maurício made it 3-1, in a move in which the Atlético defense made successive mistakes. The game looked settled, but the incredible Hulk scored again from another direct free kick in the 91st minute. Atlético's captain could have scored a hat-trick in the last minute, again from a direct free kick, but Weverton made an amazing save. Palmeiras is in fourth place with 26 points and two games in hand. The leader, Cruzeiro, has 33 points and is on a roll, so Abel Ferreira's team needs to get a good result at the Maracanã.

Palmeiras: Lineup

Influential midfielder Richard Ríos has been transferred to Benfica. Central defender Fuchs received his third yellow card and is suspended. Striker Flaco López returns after serving his suspension.

🔖Palmeiras starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Weverton – Giay, Gómez, Micael, Piquerez – Moreno, Lucas Evangelista – Felipe Anderson, Maurício, Torres – Vitor Roque

⛔️Out: Paulinho, Murillo, Bruno Rodrigues (injured), Fuchs (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Abel Ferreira

Fluminense vs Palmeiras: Head-to-head statistics

Palmeiras has the advantage in 102 meetings with Fluminense. The Paulistas have won 54 games, while the Cariocas have won 34. On 14 occasions, the matches have ended in a draw. Last season, Fluminense won both games against Palmeiras.

Fluminense vs Palmeiras: Betting tips & Odds

• Palmeiras lost only once in its last seven games. You can bet on Palmeiras not losing (X2) for 1.42 at Betway;
• The TU 2.5 bet has won in five of Fluminense's last six matches. You can bet on a game with a maximum of two goals (TU 2.5) for 1.49 at 1xBet;
• Fluminense scored first in three of its last four meetings with Palmeiras. You can bet that Fluminense will be the first team to score for 2.25 at Bet365.

Fluminense vs Palmeiras match prediction 24 July 2025

Fluminense suffered a heavy blow with a late loss to fierce rival Flamengo. It was the second consecutive defeat in the league, as Renato Gaúcho's men had already lost to Cruzeiro at home in Round 14. After facing the top two teams, Fluminense now hosts fourth-placed Palmeiras. The Cariocas must at least draw to avoid their confidence plummeting. Palmeiras has broken a streak of three winless league matches and will play with greater motivation. However, the Paulistas haven't beaten Fluminense at the Maracanã since 2017, and in football, history tends to repeat. I'm going for a draw.

Our match prediction: Draw for 3.10 at Bet365.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: BTTS - Yes for 2.10 at Betway.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 1-1 for 6.00 at 1xBet.