São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction: Expect a tight game

São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on August 25, 2025

São Paulo and Atlético Mineiro played midweek in the South American competitions and both qualified for the quarter-finals.

São Paulo: Form and statistics

Hernán Crespo decided to field an alternative team against Sport Recife with an eye on the Copa Libertadores match, and São Paulo managed to draw 2-2 at Ilha do Retiro with great difficulty. The Pernambucanos were motivated by their first victory in the Brasileirão and opened the scoring in the 5th minute through Lucas Lima. Goalkeeper Young Moraes, who replaced Rafael, made a serious mistake and put the ball at the feet of Sport's number 10, who had no difficulty in finishing. The home team made it 2-0 in the 50th minute through Derik Lacerda, and Sport fans thought their team would win a second game in a row. Hernán Crespo made several changes after conceding the goal and brought on several regular starters. From then on, São Paulo was stronger and tied the game with goals from Lucas Moura in the 66th minute and Maik in the 91st minute. The Tricolor is in seventh place with 29 points and has not lost in seven rounds. In the midweek, the Paulistas qualified for the Copa Libertadores quarter-finals, where they will face LDU Quito. São Paulo drew 1-1 at home with Atlético Nacional but won on penalties.

São Paulo: Lineup

São Paulo had an intense Copa Libertadores match in the middle of the week, so it is unclear whether Crespo will make any changes to his usual lineup.

🔖São Paulo starting lineup (3-5-2)

Rafael – Ferraresi, Alan Franco, Sabino – Cédric, Bobadilla, Marcos Antônio, Lucas Moura, Enzo Díaz – Luciano, André Silva

⛔️Out: Arboleda, Wendell, Ryan Francisco, Oscar, Calleri, Luiz Gustavo (injured)

👤Head Coach: Hernán Crespo

Atlético Mineiro: Form and statistics

The Rooster had a very demanding week that started badly but ended well. In the league, Atlético unexpectedly lost 3-1 at home to Grêmio, dropping to 11th place. The Miners broke the deadlock with a spectacular goal from Scarpa in the 38th minute, but Grêmio equalized just before halftime with a header from Edenilson following a corner kick. The Gaúchos scored again through a corner after 58 minutes. Atlético's defense failed to clear the ball, and Balbuena fired home to make it 1-2. The game became very intense, and the referee sent off one player from each team. In the 90th minute, Aravena sealed the result at 3-1 for Grêmio in a counterattack. It was Atlético Mineiro's first home defeat in the league. In midweek, Cuca's team was more focused and beat Godoy Cruz 1-0 in the Copa Sudamericana in a match played in Mendoza, Argentina. Natanael scored the only goal of the game in the 48th minute. The Miners had already won 2-1 at home in the first leg and qualified for the quarter-finals, where they will face Bolívar.

Atlético Mineiro: Lineup

Atlético has serious problems for this match, as Alonso, Cuello, and Hulk are suspended. With Lyanco injured and Alonso suspended, Cuca will have to replace both of his regular center backs.

🔖Atlético Mineiro starting lineup (4-4-2)

Everson – Natanael, Ivan Román, Vitor Hugo, Arana – Alan Franco, Alexsander, Scarpa, Renier – Júnior Santos, Rony

⛔️Out: Saravia, Lyanco, Cadu, Patrick, Bernard (injured), Alonso, Cuello, Hulk (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Cuca

São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro: Head-to-head statistics

Atlético holds the advantage in the 92 meetings with São Paulo. The Mineiros won 34 games, while the Paulistas won 28. The remaining 30 matches ended in draws. São Paulo has not beaten Atlético in the last 11 games.

São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro: Betting tips & Odds

• The BTTS-YES bet has won three times in Atlético’s last four matches. You can bet on both teams to score (BTTS-YES) for 2.25 at Betway;
• São Paulo has not defeated Atlético in the last 11 meetings. You can bet that Atlético won’t lose (X2) for 2.00 at Betway;
• The TO 1.5 bet has won six times in São Paulo’s last eight matches. You can bet on a game with at least two goals scored (TO 1.5) for 1.50 at Betway.

São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro match prediction 25 August 2025

São Paulo is in good form and has not lost in seven rounds. In midweek, the Paulistas qualified for the Copa Libertadores quarter-finals. The team has improved greatly since Hernán Crespo took over, and the players are confident. Meanwhile, Atlético is in a disappointing mid-table position but eliminated Flamengo from the Copa do Brasil and is the big favorite to win the Copa Sudamericana. Cuca's team has many absences for this game, and next week has a derby with Cruzeiro for the Copa do Brasil. The Belo Horizonte derby is always important for Atlético Mineiro, especially in a quarter-final of a cup. São Paulo has not beaten Atlético in 11 games, but has a good opportunity here to break that streak. I'm betting on a victory for the Paulistas.

Our match prediction: São Paulo to win for 1.85 at 1xBet.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: BTTS - Yes for 2.25 at Betway.

Our final tip for this match: Correct Score 2-1 for 9.50 at Bet365.