São Paulo vs Fluminense Prediction: Expect a balanced game

São Paulo vs Fluminense: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on July 27, 2025

These two teams seem to be heading in opposite directions. São Paulo won two games in a row, while Fluminense suffered its third consecutive defeat.

São Paulo: Form and statistics

Argentinian coach Hernán Crespo arrived at São Paulo during the league break, and his work so far has been positive. Crespo unsurprisingly lost his debut game against Flamengo at the Maracanã, but since then, São Paulo has achieved three good results. The Paulistas drew with Bragantino away, beat rival Corinthians at home, and in the last round beat Juventude in Caxias do Sul. It was the first victory on the road, and also the first time this season that São Paulo won two consecutive league games. Therefore, fans of the Morumbi club have reason to be optimistic. São Paulo did not play brilliantly against Juventude, but it was the better team at the Alfredo Jaconi stadium. Juventude did not have a single shot on target, while São Paulo hit the target three times in 16 attempts. Luciano was once again the team's hero, scoring in the 85th minute after a great individual effort by Ferreirinha. The Paulistas were always in control and finished with 64% possession. São Paulo moved up to 12th place with 19 points, but needs more wins to reach a position more in line with its history.

São Paulo: Lineup

Hernán Crespo is expected to field the same players who beat Juventude.

🔖São Paulo starting lineup (3-5-2)

Rafael – Ferraresi, Arboleda, Alan Franco – Cédric, Alisson, Marcos Antônio, Bobadilla, Wendell – Luciano, André Silva

⛔️Out: Lucca, Lucas Moura, Ryan Francisco, Oscar, Calleri, Luiz Gustavo (injured)

👤Head Coach: Hernán Crespo

Fluminense: Form and statistics

After a fantastic performance in the FIFA Club World Cup, the Tricolor das Laranjeiras disappointed its fans once again, losing 2-1 at home to Palmeiras. In the resumption of the Brasileirão, Fluminense faced Cruzeiro, Flamengo, and Palmeiras, and lost all three games. The three defeats were indeed against the current top three sides in the league, but Fluminense's performances were poor. The club sold Jhon Arias to Wolverhampton and lost its best player. However, the departure of the Colombian winger does not justify the defeat. Fluminense even opened the scoring through Germán Cano's penalty in the 36th minute, but then two individual errors allowed the visitors to turn the score around. Just before halftime, midfielder Maurício headed the ball towards Fábio, but the veteran goalkeeper let the ball slip through his hands and into the net. In the 62nd minute, Fluminense made another gross error. Midfielder Martinelli miscalculated a pass and gave the ball to Vitor Roque, who made it 2-1 for Palmeiras. No team can resist two mistakes like that, and the Verdão secured the victory without much trouble. Fluminense is in eighth place with 20 points and has two games in hand. The Cariocas are under pressure for the match against São Paulo.

Fluminense: Lineup

Center back Ignácio suffered a knee injury against Palmeiras and will be out for some time.

🔖Fluminense starting lineup (4-3-3)

Fábio – Samuel Xavier, Thiago Silva, Freytes, Renê – Hércules, Martinelli, Nonato – Soteldo, Serna, Cano

⛔️Out: Otávio, Ignácio (injured)

👤Head Coach: Renato Gaúcho

São Paulo vs Fluminense: Head-to-head statistics

São Paulo holds the advantage in the 107 meetings with Fluminense. The Paulistas won 46 games, while the Cariocas won 37. The remaining 24 games ended in draws. The last time Fluminense won at the Morumbi was in 2019.

São Paulo vs Fluminense: Betting tips & Odds

• Fluminense conceded first in three of its last four matches. You can bet that São Paulo will be the first team to score for 1.83 at Bet365;
• Fluminense has lost the last four games. You can bet on São Paulo winning for 2.30 at 1xBet;
• The TO 1.5 bet has won 9 times in São Paulo’s last 10 matches. You can bet on a game with at least two goals scored (TO 1.5) for 1.59 at 1xBet.

São Paulo vs Fluminense match prediction 27 July 2025

Whereas São Paulo is on the rise, Fluminense is in decline, having lost three straight times in the league. While it's true that the defeats were against the teams occupying the top three places in the table, the Cariocas' performances were poor. The game should be tight, but I'm going to bet on a São Paulo victory.

Our match prediction: São Paulo to win for 2.30 at 1xBet.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: André Silva to score at anytime for 3.10 at Betway.

Our final tip for this match: Correct score 1-0 for 5.50 at Bet365.