Mirassol vs São Paulo Prediction: São Paulo is struggling

Mirassol vs São Paulo: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on October 20, 2025

Mirassol is in fourth place and will host São Paulo, eighth in the table. The visitors have suffered four defeats in their last five rounds and are falling behind in the race for a spot in the Copa Libertadores.

Mirassol: Form and statistics

After a mini-cycle of three games without a win, Mirassol managed two consecutive victories, consolidating fourth place in the standings, now six points ahead of Botafogo. The last two matches were at home, so the next one against São Paulo will be the third in a row at the Maião stadium. Mirassol has an excellent opportunity to record three straight wins and put itself in a good position to secure a ticket to the next Copa Libertadores. In the last round, the Little Lion beat Internacional 3-1, showing that it is currently superior to the Porto Alegre team. Mirassol opened the scoring in the 26th minute with a goal by Neto Moura after a corner kick. The Gaúchos reacted and tied the game 12 minutes later through Thiago Maia. However, just before halftime, Reinaldo put Mirassol back in the lead with an excellent individual effort that surprised Inter's defense. Early in the second half, in the 49th minute, Negueba scored the third goal with a left-footed shot, sealing the result. From then on, Rafael Guanaes' men managed their lead efficiently.

Mirassol: Lineup

Goalkeeper Walter is back after being suspended. Alex Muralha and Negueba saw their third yellow card and can’t play.

🔖Mirassol starting lineup (4-4-2)

Walter– Daniel Borges, João Victor, Jemmes, Reinaldo – Danielzinho, Neto Moura, José Aldo, Guilherme – Alesson, Christian

⛔️Out: Gabriel, Lucas Ramon, Edson Carioca, Matheus Sales (injured), Alex Muralha, Negueba (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Rafael Guanaes

São Paulo: Form and statistics

São Paulo lost 2-0 away to Grêmio, confirming the drop in form over the last few games. The only victory in the previous five rounds was against Fortaleza, a team that will struggle to avoid relegation. The Paulistas started the game well, but halfway through the first half, the home side improved and began to threaten Rafael's goal, who made two good saves. In the 39th minute, Carlos Vinicius broke the deadlock, giving Grêmio a deserved lead. The same player made it 2-0 in the 56th minute from the penalty spot, and from then on, things became complicated for Hernán Crespo's men. São Paulo ended the game with 64% possession and 14 shots, but only one of them was on target. The Tricolor lost confidence and urgently needs a win to get back on track.

São Paulo: Lineup

Wendell was injured against Grêmio and joined the long list of injured players.

🔖São Paulo starting lineup (3-5-2)

Rafael – Alan Franco, Arboleda, Ferraresi – Maílton, Bobadilla, Marcos Antônio, Rodriguinho, Enzo Díaz – Luciano, Tapia

⛔️Out: Leandro, Cédric, Wendell, Tolói, Luan, Oscar, Ryan Francisco, Calleri, André Silva, Dinenno (injured)

👤Head Coach: Hernán Crespo

Mirassol vs São Paulo: Head-to-head statistics

São Paulo holds the advantage in the 16 meetings with Mirassol. São Paulo won 10 games, while Mirassol won 4. The remaining two matches ended in draws. This season in Round 10, Mirassol won 2-0 at the Morumbi.

Mirassol vs São Paulo: Betting tips & Odds

• The TU 2.5 bet has won 10 times in São Paulo's last 11 matches. You can bet on a game with no more than two goals scored (TU 2.5) for 1.58 at 1xBet;
• The BTTS-YES bet has won three times in Mirassol's last four games. You can bet on both teams to score (BTTS-YES) for 2.00 at Betway;
• Mirassol won four of its last five home matches. You can bet that Mirassol will win for 2.40 at 1xBet.

Mirassol vs São Paulo match prediction 20 October 2025

Mirassol has won its last two games and is feeling pretty confident, unlike São Paulo, which has lost four times in the previous five rounds. The home team is still surprisingly well-positioned to qualify for the Copa Libertadores, which, if confirmed, would be a remarkable achievement. São Paulo has the same goal, but is five points behind sixth place, so Hernán Crespo's team urgently needs a victory. I'm going to bet that both teams will score.

Our match prediction: BTTS - Yes for 2.00 at Betway.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: Mirassol to win for 2.40 at 1xBet.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 2-1 for 10.00 at Bet365.