Palmeiras vs Bahia Prediction: Palmeiras wants to maintain the top spot

Palmeiras vs Bahia: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on April 28, 2025

League leader Palmeiras is on a run of seven consecutive victories and is the clear favorite against Bahia. Abel Ferreiras' men are building confidence and seem determined to regain the title they lost last year to Botafogo.

Palmeiras: Form and statistics

In Brazil, the season starts with the state championships, and this year Palmeiras performed disappointingly in the Campeonato Paulista. The Verdão lost in the final to Corinthians and only won eight of its 16 matches in a competition featuring teams from lower divisions. In the first round of the Brasileirão, Palmeiras drew at home to Botafogo, causing great concern among the fans. However, since then, Palmeiras has won seven straight games and is currently the Brazilian team in the best form. The Paulistas lead the league with 13 points from five rounds, having scored seven goals and conceded two. In the last round, Palmeiras won 2-1 against Fortaleza at the Arena Castelão, something no Série A team managed to do last season. The Cearenses could have equalized in the last minute, but Weverton saved Lucero's penalty. In midweek, Palmeiras traveled to La Paz to beat Bolívar 3-2, overcoming the physical difficulties of playing at an altitude of 3650 meters. The São Paulo side is the only one with three wins from three games in the competition.

Palmeiras: Lineup

Micael and Vitor Roque suffered injuries against Fortaleza, and the central defender will be out for a few weeks. The young striker is doubtful for the match with Bahia. Richard Ríos didn't play against Bolívar in the Copa Libertadores but should be fit to return to the team. Abel Ferreira doesn't usually repeat the same starting eleven two games in a row, so the lineup below is just a possibility.

🔖Palmeiras starting lineup (4-3-3)

Weverton – Giay, Fuchs, Gómez, Piquerez – Anderson, Ríos, Martínez – Estêvão, Flaco López, Torres

⛔️Out: Micael, Vitor Roque, Murilo, Mayke, Marcos Rocha, Bruno Rodrigues, Raphael Veiga (injured)

👤Head Coach: Abel Ferreira

Palmeiras Latest Games

Palmeiras

07.12.25

Ceara

1 - 3

Palmeiras

04.12.25

Atletico MG

0 - 3

Palmeiras

30.11.25

Palmeiras

0 - 1

Flamengo

26.11.25

Gremio

3 - 2

Palmeiras

23.11.25

Palmeiras

0 - 0

Fluminense

20.11.25

Palmeiras

0 - 0

Vitoria

16.11.25

Santos FC

1 - 0

Palmeiras

10.11.25

Mirassol

2 - 1

Palmeiras

07.11.25

Palmeiras

2 - 0

Santos FC

03.11.25

Juventude

0 - 2

Palmeiras

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Bahia Latest Games

Bahia

07.12.25

Fluminense

2 - 0

Bahia

04.12.25

Bahia

2 - 0

Sport Recife

29.11.25

Juventude

1 - 1

Bahia

23.11.25

Bahia

1 - 0

Vasco da Gama

21.11.25

Bahia

2 - 3

Fortaleza

09.11.25

Internacional

2 - 2

Bahia

06.11.25

Atletico MG

3 - 0

Bahia

02.11.25

Bahia

2 - 1

Red Bull Bragantino

26.10.25

Sao Paulo

2 - 0

Bahia

23.10.25

Bahia

1 - 0

Internacional

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Bahia: Form and statistics

Rogério Ceni's strategy worked, and Bahia secured two home victories in a week. After a heavy 3-0 defeat against Cruzeiro, Ceni benched some key players against Ceará to prepare them for the Copa Libertadores match a few days later. It was a risky plan, but it worked, with some luck, by the way, because Bahia beat Ceará with a penalty goal from Éverton Ribeiro in the last minute. In midweek, the Baianos beat the Colombian side Atlético Nacional, also 1-0, and climbed to first place in Group F. Willian José scored the only goal of the game in the 71st minute, after a wonderful assist from captain Éverton Ribeiro, and the Arena Fonte Nova exploded with joy. In the league, the Tricolor is in 13th place with six points and needs to win to climb up the standings.

Bahia: Lineup

The team had a difficult game in midweek, but Ceni shouldn't make significant changes to his starting line-up.

🔖Bahia starting lineup (4-3-3)

Marcos Felipe – Gilberto, David Duarte, Santiago Ramos, Luciano Juba – Jean Lucas, Caio Alexandre, Éverton Ribeiro — Cauly, Luciano Rodríguez, Erick Pulga

⛔️Out: Kanu, Gabriel Xavier, Ronaldo, Arias (injured) 

👤Head Coach: Rogério Ceni

Palmeiras vs Bahia: Head-to-head statistics

Palmeiras holds the advantage in the 55 games between the two teams, with 28 wins, 17 draws, and 10 defeats. Palmeiras has won its last three matches against Bahia and hasn't lost at home since 2012.

History of Head-to-Heads

Serie A 2025

28.09.25

Bahia

1 - 0

Palmeiras

Serie A 2025

28.04.25

Palmeiras

0 - 1

Bahia

Serie A 2024

21.11.24

Bahia

1 - 2

Palmeiras

Serie A 2024

08.07.24

Palmeiras

2 - 0

Bahia

Serie A 2023

29.10.23

Palmeiras

1 - 0

Bahia

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Palmeiras vs Bahia: Betting tips & Odds

• Palmeiras is on a run of seven consecutive victories. You can bet on a win for the Paulistas at 1.62 with Bet365;
• The TU 2.5 bet could be a good option as it has won in eight of Palmeiras' last nine home matches. You can place this bet at 1xBet for 1.85;
• Palmeiras was the first team to score in the last seven games. You can place this bet at Bet365 for 1.4.

1X2 DC Handicap O/U BTTS CS O/E HT/FT

Main Time (3) 1st Half (3) 2nd Half (2)

	W1	X	W2
	1.55	4.15	6.59
	1.52	4.00	6.00
	1.54	4.20	6.20

Palmeiras vs Bahia match prediction 28 April 2025

Palmeiras is currently the team in the best form in Brazil. The style of play is not exuberant, but it has proved effective. The team has the potential to play more attractive football, but Abel Ferreira has always been a pragmatic coach. Bahia has won two games in a row and has gained some confidence. In the Brasileirão, surprises can happen in any game, and this one is no different. However, I will play it safe and bet on a Palmeiras win. 

Our match prediction: Palmeiras to win at Bet365 for 1.62.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: TU 2.5 for 1.85 at 1xBet.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 2-0 for 7.00 at Betway.