São Paulo vs Grêmio
Stadium: MorumBIS
18.05.2025, 03:00
São Paulo vs Grêmio: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on May 18, 2025
São Paulo has qualified for the next round of the Copa Libertadores, but in the league, it is close to the relegation zone. Zubeldía's team has shown more confidence in international matches than in the Brasileirão. So far, of the seven Brazilian clubs participating in the Copa Libertadores, only São Paulo and Palmeiras have qualified for the knockout stage.
Claim Your Welcome Bonus!São Paulo: Form and statistics
Despite the poor position in the table, São Paulo was strangely the only unbeaten team in the Série A before the derby with Palmeiras in the last round. São Paulo had one victory and six draws and almost got a seventh draw in the competition against the rival but conceded a goal in the last minute, finally ending its unbeaten run. With the defeat, São Paulo's numbers began to look less impressive, with only nine points from eight games. The Paulistas are in 16th place, but if they had won, they would be in eighth, which shows how balanced the Brasileirão is. In midweek, São Paulo drew 1-1 at home to Libertad, which was enough to guarantee qualification. The Tricolor scored near the end with a goal from debutant Lucca. Zubeldía effusively celebrated the 17-year-old's goal, which gives the team confidence and allows the players to focus on the league.
São Paulo: Lineup
Lucas Moura has picked up another knee injury, and his return is uncertain for now. Oscar, on the other hand, has recovered and has already played in the Copa Libertadores.
🔖São Paulo starting lineup (4-2-3-1)
Rafael – Ferraresi, Alan Franco, Ruan Tressoldi, Enzo Díaz – Alisson, Marcos Antônio – Lucas Ferreira, Oscar, Ferreirinha – André Silva
⛔️Out: Lucas Moura, Calleri, Luiz Gustavo, Igor Vinicius, Henrique (injured)
👤Head Coach: Luis Zubeldía
Sao Paulo Latest Games
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Red Bull Bragantino
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Gremio Latest Games
Gremio 
Gremio
Fluminense
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Grêmio: Form and statistics
The Immortal drew 1-1 at home to Bragantino in a game with a crazy ending. The teams didn't create many chances to score during the match, but in the 87th minute, Belgian Amuzu scored for Grêmio with a shot from outside the area. The home fans were still celebrating when Bragantino equalized through Isidro Pitta. The Paraguayan's goal was registered in the 89th minute, but only 30 seconds had elapsed since Bragantino restarted the game following the goal conceded and the celebrations. The draw was appropriate for what happened on the pitch, but Grêmio wasted two points due to a lack of concentration, as Pitta appeared unmarked. Mano Menezes' side is 15th on nine points and hasn't lost in four league games. In midweek, Grêmio drew 1-1 at home again, this time against Godoy Cruz in the Copa Sudamericana. The Gaúchos secured qualification for the playoff but couldn't overtake the Argentinians in first place, a position that gives immediate access to the Round of 16.
Grêmio: Lineup
Edenilson has served his suspension and is available again. Pavón and Villasanti have returned to training, but their place in the starting eleven is uncertain. João Pedro and Igor Serrote, both right-backs, were injured in the last game. João Pedro could recover in time, but Serrote has broken his wrist.
🔖Grêmio starting lineup (4-2-3-1)
Volpi – João Lucas, Jemerson, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon – Dodi, Ronald – Edenilson, Cristaldo, Olivera – Braithwaite
⛔️Out: João Pedro, Igor Serrote, Cuéllar, Gustavo Martins, Rodrigo Ely (injured)
👤Head Coach: Mano Menezes
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São Paulo vs Grêmio: Head-to-head statistics
São Paulo and Grêmio have met on 98 occasions without a clear winning trend. The Paulistas have won 35 games while the Gaúchos have won 33. The remaining 30 matches ended in draws. Grêmio hasn't beaten São Paulo away since 2013.
History of Head-to-Heads
Serie A 2025
Sao Paulo
Serie A 2025
Gremio
Serie A 2024
Sao Paulo
Serie A 2024
Gremio
Serie A 2023
Gremio
São Paulo vs Grêmio: Betting tips & Odds
- Grêmio has scored first in six of its last eight games. You can bet that Grêmio will be the first team to score at 3.2 with Bet365;
- Grêmio has only won one of its last ten matches. You can bet that São Paulo won't lose (1X) for 1.20 at Betway;
- In the last seven games between the two sides, the TO 1.5 bet has won six times. You can bet that at least two goals will be scored in the match (TO 1.5) for 1.50 at Betway.
São Paulo vs Grêmio match prediction 18 May 2025
The two sides have the same nine points and are close to the relegation zone. However, despite the number of points, São Paulo seems stronger than Grêmio because it has only lost one game so far. The problem is that São Paulo has drawn six times in the eight rounds, which explains its modest position. The Paulistas have already qualified for the next round of the Copa Libertadores, and that shows their worth. Grêmio hasn't won at the Morumbi since 2015, and that's another reason why I'm betting on São Paulo to win.
Our match prediction: São Paulo to win for 1.80 at Bet365.
Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: BTTS-No for 1.61 at 1xBet.
Our final tip for this match: Correct Score 1-0 for 5.25 at Betway.
Other predictions
