Grêmio vs Bahia Prediction: Grêmio needs a victory

Gremio
Gremio
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
25 May 2025 17:00
Bahia
Bahia
Brasileirão Série A, Round 10
Grêmio vs Bahia
Stadium: Arena do Grêmio
25.05.2025, 17:00
Marco Silva
24 May 2025
15:14
Statistics of the month:
12
19
0
38.71%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,80
Bet Type 1X & TU 3.5
Bonus 250 USD
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Grêmio vs Bahia: Prediction for the Match on May 25, 2025

Grêmio is struggling in the league and is in the relegation zone, occupying 17th place. The next opponent is Bahia, a side doing well in sixth place. The Gaúchos are under pressure, and a bad result will complicate their situation.

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It was a tough week for the Immortal, with two negative results. In the league, Grêmio lost 2-1 to São Paulo at the Morumbi after reaching half-time in the lead. In a counter-attack, Aravena scored in the 37th minute on Grêmio's first shot on goal. However, the Paulistas came out determined in the second half and equalized through Arboleda's header from a free kick into the box. The visitors didn't attack much, but they did get into the opponent's area twice with great danger. Goalkeeper Rafael saved São Paulo with two excellent saves and proved crucial to his team's victory. In the 85th minute, the referee awarded São Paulo a penalty, and André Silva made it 2-1. The defeat was harsh, and it hurt Mano Menezes' men. In midweek, Grêmio drew 0-0 at home to CSA and was knocked out of the Copa do Brasil. The Série C team had won 3-2 in the first leg. This terrible result put Mano Menezes under pressure, although Luiz Felipe Scolari, Grêmio's technical coordinator, defended the coach. The Tricolor Gaúcho hasn't won in five games in all competitions.

Grêmio: Lineup

Grêmio has several injured players, but the good news is that Gustavo Martins has returned to training following a knee injury. However, the defender is still unlikely to be fit to play 90 minutes.

🔖Grêmio starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Volpi – João Pedro, Kannemann, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon – Dodi, Villasanti – Olivera, Cristaldo, Amuzu – Braithwaite

⛔️Out: Monsalve, Edenilson, João Lucas, Igor Serrote, Cuéllar, Rodrigo Ely (injured)

👤Head Coach: Mano Menezes

Gremio Latest Games

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Gremio Gremio
1 - 2
Fluminense Fluminense
26.11.25
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Palmeiras Palmeiras
23.11.25
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
3 - 2
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Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
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Fortaleza Fortaleza
2 - 2
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Gremio Gremio
0 - 1
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
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Corinthians Corinthians
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26.10.25
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3 - 1
Juventude Juventude
20.10.25
Bahia Bahia
4 - 0
Gremio Gremio
17.10.25
Gremio Gremio
2 - 0
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo

Bahia Latest Games

Bahia Bahia
04.12.25
Bahia Bahia
2 - 0
Sport Recife Sport Recife
29.11.25
Juventude Juventude
1 - 1
Bahia Bahia
23.11.25
Bahia Bahia
1 - 0
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
21.11.25
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2 - 3
Fortaleza Fortaleza
09.11.25
Internacional Internacional
2 - 2
Bahia Bahia
06.11.25
Atletico MG Atletico MG
3 - 0
Bahia Bahia
02.11.25
Bahia Bahia
2 - 1
Red Bull Bragantino Red Bull Bragantino
26.10.25
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Bahia Bahia
23.10.25
Bahia Bahia
1 - 0
Internacional Internacional
20.10.25
Bahia Bahia
4 - 0
Gremio Gremio

Bahia won two games last week, so the team is much more confident than Grêmio. In the Ba-Vi, the Baiano derby, Bahia beat Vitória 2-1 at home. The victory was extremely morale-boosting because Rogerio Ceni's side played the whole game with ten players after Jean Lucas' red card in the 5th minute. The Bahia fans were a great support to their team, which was superior to its rival, even with one player less. Erick Pulga opened the scoring in the 23', but Renato Kayzer equalized in the 54', silencing the Arena Fonte Nova. However, in a hard-fought and determined move, the Tricolor made it 2-1 in the 66th minute through Michel Araújo, who put the home side back in front. Vitória was also down to ten players in the 71st minute, and from then on, Bahia controlled the game. It was the fourth win in five league games for Bahia, now in sixth place with 15 points. In midweek, the Steel Squadron beat Paysandu 4-0 to secure a place in the next round of the Copa do Brasil.

Bahia: Lineup

In the middle of next week, Bahia will play a crucial game against Internacional in the Copa Libertadores, also in Porto Alegre. The lineup presented below is expected, but Rogério Ceni may eventually decide to rest some players, given the decisive match with Inter. Jean Lucas is suspended after his red card against Vitória.

🔖Bahia starting lineup (4-3-3)

Marcos Felipe – Gilberto, David Duarte, Ramos Mingo, Luciano Juba – Caio Alexandre, Nestor, Éverton Ribeiro – Cauly, Luciano Rodríguez, Erick Pulga

⛔️Out: Erick, Ademir, Kanu, Rezende, Arias (injured), Jean Lucas (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Rogério Ceni

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The two clubs have met 61 times, with Grêmio having the upper hand. The Gaúchos won 25 games, while the Baianos won 16. On 20 occasions, the games ended in a draw. Last year, Bahia won both meetings, but Grêmio had to host the match in Caxias do Sul after the climate tragedy in Rio Grande do Sul.

History of Head-to-Heads

Serie A 2025 Serie A 2025
20.10.25
Bahia Bahia
4 - 0
Gremio Gremio
Serie A 2025 Serie A 2025
25.05.25
Gremio Gremio
1 - 0
Bahia Bahia
Serie A 2024 Serie A 2024
17.08.24
Gremio Gremio
0 - 2
Bahia Bahia
Serie A 2024 Serie A 2024
28.04.24
Bahia Bahia
1 - 0
Gremio Gremio
Serie A 2023 Serie A 2023
05.11.23
Gremio Gremio
1 - 0
Bahia Bahia
  • The TU 2.5 bet has won in eight of Grêmio's last nine home games. You can bet on a game with less than three goals scored (TU 2.5) for 1.67 at 1xBet;
  • Grêmio has only won one of its last 12 matches. You can bet that Bahia won't lose (X2) for 1.56 at 1xBet;
  • Grêmio scored first in three of the past four games. You can bet that Grêmio will be the first team to score for 1.8 at Bet365.

Grêmio is going through a difficult time and is currently in the relegation zone. The Porto Alegre side has only won once in its last twelve games. On the other hand, Bahia has won its last few games and is confident. However, the Baianos will decide their qualification for the next stage of the Copa Libertadores a few days later, which could influence the performance of the players at the Arena, who may want to preserve some energy for the game with Internacional. This factor leads me to lean towards the Gaúchos, who urgently need to win. I'm betting on a Double Chance in favor of Grêmio with a maximum of three goals scored.


Our match prediction: 1X & TU 3.5 for 1.80 at Betway.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: BTTS-NO for 1.90 at 1xBet.

Our final tip for this match: Correct Score 1-0 for 7.5 at Bet365.

Odds
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Odds 1,90
Bet Type BTTS - No
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Odds 7,50
Bet Type Correct Score 1-0
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