Grêmio vs Botafogo Prediction: The Gaúchos are motivated

Grêmio vs Botafogo: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on September 25, 2025

Grêmio and Botafogo will meet in Porto Alegre for a postponed Round 16 match. The Gaúchos won the derby against Internacional and are therefore brimming with confidence.

Grêmio: Form and statistics

Internacional and Grêmio met at the Beira-Rio stadium and disputed the best Grenal in recent years. Both coaches were at risk of being fired if they lost, which is what happened to Roger Machado at the end of the game. Grêmio won 3-2 and broke a run of eight games without beating the old rival. Inter opened the scoring through Alan Patrick in the 21st minute with a penalty. The referee took a long time to review the footage to confirm the foul, which was not clear. Grêmio reacted well and equalized in the 29th minute with a header by Carlos Vinicius. Near halftime, VAR detected another potential penalty for Internacional. Noriega handled the ball inside the area, but the decision was controversial as an Inter player was grabbing the defender. Patrick converted from the penalty spot to make it 2-1. However, Grêmio once again showed great determination and equalized in the seventh minute of added time in the first half through André Henrique. The 23-year-old striker, who had come on a few minutes earlier, scored with a header from a corner. In the 62nd minute, Grêmio took the lead for the first time in the game. In a quick counterattack, Alysson made it 3-2 with a placed shot with his left foot. Ten minutes later, Arthur received a red card and Grêmio was reduced to ten men. The derby was heated, and Bernabei was also sent off in the 90th minute, leaving both teams with equal numbers. The Grenal ended with drama, as in the final seconds, the referee awarded Inter a third penalty for a clear foul by André Henrique. Incredibly, captain Alan Patrick hit the post, and the game ended shortly after with a huge celebration by the Grêmio players. Mano Menezes' team moved up to 12th place, overtaking fierce rival Internacional in the table.

Grêmio: Lineup

Kannemann is back after suspension. Arthur will miss the game after receiving a red card in the derby. Carlos Vinicius and Cuéllar are doubtful for the match.

🔖Grêmio starting lineup (4-3-3)

Volpi – Marcos Rocha, Noriega, Kannemann, Marlon – Dodi, Edenilson, Alex Santana – Pavon, Willian, André Henrique

⛔️Out: Braithwaite, Balbuena, Riquelme, Camilo, Villasanti, João Lucas, Monsalve, Ely (injured), Arthur (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Mano Menezes

Botafogo: Form and statistics

Botafogo beat Atlético Mineiro 1-0 at home in a hard-fought victory. The first scoring opportunity came for the home team, but Vitinho missed in front of the goalkeeper Everson. Hulk could have scored for Atlético after a direct free kick, but Léo Link made a superb save. Mineiros were stronger, and soon after, Reinier hit the post after a great collective move. In the 45th minute, Chris Ramos received a red card. The Botafogo Spanish striker elbowed Igor Gomes. Early in the second half, in the 48th minute, Botafogo scored. Santiago Rodríguez made it 1-0 for the home team against all odds. As had happened last year in the Copa Libertadores final, Botafogo kept the lead until the end and defeated Atlético Mineiro. Davide Ancelotti's team is in fifth place in the table.

Botafogo: Lineup

Ancelotti will have to change his lineup, as several players are injured or suspended.

🔖Botafogo starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Léo Linck – Vitinho, Kaio, Alexander Barboza, Alex Telles – Marlon Freitas, Newton – Matheus Martins, Artur, Cuiabano – Arthur Cabral

⛔️Out: Savarino, Mastriani, Correa, Danilo, Neto, Nathan, Bastos (injured), Chris Ramos, Montoro, Marçal, Santiago Rodríguez (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Davide Ancelotti

Grêmio vs Botafogo: Head-to-head statistics

Grêmio holds the advantage in the 69 meetings with Botafogo. The Gaúchos won 29 games, while the Cariocas won 21. The remaining 19 matches ended in draws.

Grêmio vs Botafogo: Betting tips & Odds

• The TU 2.5 bet has won 15 times in Grêmio's last 16 home matches and 12 times in Botafogo's previous 14 away games. You can bet on a match with less than three goals scored (TU 2.5) for 1.63 at 1xBet;
• Grêmio has conceded first in six of its last seven games. You can bet that Botafogo will be the first team to score for 2.00 at Bet365;
• Botafogo has lost only once in its last seven matches. You can bet on Botafogo not losing (X2) for 1.42 at Betway.

Grêmio vs Botafogo match prediction 25 September 2025

Both teams won in the last round with heroic performances, so they are confident. However, there are other factors to consider. Mano Menezes, Grêmio's coach, is suspended and will not be on the bench. On the other hand, Botafogo has four players suspended, so it is tough to pick a winner. I'm going to bet on a draw.

Our match prediction: Draw for 3.10 at Betway.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: TU 2.5 for 1.63 at 1xBet.

Our final tip for this match: Correct Score 1-1 for 6.00 at Bet365.