Palmeiras vs Fluminense Prediction: Palmeiras losing momentum

Palmeiras vs Fluminense: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on November 23, 2025

Palmeiras and Fluminense will clash in a crucial Brasileirão match. The home team is in second place, two points behind the leader, Flamengo, while Fluminense is fighting for a spot in the Copa Libertadores.

Palmeiras: Form and statistics

Palmeiras conceded a goalless draw at home against Vitória, confirming the loss of confidence that has been noticeable in recent games. The Paulistas missed a great opportunity to catch Flamengo at the top. The leader lost to Fluminense, curiously, the next opponent of Palmeiras. The Verdão has not won in three games, a crisis of results that no one expected and that could be fatal to its title aspirations. After two consecutive defeats on the road, the home draw with Vitória was a compromising and worrying result for Abel Ferreira and his team. Palmeiras had enough chances to win and defeat Vitória, but anxiety took control of the players, who failed to capitalize on their opportunities, especially in the second half. With four rounds to go in the league, the defeat of Flamengo still allows the Paulistas to dream of the title, but there is no margin for error from now on.

Palmeiras: Lineup

Andreas Pereira is suspended. The midfielder received a red card after the final whistle of the match against Vitória.

🔖Palmeiras starting lineup (4-4-2)

Carlos Miguel – Khellven, Fuchs, Gustavo Gómez, Píquerez – Moreno, Raphael Veiga, Allan, Felipe Anderson – Flaco López, Vitor Roque

⛔️Out: Weverton, Lucas Evangelista, Figueiredo, Paulinho (injured), Andreas Pereira (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Abel Ferreira

Fluminense: Form and statistics

Fluminense defeated rival Flamengo by 2-1 in the legendary Rio de Janeiro derby and climbed to sixth place in the table. Luís Zubeldía's team is just one point away from fifth place, which grants direct access to the Copa Libertadores group stage. At the moment, the Tricolor das Laranjeiras is in a position that only gives entry to the competition's qualifying round. The Fla-Flu started with a lot of impetus from Fluminense and a bit of sluggishness from Flamengo. The Mengão players knew that Palmeiras had drawn, but this result from the rival seems to have caused some complacency or a feeling of control that would prove fatal. After a few chances to score, Fluminense opened the scoring in the 25th minute with a fabulous curling shot from Lucho Acosta that sent the ball over goalkeeper Rossi. Eight minutes later, Fluminense increased the lead to 2-0 after an unbelievable mistake by Rossi. Defender João Victor passed the ball to the Argentine goalkeeper, who was careless. The pass was too strong, and Rossi, trying to control the ball with skill, let it slip away, and Serna took advantage of the gift. In the second half, Flamengo naturally had possession most of the time but struggled to find space. The league leader reduced the deficit in the 85th minute with a penalty converted by Jorginho, but it was too late.

Fluminense: Lineup

Renê is suspended. Thiago Silva is unlikely to play. The artificial turf of the Allianz Parque could potentially result in injury for the veteran defender. Lucho Acosta picked up an injury against Flamengo.

🔖Fluminense starting lineup (4-3-3)

Fábio – Samuel Xavier, Ignácio, Freytes, Fuentes –Martinelli, Hércules, Lima – Serna, Canobbio, Everaldo

⛔️Out: Acosta, Cano, Manoel (injured), Renê (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Luis Zubeldía

Palmeiras vs Fluminense: Head-to-head statistics

The two clubs have met 103 times, and the head-to-head is in favour of Palmeiras. The Paulistas have won 55 games while the Cariocas have won 34. The remaining 14 matches ended in a draw. This season, Palmeiras defeated Fluminense 2-1 at the Maracanã.

Palmeiras vs Fluminense: Betting tips & Odds

• Fluminense has lost three of its last four away games. You can bet on Palmeiras to win for 1.60 at 1xBet;
• Fluminense was the first team to score in four of the last five meetings against Palmeiras. You can bet that Fluminense will score first for 3.00 at Bet365;
• The TU 2.5 bet has won four times in Palmeiras' last five matches. You can bet on a game with no more than two goals (TU 2.5) for 1.82 at 1xBet.

Palmeiras vs Fluminense match prediction 23 November 2025

It is a vital game for Palmeiras, where only victory matters. The Paulistas haven't won in three rounds, but they still have a chance to be champions, as they are only two points behind Flamengo. Fluminense has improved considerably since Zubeldía arrived at the club, and the players are confident after a win against rival Flamengo in the previous match. However, the Cariocas are much stronger at home than on the road. I'm going to bet on a Palmeiras victory.

Our match prediction: Palmeiras to win for 1.60 at 1xBet.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: TU 2.5 for 1.72 at Betway.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 2-0 for 6.50 at Bet365.