São Paulo vs Corinthians Prediction: The Hosts are Missing A Handful of Key Players. Corinthians Have A Real Chance Here

São Paulo vs Corinthians: Prediction for the Match on July 20 2025

Prediction for the São Paulo - Corinthians game which will take place at the Toledo Pompeu grounds ahead of Matchday 15 in the Brasileiro Betano. King of Draws, São Paulo will attempt to stand against better-fare Corinthians in hopes of relieving themselves of relegation nightmares which await upon defeat, or a low-scoring stalemate. Fans of the Corinthians will like to see Memphis Depay, who returned to training last week after going AWOL due to a payment default [allegedly] and faced disciplinary measures from the higher-ups. 

A preview of the game, team statistics, emerging lineups, and several betting options are available below.

São Paulo: Form and Statistics

Recent Form: LLLLD

Being on the lesser end of the stick in recent games, São Paulo continues to seek a U-turn from their scavenging streak as they take on a definitive game against the Corinthians. In five recent matches, they only have one point, after facing four losses in a row from a draw. As it stands, not much can be inferred from São Paulo’s mediocrity as Hernan Crespo continues to ransack his idea box for ways to pull this team from abysmal losses.

Against Bragantino, Andre Silva opened the scoring before the first ten minutes elapsed, but the teams went into halftime parallel - spawned from an equaliser two minutes before the referee's blow for recess. The second-half saw them trail after three minutes, which looked like another loss, until Andre Silva netted again, giving himself a brace while earning a point for his team.

Their home form has not encouraged the hopeful fans who recently witnessed two consecutive losses [3-1 v Vasco Da Gama; 2-0 v Mirassol] and a narrow 2-1 win against Gremio. 

São Paulo Lineup

Team: São Paulo will be seriously handicapped against Corinthians basically because they are missing many key players against Corinthians. Soberano may be cornered if Hernan Crespo fails to recognize that he is temporarily handicapped for this game despite fielding Andre Silva.

Player: São Paulo will miss Luciano, provider of the two assists last week. Lucas Moura is also on the sidelines, although doubted to resume. Marcos Antonio also took a knock in the Bragantino game and may be replaced by Alisson. All eyes will be on Andre Silva who plays without Luciano, who will be replaced with Rodriguinho

Predicted Lineup (3-4-2-1): Rafael, Franco-Arboleda-Ferraresi, Diaz- Alisson-Bobadilla-Soares, Oscar-Rodriguinho, Silva

Head Coach: Hernan Crespo

Out: Lucas Moura (doubtful), Lucas Fereirea (doubtful), Ryan Francisco (injured), Luciano (injured), Marcus Antonio (injured)

Corinthians: Form and Statistics

Recent Form: DDDLW

The Corinthians are eager to spring towards Botafogo’s spot and will do all they can to ensure victory, come fulltime. These are the type of games that usually erupt in emotional [anger] bursts from fans. Having learnt harsh lessons from the Paulista played in the 3-1 loss to Sao Paulo, they are faced with another opportunity to correct errors. 

Prolific this season to be one of the most obstinate teams to play against, the Poderoso have raked three stalemates and a win from the last five league games, winning only one.

They managed a decent 1-0 winning stake against Ceara in a game that looked like a bore-draw - courtesy of Head Coach Dorival Junior’s time-attentive substitutions which inspired the goal. 

The Corinthians, who are very insolent on the road [evident in three recent low-scoring unbeaten streak i.e. 1-0 v Ceara; 1-1 v Gremio; 0-0 v Atletico-MG] can be sure to give São Paulo a challenging and intense battle, despite losing 2-1 to Mirassol in May. 

Corinthians: Lineup

Team: The Corinthians have an impressive set of players guarding their goal posts. Their zero tolerance for opposing gimmicks saw Ceara’s attack repeatedly stifled. 

Players: A few players changes expected are: Magno will miss this game due to an injury against Ceara and may have his spot temporarily taken by Charles. Matheus Bidu, player of the match against Ceara is expected to gird his lions and turn up again if Negao continues his lousiness in front of goal.

Predicted Lineup (4-3-1-2): Souza, Bidu-Caca-Ramalho-Matheuzinho, Martinez-Raniele-Bidon, Garro, Nagao-Charles

Head Coach: Dorival Junior

Out: Nil

São Paulo vs Corinthians Head-to-Head Statistics

The last ten meetings between the sides have produced five wins for São Paulo, three stalemates and two wins for the Corinthians. The last meeting was in the Paulista in January, which saw São Paulo hammer the Corinthians to a 3-1 win.

São Paulo vs Corinthians Betting Trends

• The U2.5 goal option has played in the last three away games for Corinthians. Go with Betway's option of 1.48 odds;
• The Corinthians will try to register a goal in this game. Consider the Away O0.5 option which 1xbet tips at 1.37 odds;
• Sao Paulo is expected to score at least one goal in this game. The Home O0.5 option which 1xbet tips this for 1.37 odds is also very valid;
• The Corinthians will be sure to push for a stalemate in this game. Consider this option is at current odds of 3.00 from Bet365.

São Paulo vs Corinthians Match prediction 05 July 2025

This game pitches Hernan Crespo’s resolve to return to good graces against Dorival’s cautionary pitch approach. The intensity of this contest will test Dorival Junior’s tactical strength seeing how he has played his last three games to be defensive, but achieving very little. 

Meanwhile Sao Paulo will be expected to be audacious from the start as they have learnt harsh lessons from conservativeness which has gone against their favour. 

Below are my top thoughts:

My prediction is to expect the Away/Draw option and under 2.5 goals in favour of the Corinthians at 2.14 odds from 1xbet, who I expect to have the upper hand.

Our betting tip is for a BTTS - NO at the coefficient of 1.61 odds from Bet365; This is because even if Sao Paulo attempts to win, they may be constrained to a goalless tie. The tendency of a possible win against Corinthians is low, given that they are missing a lot of their key players.

Lastly, I will boldly pick the U1.5 goalrating option at the coefficient of 2.35 odds with Betway; I’m expecting the Corinthians to frustrate Andre Silva (Sao Paulo’s keyman) efforts in this match.