Sport Recife vs Bahia Prediction: Bahia is looking confident

Sport Recife vs Bahia: Prediction and odds on the Brasileirão match on August 02, 2025

Sport Recife and Bahia will face each other in a match known as the Superclássico do Nordeste. The two teams are practically at opposite ends of the table. Sport is in last place, while Bahia is currently in fourth.

Sport Recife: Form and statistics

Sport drew 2-2 at home with Santos and remains winless in the league. The Lion of the North now has five draws and 10 losses in 15 games. At 70', Sport Recife was winning 2-0 and playing with one man up, but still let the victory slip away. The Pernambucanos opened the scoring through Derik Lacerda in the 4th minute, after a gross error by Gabriel Brazão, the Santos goalkeeper, who kicked the ball against an opponent. Just before halftime, Tomás Rincón received a red card for a dangerous tackle, leaving Santos with ten players. The home team had several chances to make it 2-0, but only scored in the 70th minute through an own goal by Caballero. From then on, Santos pushed forward, and Sport was unable to control the game. Bontempo reduced the deficit in the 79th minute after a mistake by the Sport defense, and Daniel Paulista's men became nervous. Incredibly, in the 88th minute, Santos equalized from a set piece. Sport's defense failed to clear the ball from the area, and Basso made it 2-2. This result destroyed the confidence gained after the away draw with Vitória.

Sport Recife: Lineup

Lucas Lima has been suspended for the second time this season. The midfielder received his sixth yellow card in the league. Forward Derick Lacerda is doubtful for the game.

🔖Sport Recife starting lineup (4-3-3)

Caíque França – Matheus Alexandre, Rafael Thyere, Ramon Menezes, Cariús – Zé Lucas, Rivera, Pedro Augusto – Barletta, Matheusinho, Ignacio Ramírez

⛔️Out: Sérgio Oliveira, Hereda (injured), Lucas Lima (suspended)

👤Head Coach: Daniel Paulista

Bahia: Form and statistics

Bahia had no trouble defeating Juventude 3-0 and climbed to fourth place with 28 points and two games in hand. The Baianos have eight wins, four draws, and three losses. Leader Flamengo has 36 points and a game in hand, which means that, in theory, Bahia could be five points behind the Cariocas. Last season, Bahia also started well but finished in eighth place. This year, Rogério Ceni's team seems more solid and, if it continues like this, could finish at least in the G6. Midfielder Jean Lucas stood out by scoring two goals, and Luciano Rodríguez sealed the result in the 93rd minute. The Steel Squadron was far superior to Juventude and controlled the game from start to finish. Midweek, Bahia beat Retrô 3-2 at home in the first leg of the Copa do Brasil Round of 16. Interestingly, Retrô, which plays in the Série C, lost the Campeonato Pernambucano final to Sport this season.

Bahia: Lineup

Gilberto and Ramos Mingo are back after suspension. Erick Pulga was injured in the cup game.

🔖Bahia starting lineup (4-3-3)

Ronaldo – Gilberto, David Duarte, Ramos Mingo, Luciano Juba – Caio Alexandre, Jean Lucas, Éverton Ribeiro – Cauly, Willian José, Ademir

⛔️Out: Erick, Kanu, Rezende, Erick Pulga (injured)

👤Head Coach: Rogério Ceni

Sport Recife vs Bahia: Head-to-head statistics

Bahia holds the advantage in its 61 meetings with Sport. The Baianos have won 26 games while the Pernambucanos have won 20. The remaining 15 matches ended in a draw. It is worth noting that Bahia's last victory in Recife was in 2015.

Sport Recife vs Bahia: Betting tips & Odds

• Sport Recife has yet to win in the league. You can bet that Bahia will not lose (X2) for 1.40 at Betway;
• The TU 2.5 bet has won 8 times in Bahia's last 10 away games. You can bet on a match with less than three goals (TU 2.5) for 1.66 at 1xBet;
• Sport has conceded first in three of its last four league matches. You can bet that Bahia will be the first team to score for 1.84 at Bet365.

Sport Recife vs Bahia match prediction 02 August 2025

There is a substantial difference between Sport and Bahia, both in terms of the quality of the squads and especially in terms of confidence. Sport Recife remains winless in the league, and that is weighing on the team. However, the Pernambucanos are playing at home, and this is a factor to be considered, especially since Bahia has not beaten Sport away since 2015. I am going to bet on a game with a maximum of two goals.

Our match prediction: TU 2.5 for 1.66 at 1xBet.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: Draw for 3,20 at Betway.

Our final prediction for this match: Correct Score 1-1 for 6.00 at Bet365.

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