Palmeiras vs Juventude Prediction: Palmeiras is the new leader

Palmeiras vs Juventude: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on October 12, 2025

Palmeiras hosts Juventude in a postponed match from Round 12. The last round was excellent for the Paulistas, who took advantage of Flamengo's defeat and climbed to first place.

Palmeiras: Form and statistics

Palmeiras beat São Paulo 3-2 away in a derby that put Brazilian refereeing under fire. Although Palmeiras was the first team to shoot, it was São Paulo that opened the scoring in the 15th minute through Luciano, who appeared alone in the area after a long pass from Marcos Antônio. The number 10 managed to evade the offside trap and shot into the empty net after dribbling past goalkeeper Weverton. In the 34th minute, the home team increased the lead to 2-0 when Tapia tapped in after a low cross from Díaz. In the second half, the most controversial play of the game, and probably of the season, took place. Luciano passed to Tapia, who was clearly brought down by Allan inside the area. The Palmeiras midfielder slipped, and both the referee and VAR ruled that Allan had no intention of fouling him. In the 70th minute, Palmeiras reduced the deficit with a header from Vitor Roque. Abel Ferreira's team gained confidence, and four minutes later, Flaco López equalized with a shot from outside the area. The Verdão took control of the game, and Sosa made it 3-2 for Palmeiras in the 89th minute. The Paraguayan was injured in the play, but his header gave Palmeiras the victory in the Choque-Rei. Palmeiras now has 55 points, the same as Flamengo, but is in first place for having one more victory than the Cariocas. If Palmeiras wins the game in hand against Juventude, it will increase its lead over the Mengão to three points.

Palmeiras: Lineup

Abel Ferreira will have to make several changes as several players have been called up to their national teams, and Vitor Roque is suspended.

🔖Palmeiras starting lineup (4-4-2)

Weverton – Giay, Fuchs Murilo, Piquerez – Allan, Andreas Pereira, Maurício, Felipe Anderson – Raphael Veiga, Luighi

⛔️Out:  Sosa, Khellven, Lucas Evangelista, Figueiredo, Paulinho (injured), Vitor Roque (suspended), Gustavo Gómez, Martínez, Moreno, Torres, Flaco López (national team)

👤Head Coach: Abel Ferreira

Juventude: Form and statistics

Juventude lost 2-1 at home to Fortaleza, suffering a significant setback in its bid to avoid relegation. The Gaúchos have only themselves to blame, as they let a victory that was within their grasp slip away. Juventude scored in the 6th minute through Rafael Bilú, taking advantage of a mistake by the Fortaleza defense. Still in the first half, Juventude had a great chance to make it 2-0, but Gilberto missed a penalty. Goalkeeper Brenno kept his team alive in the game, and in the second half, the Cearenses turned the score around. Right back Mancuso equalized in the 72nd minute with an excellent individual effort, and Bareiro made it 2-1 for Fortaleza in the 85th minute. Juventude was overtaken by Fortaleza in the table, dropping to 19th place. Thiago Carpini's team has not won in five rounds, and a home defeat against a direct opponent in the relegation battle has certainly left fans very concerned.

Juventude: Lineup

Mandaca is suspended after being sent off in the last minute of the match against Fortaleza.

🔖Juventude starting lineup (4-4-2)

Jandrei – Igor Formiga, Abner, Rodrigo Sam, Hermes – Lucas Fernandes, Jadson, Mandaca, Sforza – Enio, Gilberto

⛔️Out: Luan Freitas, Wilker Ángel, Natã, Emerson, Veron (injured), Mandaca (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Thiago Carpini

Palmeiras vs Juventude: Head-to-head statistics

The two clubs have met 24 times, with Palmeiras holding the advantage. Palmeiras has won 14 games, while Juventude has won 3. The remaining seven matches ended in a draw. 

Palmeiras vs Juventude: Betting tips & Odds

• Palmeiras has won six of its last seven games. You can bet on Palmeiras to win for 1.24 at 1xBet;
• Palmeiras scored first in five of its last six meetings with Juventude. You can bet that Palmeiras will be the first team to score for 1.25 at Bet365;
• The TO 2.5 bet has won six times in Palmeiras’ last seven matches. You can bet on a game with at least three goals (TO 2.5) for 1.81 at 1xBet.

Palmeiras vs Juventude match prediction 12 October 2025

Palmeiras is the clear favorite, despite the absence of several players who are with their national teams. The Verdão is very confident after winning the derby with São Paulo and climbing to first place. Juventude lost at home to Fortaleza, reducing its chances of escaping relegation. As the odds for a Palmeiras victory are very low, I will bet that the Paulistas will win by a margin of two goals.

Our match prediction: Palmeiras to win by 2 goals for 4.00 at Bet365.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: TO 2.5 for 1.81 at 1xBet.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 3-1 for 12.00 at Betway.